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Real Madrid vs Basquet Girona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 95-67
23-18 22-16 31-15 19-18
Position#1
Record1-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#14
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game84.0
SpainACBRound 4· WiZink Center
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Real Madrid v Basquet Girona
10 Jan 2027
MAD v GIR
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
MAD112
GIR76
20 Oct 2024
MAD95
GIR67
04 Feb 2024
MAD92
GIR79
19 Apr 2023
MAD89
GIR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basquet Girona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
W
84-73
84
73
+11
85avg 84
A12/06
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
89-83
89
83
+6
70avg 84
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
70avg 84
H22/09
Supercopa ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
85-86
85
86
-1
76avg 84
A29/09
ACB
Bayern
#7
L
89-97
89
97
-8
86avg 84
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 84
H06/10
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
93-86
93
86
+7
91avg 84
H10/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
L
79-83
79
83
-4
74avg 84
A13/10
ACB
Baskonia
#14
L
72-76
72
76
-4
70avg 84
A15/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 84
H17/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
15-21
34-16
18-17
20-18
21-24
26-19
22-22
19-32
26-17
18-19
17-22
22-16
22-21
19-23
22-26
29-26
22-26
22-12
16-33
23-20
24-26
28-23
26-26
24-24
26-23
18-17
25-22
18-22
16-24
25-14
20-23
18-16
17-20
17-12
20-28
28-19
15-19
27-20
20-28
171.7Avg total
86.2Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.388.0176.3+0.333%
Season at home (1)101.095.0196.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)82.084.5166.5-2.50%
Last 10 (10)86.285.5171.7+0.750%
Last 5 (5)87.085.2172.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar (6)85.286.0171.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.582.0171.5+7.582%
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGirona
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
60-74
60
74
-14
54avg 68
A07/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
64avg 68
H14/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
90-96
90
96
-6
79avg 68
A21/04
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
81-68
81
68
+13
67avg 68
H27/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
96-92
96
92
+4
92avg 68
A05/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
83avg 68
A10/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
79-89
79
89
-10
79avg 68
H12/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
62avg 68
A28/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
78avg 68
H06/10
ACB
Granada
#17
L
52-82
52
82
-30
38avg 68
H12/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-19
21-23
11-12
19-20
12-26
19-11
24-24
20-20
21-23
15-26
20-20
34-27
14-15
22-12
23-21
22-20
37-26
17-22
19-18
23-26
22-21
19-19
15-24
30-14
11-23
21-17
35-20
12-29
10-19
17-20
23-28
23-23
18-25
26-13
18-23
22-19
10-14
15-19
13-27
14-22
160.6Avg total
77.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.784.0153.7-14.333%
Season at home (2)68.081.0149.0-13.050%
Season away (1)73.090.0163.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)77.683.0160.6-5.440%
Last 5 (5)74.883.8158.6-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.890.3171.1-9.533%
vs Similar (15)78.182.6160.7-4.533%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
Real MadridBasquet Girona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/06
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H22/09
Supercopa ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A29/09
ACB
Bayern
#7
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H06/10
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H10/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A13/10
ACB
Baskonia
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A15/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H17/10
Euroleague
85.5Avg total
42.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.784.5+3.170%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.740.786.4+5.083%-
Last 30 away (12)40.840.781.5+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.385.5-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.684.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (6)48.243.291.3+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.639.682.2+3.077%-
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A07/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H14/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A21/04
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H27/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A05/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H12/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A28/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H06/10
ACB
Granada
#17
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H12/10
ACB
74.9Avg total
35.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.742.981.6-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.940.980.8-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)37.644.982.5-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)35.639.374.9-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.071.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.746.086.7-5.327%-
vs Similar (15)36.839.876.6-3.027%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.8
55.9%
54.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.6
35.2%
35.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.816.8
77.1%
76.4%16.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basquet Gironatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basquet Girona: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.8
48.4%
54.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.1
33.6%
35.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.414.2
77.2%
76.4%14.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLLWWLLLWW
Basquet Girona
LWLLWWWLLL
#1
League position
#14
+0.1
Net rating
-6.7
114.1
Offensive rating
101.9
114.0
Defensive rating
108.6
54.5%
Effective FG%
49.2%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.2%
3-point %
33.6%
56.8%
Assist %
59.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 101.9Defence114.0 · 108.6Shooting54.5% · 49.2%3-point %35.2% · 33.6%Ball care16.6% · 18.5%Off. rebounds30.8% · 28.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Basquet Girona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Real Madrid wins
0
Basquet Girona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24HPanathinaikos90-86
15/10/24ABaskonia72-76
13/10/24ABilbao79-83
10/10/24HPartizan93-86
06/10/24HBasket Zaragoza101-95
03/10/24ABayern89-97
29/09/24ALeyma Coruna85-86
22/09/24HUnicaja80-90
21/09/24HBarcelona89-83
12/06/24AMurcia84-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HGranada52-82
06/10/24HManresa84-80
28/09/24AUnicaja73-90
12/05/24HBasket Zaragoza79-89
10/05/24AGran Canaria86-78
05/05/24ABaskonia96-92
27/04/24HBilbao81-68
21/04/24AJoventut Badalona90-96
14/04/24HBarcelona75-81
07/04/24ATenerife60-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game88.3101.082.0
Allowed / game88.095.084.5
Point differential+0.3+6.0-2.5
Avg total176.3196.0166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basquet Girona
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game69.768.073.0
Allowed / game84.081.090.0
Point differential-14.3-13.0-17.0
Avg total153.7149.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja440100%91.271.8+19.5
2 Barcelona330100%88.076.7+11.3
3 Gran Canaria43175%77.272.2+5.0
4 Valencia32167%81.370.7+10.7
5 Manresa32167%78.771.7+7.0
6 MoraBanc Andorra32167%92.789.7+3.0
7 Tenerife21150%89.587.5+2.0
8 Bilbao42250%80.880.0+0.8
9 Murcia42250%86.285.8+0.5
10 Basket Zaragoza42250%91.593.8-2.2
11 Real Madrid31233%88.388.0+0.3
12 Baskonia31233%88.791.7-3.0
13 Granada31233%71.775.7-4.0
14 Breogan31233%74.382.3-8.0
15 Basquet Girona31233%69.784.0-14.3
16 Joventut Badalona41325%79.083.0-4.0
17 Leyma Coruna41325%82.091.8-9.8
18 Forca Lleida3030%76.093.3-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2322311995
Basquet Girona1816151867
← all games of the day
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