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Breogan vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 60-65
15-16 12-18 8-20 25-11
Position#10
Record13-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game80.3
Breogan
Spain
vs
Murcia 🏆
Spain
Position#9
Record14-17
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game84.5
SpainACBRound 31
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Breogan v Murcia
03 Jan 2027
BRE v MUR
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
BRE95
MUR106
22 Mar 2025
BRE70
MUR86
17 Dec 2023
BRE74
MUR83
07 May 2023
BRE60
MUR65
31 Oct 2021
BRE94
MUR89
10 Feb 2019
BRE77
MUR73
09 Jan 2011
BRE73
MUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#17
L
114-115 OT
114
115
-1
no box
H04/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
92avg 66
A12/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
71-87
71
87
-16
57avg 66
H19/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
62avg 66
A25/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
42avg 66
H01/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
96-72
96
72
+24
85avg 66
H08/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
39avg 66
A15/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
63avg 66
H20/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
67-85
67
85
-18
53avg 66
A23/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 66
A30/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
25-20
22-27
23-23
24-16
14-23
37-18
17-16
20-28
19-21
21-24
11-14
14-17
19-24
22-10
19-16
19-19
10-27
22-23
14-16
21-12
18-22
31-17
26-21
14-13
21-26
11-23
20-15
15-20
22-24
25-24
12-22
19-21
13-19
15-18
20-27
18-22
19-23
13-22
26-30
164.3Avg total
79.5Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.880.3158.1-2.543%
Season at home (15)79.179.6158.7-0.540%
Season away (15)76.481.0157.4-4.647%
Last 10 (10)79.584.8164.3-5.330%
Last 5 (5)75.884.2160.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.184.6153.8-15.57%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.577.8163.3+7.775%
vs Weaker (4)84.872.5157.2+12.275%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Granada
#16
L
67-88
67
88
-21
52avg 69
A25/03
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
102-79
102
79
+23
no box
H02/04
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
67-83
67
83
-16
59avg 69
A04/04
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
79-81
79
81
-2
66avg 69
A08/04
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
74-96
74
96
-22
61avg 69
H12/04
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H16/04
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
86avg 69
H19/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
83-93
83
93
-10
74avg 69
A23/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
83-64
83
64
+19
71avg 69
H29/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
no box
A03/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
17-23
22-25
12-14
26-20
21-26
30-14
25-19
10-23
17-22
18-23
22-15
15-20
13-19
28-19
23-23
20-16
20-24
20-29
14-27
17-8
13-15
18-25
31-26
25-24
22-22
20-19
23-17
19-14
23-25
20-28
21-26
12-23
16-11
30-15
25-15
18-24
24-25
29-12
25-35
168.4Avg total
83.5Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.584.5165.9-3.045%
Season at home (16)84.279.8164.0+4.462%
Season away (15)78.589.5168.0-10.927%
Last 10 (10)83.584.9168.4-1.450%
Last 5 (5)89.284.4173.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.886.8165.5-8.031%
vs Similar ◀ (12)86.183.3169.4+2.858%
vs Weaker (5)86.281.0167.2+5.280%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
BreoganMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#17
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H04/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H19/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A25/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H01/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A23/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/04
ACB
78.5Avg total
36.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.439.475.8-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.738.975.6-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)36.139.976.0-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)36.641.978.5-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.476.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.242.275.4-9.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.837.776.5+1.258%-
vs Weaker (4)40.035.075.0+5.025%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#16
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A25/03
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H02/04
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A04/04
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A08/04
ACB
Unicaja
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H12/04
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H16/04
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H19/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A23/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H29/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A03/05
ACB
77.4Avg total
36.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.178.3-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.137.477.6+2.750%-
Last 30 away (16)36.542.478.9-5.931%-
Last 10 (10)36.441.077.4-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.276.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.640.577.2-3.923%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.038.378.3+1.767%-
vs Weaker (5)38.043.081.0-5.020%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.420.8
46.8%
52.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.2
33.2%
34.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.19.5
62.9%
73.9%9.5
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.7
49.2%
52.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.6
31.4%
34.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.214.3
74.5%
73.9%14.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLLLWLWLWL
Murcia
WWLWWLLLWL
#10
League position
#9
-11.6
Net rating
-1.8
102.4
Offensive rating
102.0
114.0
Defensive rating
103.8
47.8%
Effective FG%
48.2%
59.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.2%
3-point %
31.4%
48.6%
Assist %
56.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 102.0Defence114.0 · 103.8Shooting47.8% · 48.2%3-point %33.2% · 31.4%Ball care15.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds32.2% · 27.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Breogan   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Breogan wins
3
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
29/09/22Murcia v Breogan70-84
23/03/22Murcia v Breogan91-72
31/10/21Breogan v Murcia94-89
10/02/19Breogan v Murcia77-73
03/11/18Murcia v Breogan76-64
09/01/11Breogan v Murcia73-84
01/10/10Murcia v Breogan83-87
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/23ABaskonia76-97
23/04/23ATenerife67-85
20/04/23HUnicaja74-90
15/04/23AGran Canaria66-77
08/04/23HReal Madrid96-72
01/04/23HJoventut Badalona65-85
25/03/23AObradoiro CAB74-67
19/03/23HBasket Zaragoza71-87
12/03/23AFuenlabrada92-73
04/03/23HReal Betis114-115 OT
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/23ATenerife111-109 OT
29/04/23HFuenlabrada83-64
23/04/23AManresa83-93
19/04/23HValencia90-82
16/04/23HBasket Zaragoza79-74
12/04/23HUnicaja74-96
08/04/23AObradoiro CAB79-81
04/04/23AUnicaja67-83
02/04/23HBasquet Girona102-79
25/03/23AGranada67-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayWWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %43%40%47%
Points / game77.879.176.4
Allowed / game80.379.681.0
Point differential-2.5-0.5-4.6
Avg total158.1158.7157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Murcia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW45%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %45%62%27%
Points / game81.584.278.5
Allowed / game84.579.889.5
Point differential-3.0+4.4-10.9
Avg total165.9164.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3025583%84.173.6+10.5
2 Baskonia3025583%92.782.7+10.0
3 Real Madrid3024680%88.377.6+10.8
4 Tenerife3223972%83.574.2+9.3
5 Unicaja3122971%87.177.2+9.9
6 Gran Canaria30181260%83.478.4+5.0
7 Joventut Badalona31181358%81.678.0+3.6
8 Valencia30161453%84.183.5+0.6
9 Murcia31141745%81.584.5-3.0
10 Breogan30131743%77.880.3-2.5
11 Bilbao31131842%76.780.6-3.9
12 Obradoiro CAB31131842%78.482.9-4.5
13 Basket Zaragoza31121939%79.080.5-1.5
14 Basquet Girona31102132%76.181.3-5.2
15 Real Betis3192229%77.684.1-6.5
16 Manresa3192229%83.289.9-6.7
17 Granada3182326%76.487.0-10.6
18 Fuenlabrada3042613%76.691.5-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan151282560
Murcia1618201165
← all games of the day
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