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Breidablik vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 85-110
19-29 26-27 25-25 15-29
Position#11
Record1-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game99.2
vs
Valur 🏆
Iceland
Position#1
Record6-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game82.4
IcelandPremier leagueRound 10· Smarinn
Other2023-24
Meetings · Breidablik v Valur
07 Dec 2023
BREI85
VALU110
27 Jan 2023
BREI89
VALU78
16 Dec 2021
BREI89
VALU87
31 Oct 2021
BREI68
VALU78
03 Mar 2019
BREI69
VALU93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breidablik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreidablikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreidablik
Date
Competition
Haukar
#4
L
97-105
97
105
-8
no box
A30/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
83-127
83
127
-44
73avg 75
H05/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A12/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
71-91
71
91
-20
60avg 75
H19/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
85-115
85
115
-30
77avg 75
A26/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
77-92
77
92
-15
63avg 75
H02/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
93-99
93
99
-6
77avg 75
H10/11
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
104-120
104
120
-16
94avg 75
A17/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
87-69
87
69
+18
79avg 75
H24/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
86-100
86
100
-14
77avg 75
A30/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-34
19-31
27-18
24-22
24-37
21-25
15-32
23-33
17-24
16-14
21-15
19-27
20-32
15-12
18-26
18-21
25-26
19-33
18-28
23-28
16-26
23-21
13-24
25-21
21-24
26-22
17-23
29-30
25-32
25-29
17-32
37-27
16-17
26-22
24-15
21-15
21-25
27-20
22-31
16-24
185.4Avg total
85.6Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.399.2183.6-14.911%
Season at home (5)82.295.6177.8-13.420%
Season away (4)87.0103.8190.8-16.80%
Last 10 (10)85.699.8185.4-14.210%
Last 5 (5)89.496.0185.4-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)88.7103.0191.7-14.414%
vs Similar (7)100.995.3196.1+5.657%
vs Weaker (2)122.5122.5245.0+0.050%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H18/05
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
96-81
96
81
+15
96avg 80
A06/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
100-64
100
64
+36
104avg 80
H11/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
86-87
86
87
-1
77avg 80
A19/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
84-75
84
75
+9
70avg 80
A27/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
77-86
77
86
-9
60avg 80
H02/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
127-124 OT
127
124
+3
no box
A10/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 80
H17/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
67-73
67
73
-6
63avg 80
A23/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
96-83
96
83
+13
96avg 80
H30/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
16-24
20-26
18-18
15-25
29-20
33-23
19-13
27-24
29-7
21-11
23-22
22-19
29-20
15-21
20-27
21-15
26-17
17-22
20-21
24-24
23-16
12-21
18-25
26-20
27-23
16-32
28-22
16-28
26-24
17-9
21-8
23-18
19-19
13-20
12-16
27-19
23-23
32-24
14-17
171.8Avg total
89.4Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.382.4172.8+7.967%
Season at home (4)88.275.5163.8+12.875%
Season away (5)92.088.0180.0+4.060%
Last 10 (10)89.482.4171.8+7.060%
Last 5 (5)89.487.0176.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)88.785.5174.3+3.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.282.1172.3+8.173%
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
BreidablikValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#4
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A30/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H05/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A12/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A26/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H02/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H10/11
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A17/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H24/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A30/11
Premier league
93.5Avg total
42.9Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.151.898.8-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.049.196.1-2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)47.154.9102.0-7.721%-
Last 10 (10)42.950.693.5-7.730%-
Last 5 (5)45.247.692.8-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)45.152.497.5-7.229%-
vs Similar (7)49.349.398.6+0.057%-
vs Weaker (2)59.554.0113.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H18/05
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A06/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H11/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A19/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A27/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H02/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A10/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H17/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A23/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H30/11
Premier league
87.4Avg total
47.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.742.287.9+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.642.787.3+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)46.741.788.5+5.073%-
Last 10 (10)47.539.987.4+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.889.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)45.944.290.1+1.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.440.285.6+5.267%-
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breidabliktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breidablik: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.9
52.2%
51.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.211.1
31.6%
34.2%33.4
🏀 Free throws18.514.0
75.7%
74.4%14.0
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.8
48.8%
51.2%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.012.1
35.7%
34.2%36.4
🏀 Free throws18.813.0
69.3%
74.4%13.0
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breidablik
LWLLLLLLLL
Valur
WLWWLWLWWL
#11
League position
#1
-17.7
Net rating
+10.8
98.9
Offensive rating
106.7
116.6
Defensive rating
95.9
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.1%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
20.2%
Turnover %
15.0%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.6%
3-point %
35.7%
54.6%
Assist %
64.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 106.7Defence116.6 · 95.9Shooting49.8% · 51.1%3-point %31.6% · 35.7%Ball care20.2% · 15.0%Off. rebounds23.6% · 25.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Breidablik   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breidablik wins
5
Valur wins
DateGameScore
27/01/23Breidablik v Valur89-78
20/10/22Valur v Breidablik99-90
27/03/22Valur v Breidablik96-88
16/12/21Breidablik v Valur89-87
31/10/21Breidablik v Valur68-78
03/03/19Breidablik v Valur69-93
23/11/18Valur v Breidablik114-102
Breidabliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23AKeflavik86-100
24/11/23HHamar87-69
17/11/23AThorl104-120
10/11/23HNjardvik93-99
02/11/23HTindastoll77-92
26/10/23AGrindavik85-115
19/10/23HAlftanes71-91
12/10/23AHottur73-80
05/10/23HHaukar83-127
30/03/23AHaukar97-105
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HGrindavik96-83
23/11/23AAlftanes67-73
17/11/23HHottur80-69
10/11/23AHaukar127-124 OT
02/11/23HStjarnan77-86
27/10/23ATindastoll84-75
19/10/23AKeflavik86-87
11/10/23HHamar100-64
06/10/23AThorl96-81
18/05/23HTindastoll81-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breidablik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL11%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%20%0%
Points / game84.382.287.0
Allowed / game99.295.6103.8
Point differential-14.9-13.4-16.8
Avg total183.6177.8190.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game90.388.292.0
Allowed / game82.475.588.0
Point differential+7.9+12.8+4.0
Avg total172.8163.8180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Njardvik97278%96.786.8+9.9
2 Valur96367%90.382.4+7.9
3 Keflavik96367%93.288.4+4.8
4 Alftanes96367%82.078.9+3.1
5 Thorl96367%88.888.7+0.1
6 Tindastoll95456%86.784.3+2.3
7 Stjarnan95456%84.483.2+1.2
8 Hottur95456%85.985.9+0.0
9 Grindavik94544%92.293.9-1.7
10 Haukar93633%93.691.1+2.4
11 Breidablik91811%84.399.2-14.9
12 Hamar9090%83.798.9-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breidablik1926251585
Valur29272529110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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