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Breogan vs Baskonia Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 21 May 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game100.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record5-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game84.3
SpainACBRound 34· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Breogan v Baskonia
21 May 2027
BRE v BAS
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
BRE100
BAS103
30 Mar 2025
BRE88
BAS82
24 Sep 2023
BRE79
BAS88
27 Dec 2022
BRE77
BAS86
19 Jan 2022
BRE89
BAS83
10 Mar 2019
BRE72
BAS90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
105-84
105
84
+21
100avg 99
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
110-113
110
113
-3
106avg 99
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
110-104
110
104
+6
106avg 99
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 99
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
115-92
115
92
+23
114avg 99
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
L
102-108
102
108
-6
92avg 99
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
L
90-103
90
103
-13
86avg 99
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
110-90
110
90
+20
107avg 99
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
91-99
91
99
-8
no box
A08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
119-110
119
110
+9
no box
H14/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
20-22
30-21
32-19
28-28
20-23
20-16
30-30
21-30
19-27
28-11
41-42
31-30
205.1Avg total
105.3Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)104.8100.1204.9+4.662%
Season at home (4)108.5102.2210.8+6.275%
Season away (4)101.098.0199.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)105.399.8205.1+5.560%
Last 5 (5)102.4102.0204.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)89.1102.6191.7-13.429%
vs Similar (11)91.392.4183.6-1.145%
vs Weaker (11)105.794.7200.5+11.073%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 80
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 80
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
78avg 80
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
68avg 80
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#5
L
86-104
86
104
-18
78avg 80
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
79-94
79
94
-15
67avg 80
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#16
W
106-83
106
83
+23
104avg 80
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
65-84
65
84
-19
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#18
W
98-93
98
93
+5
no box
A07/11
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
A11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
22-22
19-22
25-18
18-25
18-14
24-15
17-28
21-20
19-23
14-20
25-22
19-27
16-14
18-18
22-25
19-30
27-26
23-26
17-22
16-26
23-23
20-26
20-19
30-22
20-18
33-24
23-19
18-33
14-19
9-11
24-21
27-20
27-19
24-23
20-31
18-23
20-19
22-23
6-15
168.4Avg total
80.9Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)95.084.3179.3+10.771%
Season at home (3)105.778.0183.7+27.7100%
Season away (4)87.089.0176.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)80.987.5168.4-6.620%
Last 5 (5)82.886.8169.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.192.8172.9-12.79%
vs Similar (11)80.883.7164.5-2.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)104.885.2190.0+19.5100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
BreoganBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H14/11
ACB
94.8Avg total
50.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.145.091.0+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.744.392.0+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)44.645.690.2-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)50.544.394.8+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.491.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.349.089.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (11)43.745.989.6-2.236%-
vs Weaker (11)51.142.193.2+9.082%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#5
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#16
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#18
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A07/11
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/11
Euroleague
85.1Avg total
40.4Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.185.3-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.342.288.5+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.182.2-5.913%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.785.1-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.487.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.348.288.5-7.99%-
vs Similar (11)38.240.578.7-2.427%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)50.439.890.1+10.6100%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.4
61.4%
55.8%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.914.3
44.8%
36.4%42.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
76.0%16.6
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.0
52.4%
55.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.2
33.2%
36.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.718.8
76.1%
76.0%18.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLWLLWWWLW
Baskonia
LWLWLLLLLL
#6
League position
#4
+11.0
Net rating
-5.0
114.3
Offensive rating
94.9
103.4
Defensive rating
99.9
64.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
44.8%
3-point %
33.2%
59.9%
Assist %
65.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 94.9Defence103.4 · 99.9Shooting64.1% · 51.4%3-point %44.8% · 33.2%Ball care15.2% · 16.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Breogan   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breogan wins
8
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
03/05/26Baskonia v Breogan112-84
29/12/25Breogan v Baskonia100-103
30/03/25Breogan v Baskonia88-82
19/01/25Baskonia v Breogan97-91
14/04/24Baskonia v Breogan76-74
24/09/23Breogan v Baskonia79-88
30/04/23Baskonia v Breogan97-76
27/12/22Breogan v Baskonia77-86
20/03/22Baskonia v Breogan89-84
19/01/22Breogan v Baskonia89-83
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos119-110
08/11/26ABarcelona91-99
01/11/26AObradoiro CAB110-90
25/10/26HUnicaja90-103
17/10/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-108
10/10/26HBasquet Girona115-92
03/10/26AManresa101-95
27/09/26HJoventut Badalona110-104
19/09/26ADziki Warszawa110-113
17/09/26AManchester Basketball105-84
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APartizan66-80
07/11/26AForca Lleida98-93
05/11/26AFenerbahce65-84
01/11/26HManresa106-83
30/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-94
27/10/26HReal Madrid86-104
25/10/26AValencia75-84
22/10/26APanathinaikos79-85
18/10/26ATenerife77-82
16/10/26AVirtus Bologna78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game104.8108.5101.0
Allowed / game100.1102.298.0
Point differential+4.6+6.2+3.0
Avg total204.9210.8199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game95.0105.787.0
Allowed / game84.378.089.0
Point differential+10.7+27.7-2.0
Avg total179.3183.7176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
5 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-6.6
10 Unicaja73443%88.786.1+2.6
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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