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Breogan vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-83
19-24 31-23 19-15 20-21
Position#10
Record8-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game78.8
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#7
Record9-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game79.6
SpainACBRound 17
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Breogan v Baskonia
21 May 2027
BRE v BAS
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
BRE100
BAS103
30 Mar 2025
BRE88
BAS82
24 Sep 2023
BRE79
BAS88
27 Dec 2022
BRE77
BAS86
19 Jan 2022
BRE89
BAS83
10 Mar 2019
BRE72
BAS90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
62avg 78
H17/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
75-79
75
79
-4
62avg 78
A23/10
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
94-89
94
89
+5
88avg 78
H31/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
71avg 78
H06/11
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 78
A14/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
83-74
83
74
+9
74avg 78
H12/12
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A16/12
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
98-97
98
97
+1
93avg 78
A19/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 78
H27/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
83avg 78
H16/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
13-28
18-23
20-16
14-14
7-20
25-25
29-20
23-17
20-20
27-28
24-24
16-11
16-23
22-20
22-12
15-24
16-22
17-18
27-22
19-14
19-20
23-19
22-21
22-17
10-17
20-25
23-24
29-19
21-17
25-14
23-47
20-20
22-21
24-28
31-20
21-13
13-24
23-21
30-32
166.3Avg total
83.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.778.8161.5+3.953%
Season at home (8)87.178.1165.2+9.075%
Season away (7)77.679.6157.1-2.029%
Last 10 (10)83.183.2166.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)88.086.6174.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.078.5148.5-8.50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.179.5159.6+0.658%
vs Weaker (9)85.672.1157.7+13.478%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
91-66
91
66
+25
no box
H09/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#11
W
101-86
101
86
+15
101avg 72
H11/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
72-87
72
87
-15
66avg 72
A14/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#13
L
53-75
53
75
-22
48avg 72
A16/12
Euroleague
Real Betis
#13
W
87-83
87
83
+4
79avg 72
A19/12
ACB
Bayern
#11
W
81-76
81
76
+5
73avg 72
A23/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
79-97
79
97
-18
67avg 72
A28/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
94-75
94
75
+19
94avg 72
H30/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
no box
A14/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 72
A16/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
26-25
24-11
22-11
22-18
28-19
21-26
30-23
21-13
21-30
20-23
10-21
14-19
14-24
15-12
10-20
19-21
27-10
17-22
24-30
25-13
21-29
21-13
14-21
15-28
11-24
24-18
29-27
20-23
20-11
34-20
20-21
17-25
18-25
15-19
24-20
18-31
20-11
24-23
17-13
162.3Avg total
81.1Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.279.6159.9+0.656%
Season at home (7)84.680.3164.9+4.371%
Season away (9)76.979.1156.0-2.244%
Last 10 (10)81.181.2162.3-0.160%
Last 5 (5)81.483.0164.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)70.381.8152.1-11.521%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.776.6157.3+4.160%
vs Weaker (6)86.781.8168.5+4.883%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
BreoganBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H17/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A23/10
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H31/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/11
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A14/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H12/12
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A16/12
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A19/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H16/01
ACB
72.9Avg total
35.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.237.574.8-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.837.777.5+2.162%-
Last 30 away (14)34.337.471.6-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)35.637.372.9-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.475.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.541.075.5-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.237.775.9+0.547%-
vs Weaker (9)35.836.472.2-0.756%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#11
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H11/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#13
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A16/12
Euroleague
Real Betis
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A19/12
ACB
Bayern
#11
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A23/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A28/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A14/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A16/01
ACB
81.4Avg total
39.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.877.2-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.337.976.2+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)36.541.778.2-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.881.4-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.081.0-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.142.675.8-9.521%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.637.178.7+4.570%-
vs Weaker (6)40.237.878.0+2.350%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.5
53.5%
52.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
35.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.613.7
73.7%
75.5%13.7
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.5
51.2%
52.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.5
38.7%
35.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.011.6
77.3%
75.5%11.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LWWLWLWWLL
Baskonia
WLWLWWLLWW
#10
League position
#7
+0.4
Net rating
-0.7
108.8
Offensive rating
110.6
108.4
Defensive rating
111.3
52.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.4%
3-point %
38.7%
53.8%
Assist %
59.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 110.6Defence108.4 · 111.3Shooting52.8% · 54.2%3-point %34.4% · 38.7%Ball care17.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds30.8% · 29.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Breogan   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Breogan wins
2
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
10/03/19Breogan v Baskonia72-90
09/12/18Baskonia v Breogan100-78
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/22HJoventut Badalona87-90
27/12/21HFuenlabrada97-89
19/12/21AValencia98-97
16/12/21ABilbao75-83
12/12/21HMoraBanc Andorra83-74
14/11/21AManresa75-86
06/11/21HGran Canaria76-66
31/10/21HMurcia94-89
23/10/21ABasket Zaragoza75-79
17/10/21HReal Madrid71-79
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/22AMoraBanc Andorra79-78
14/01/22AReal Madrid74-89
30/12/21HBarcelona94-75
28/12/21ABasket Zaragoza79-97
23/12/21ABayern81-76
19/12/21AReal Betis87-83
16/12/21AFenerbahce53-75
14/12/21AAnadolu Efes72-87
11/12/21HBilbao101-86
09/12/21HLyon-Villeurbanne91-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL53%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%75%29%
Points / game82.787.177.6
Allowed / game78.878.179.6
Point differential+3.9+9.0-2.0
Avg total161.5165.2157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayLWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%71%44%
Points / game80.284.676.9
Allowed / game79.680.379.1
Point differential+0.6+4.3-2.2
Avg total159.9164.9156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1716194%83.569.8+13.7
2 Barcelona1411379%80.472.4+8.1
3 Joventut Badalona1510567%81.176.7+4.3
4 Manresa1610662%84.382.9+1.4
5 Murcia159660%87.380.9+6.4
6 Valencia159660%82.979.4+3.5
7 Tenerife148657%82.181.0+1.1
8 Baskonia169756%80.279.6+0.6
9 Breogan158753%82.778.8+3.9
10 Unicaja167944%82.279.7+2.6
11 Gran Canaria167944%79.683.1-3.5
12 Bilbao167944%81.286.7-5.5
13 Basket Zaragoza1761135%77.483.5-6.1
14 Fuenlabrada1551033%85.988.7-2.9
15 Obradoiro CAB1551033%80.386.9-6.6
16 MoraBanc Andorra1651131%78.681.6-3.1
17 San Pablo Burgos1541127%77.382.7-5.4
18 Real Betis1531220%73.585.9-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1931192089
Baskonia2423152183
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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