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Baskonia vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 76-74
13-27 20-12 18-19 25-16
Position#8
Record15-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Position#16
Record8-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game79.4
SpainACBRound 29· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Baskonia v Breogan
27 Dec 2026
BAS v BRE
upcoming
03 May 2026
BAS112
BRE84
19 Jan 2025
BAS97
BRE91
14 Apr 2024
BAS76
BRE74
30 Apr 2023
BAS97
BRE76
20 Mar 2022
BAS89
BRE84
09 Dec 2018
BAS100
BRE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 67
H14/03
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
104-88
104
88
+16
106avg 67
H16/03
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 67
A19/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
76-94
76
94
-18
66avg 67
A21/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
80-82
80
82
-2
70avg 67
A24/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
76-97
76
97
-21
66avg 67
H28/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
102-94
102
94
+8
99avg 67
H30/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
95-91
95
91
+4
92avg 67
A05/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
101-111
101
111
-10
95avg 67
A07/04
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
95-91
95
91
+4
87avg 67
A12/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
29-16
21-21
19-18
27-21
25-23
25-16
27-28
16-23
26-21
18-25
23-18
17-25
17-23
23-23
19-23
22-28
19-15
22-16
17-23
22-32
23-17
8-28
23-20
30-18
28-22
23-26
21-28
17-27
25-21
23-16
30-27
14-31
20-31
31-25
36-24
21-22
23-31
31-21
20-17
180.8Avg total
90.0Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)87.687.9175.5-0.254%
Season at home (14)92.687.6180.2+4.971%
Season away (14)82.788.1170.8-5.436%
Last 10 (10)90.090.8180.8-0.850%
Last 5 (5)93.896.8190.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.489.7178.1-1.357%
vs Similar (18)87.990.7178.6-2.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.481.0172.4+10.480%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 64
H21/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
68-83
68
83
-15
58avg 64
A27/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
61-63
61
63
-2
48avg 64
A03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 64
H11/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
59avg 64
A02/03
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
61avg 64
H09/03
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
82avg 64
A17/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
72-83
72
83
-11
60avg 64
A23/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
68-80
68
80
-12
59avg 64
H30/03
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
73-65
73
65
+8
46avg 64
H06/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
25-18
28-16
26-23
12-15
16-25
23-22
17-21
17-11
11-20
12-16
21-16
24-15
18-24
15-15
16-26
14-16
16-24
19-20
21-18
13-17
20-17
13-22
19-20
26-23
20-24
21-25
21-13
14-25
13-16
23-21
22-21
9-16
23-21
16-19
20-24
16-16
17-19
15-12
25-18
149.9Avg total
73.1Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.879.4153.2-5.629%
Season at home (14)76.678.5155.1-1.936%
Season away (14)71.180.3151.4-9.221%
Last 10 (10)73.176.8149.9-3.730%
Last 5 (5)73.277.8151.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.183.9154.0-13.811%
vs Similar (19)79.080.1159.1-1.142%
vs Weaker (2)69.071.0140.0-2.050%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
BaskoniaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/03
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H16/03
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A19/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A21/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A24/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H28/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H30/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A05/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
34-62
34
62
-28
A07/04
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A12/04
Euroleague
90.5Avg total
44.0Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.887.9-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.585.5+2.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.148.190.2-5.913%-
Last 10 (10)44.046.590.5-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.650.495.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.444.686.0-3.129%-
vs Similar (18)42.946.289.1-3.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.040.086.0+6.080%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A27/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A02/03
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H09/03
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A17/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A23/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/03
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H06/04
ACB
71.8Avg total
33.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.040.676.6-4.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.938.476.2-0.536%-
Last 30 away (16)34.442.677.0-8.112%-
Last 10 (10)33.838.071.8-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.238.873.0-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.642.479.0-5.922%-
vs Similar (19)36.340.076.3-3.726%-
vs Weaker (2)31.538.069.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.9
59.7%
53.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.5
36.7%
34.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.716.5
76.0%
75.6%16.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.215.8
47.6%
53.0%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.8
31.2%
34.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.014.5
72.5%
75.6%14.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLWWLLLLWW
Breogan
WLLWLLLLLW
#8
League position
#16
-1.6
Net rating
-4.6
117.4
Offensive rating
100.9
119.0
Defensive rating
105.5
57.7%
Effective FG%
47.2%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.9%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.7%
3-point %
31.2%
56.1%
Assist %
65.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 100.9Defence119.0 · 105.5Shooting57.7% · 47.2%3-point %36.7% · 31.2%Ball care16.7% · 18.9%Off. rebounds28.2% · 31.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Baskonia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baskonia wins
1
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
24/09/23Breogan v Baskonia79-88
30/04/23Baskonia v Breogan97-76
27/12/22Breogan v Baskonia77-86
20/03/22Baskonia v Breogan89-84
19/01/22Breogan v Baskonia89-83
10/03/19Breogan v Baskonia72-90
09/12/18Baskonia v Breogan100-78
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/24AVirtus Bologna95-91
07/04/24AValencia101-111
05/04/24AReal Madrid95-91
30/03/24HBasket Zaragoza102-94
28/03/24HAnadolu Efes76-97
24/03/24ABilbao80-82
21/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas76-94
19/03/24APartizan83-87
16/03/24HGranada104-88
14/03/24HOlimpia Milano88-73
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HPalencia73-65
30/03/24HBilbao68-80
23/03/24AObradoiro CAB72-83
17/03/24ABarcelona88-85
09/03/24HUnicaja65-76
02/03/24AJoventut Badalona70-78
11/02/24HReal Madrid73-80
03/02/24ABasket Zaragoza61-63
27/01/24AManresa68-83
21/01/24HBasquet Girona93-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL54%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%71%36%
Points / game87.692.682.7
Allowed / game87.987.688.1
Point differential-0.2+4.9-5.4
Avg total175.5180.2170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeWLLLW36%
AwayLLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %29%36%21%
Points / game73.876.671.1
Allowed / game79.478.580.3
Point differential-5.6-1.9-9.2
Avg total153.2155.1151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja2924583%88.176.5+11.6
2 Real Madrid2823582%87.778.5+9.2
3 Barcelona2819968%87.880.4+7.4
4 Tenerife29191066%84.880.1+4.7
5 Murcia29191066%84.279.7+4.6
6 Gran Canaria28171161%84.181.2+2.8
7 Valencia28171161%82.981.0+1.9
8 Manresa29171259%84.183.7+0.4
9 Baskonia28151354%87.687.9-0.2
10 Joventut Badalona28141450%80.985.3-4.4
11 Bilbao29131645%79.681.4-1.9
12 Basket Zaragoza29111838%82.685.8-3.2
13 MoraBanc Andorra28101836%82.483.8-1.4
14 Basquet Girona28101836%80.286.1-5.8
15 Breogan2882029%73.879.4-5.6
16 Granada2882029%80.687.0-6.4
17 Obradoiro CAB2972224%80.685.6-5.0
18 Palencia2952417%78.186.9-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1320182576
Breogan2712191674
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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