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Baskonia vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 97-76
22-18 23-19 22-13 30-26
Position#2
Record24-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#10
Record13-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game79.7
SpainACBRound 30
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Baskonia v Breogan
27 Dec 2026
BAS v BRE
upcoming
03 May 2026
BAS112
BRE84
19 Jan 2025
BAS97
BRE91
14 Apr 2024
BAS76
BRE74
30 Apr 2023
BAS97
BRE76
20 Mar 2022
BAS89
BRE84
09 Dec 2018
BAS100
BRE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#12
W
100-78
100
78
+22
98avg 68
H26/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
93-87
93
87
+6
90avg 68
H28/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
92-69
92
69
+23
90avg 68
H31/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 68
A02/04
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
120-100
120
100
+20
121avg 68
H06/04
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
107-92
107
92
+15
103avg 68
H09/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
62avg 68
A13/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
81-83
81
83
-2
74avg 68
A16/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
110-94
110
94
+16
-791avg 68
H19/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
112-93
112
93
+19
111avg 68
A23/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
27-10
27-25
22-26
25-24
19-24
24-19
25-20
25-27
13-17
22-14
32-11
14-18
23-17
19-20
29-26
32-24
23-27
33-24
32-25
27-23
26-23
29-25
25-21
11-19
22-26
22-21
23-20
21-23
19-21
14-16
27-23
34-9
24-31
20-23
32-31
32-18
23-23
20-22
37-30
184.1Avg total
97.8Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)92.683.0175.6+9.683%
Season at home (14)97.083.9180.9+13.193%
Season away (15)88.582.1170.6+6.373%
Last 10 (10)97.886.3184.1+11.580%
Last 5 (5)97.689.6187.2+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.086.0164.0-8.00%
vs Similar (10)86.986.7173.6+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)95.285.1180.2+10.178%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
54-82
54
82
-28
36avg 66
A12/02
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
114-115 OT
114
115
-1
no box
H04/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
92avg 66
A12/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
71-87
71
87
-16
57avg 66
H19/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
62avg 66
A25/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
42avg 66
H01/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
96-72
96
72
+24
85avg 66
H08/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
39avg 66
A15/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
63avg 66
H20/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
67-85
67
85
-18
53avg 66
A23/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
12-15
13-23
17-24
22-22
25-20
22-27
23-23
24-16
14-23
37-18
17-16
20-28
19-21
21-24
11-14
14-17
19-24
22-10
19-16
19-19
10-27
22-23
14-16
21-12
18-22
31-17
26-21
14-13
21-26
11-23
20-15
15-20
22-24
25-24
12-22
19-21
13-19
15-18
20-27
160.6Avg total
77.3Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.879.7157.6-1.945%
Season at home (15)79.179.6158.7-0.540%
Season away (14)76.479.9156.3-3.450%
Last 10 (10)77.383.3160.6-6.030%
Last 5 (5)73.681.8155.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)68.683.7152.3-15.18%
vs Similar (12)85.577.8163.3+7.775%
vs Weaker (4)84.872.5157.2+12.275%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
BaskoniaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#12
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H26/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H28/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H31/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A02/04
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H06/04
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H09/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A13/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A16/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H19/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A23/04
ACB
88.5Avg total
46.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.685.5+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.442.991.3+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.940.580.4-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)46.442.188.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)47.843.291.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (10)40.545.385.8-4.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.439.886.2+6.778%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A12/02
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H04/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H19/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A25/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H01/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A23/04
ACB
76.2Avg total
35.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.075.3-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.738.975.6-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)35.939.174.9-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)35.340.976.2-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.675.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.942.074.9-9.115%-
vs Similar (12)38.837.776.5+1.258%-
vs Weaker (4)40.035.075.0+5.025%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 97.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.819.1
58.2%
52.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.413.4
41.4%
34.5%40.2
🏀 Free throws23.618.8
79.7%
73.9%18.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.419.9
46.9%
52.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.1
35.1%
34.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.410.4
63.4%
73.9%10.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WWLLWWWWWW
Breogan
LLLWLWLWLL
#2
League position
#10
+16.1
Net rating
-4.9
129.2
Offensive rating
105.0
113.1
Defensive rating
110.0
60.1%
Effective FG%
48.9%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.7%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.25
41.4%
3-point %
35.1%
64.9%
Assist %
51.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence129.2 · 105.0Defence113.1 · 110.0Shooting60.1% · 48.9%3-point %41.4% · 35.1%Ball care14.6% · 14.7%Off. rebounds33.2% · 31.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Baskonia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Baskonia wins
1
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
27/12/22Breogan v Baskonia77-86
20/03/22Baskonia v Breogan89-84
19/01/22Breogan v Baskonia89-83
10/03/19Breogan v Baskonia72-90
09/12/18Baskonia v Breogan100-78
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23AFuenlabrada112-93
19/04/23HObradoiro CAB110-94
16/04/23ATenerife81-83
13/04/23AOlympiacos78-86
09/04/23HManresa107-92
06/04/23HLyon-Villeurbanne120-100
02/04/23AValencia85-81
31/03/23HFenerbahce92-69
28/03/23HAlba Berlin93-87
26/03/23HBilbao100-78
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23ATenerife67-85
20/04/23HUnicaja74-90
15/04/23AGran Canaria66-77
08/04/23HReal Madrid96-72
01/04/23HJoventut Badalona65-85
25/03/23AObradoiro CAB74-67
19/03/23HBasket Zaragoza71-87
12/03/23AFuenlabrada92-73
04/03/23HReal Betis114-115 OT
12/02/23ABarcelona54-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %83%93%73%
Points / game92.697.088.5
Allowed / game83.083.982.1
Point differential+9.6+13.1+6.3
Avg total175.6180.9170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%64%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Breogan
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game77.879.176.4
Allowed / game79.779.679.9
Point differential-1.9-0.5-3.4
Avg total157.6158.7156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3025583%84.173.6+10.5
2 Baskonia2924583%92.683.0+9.6
3 Real Madrid3024680%88.377.6+10.8
4 Tenerife3022873%82.573.0+9.5
5 Unicaja3021970%86.876.9+9.9
6 Gran Canaria30181260%83.478.4+5.0
7 Joventut Badalona30181260%81.877.7+4.1
8 Valencia30161453%84.183.5+0.6
9 Breogan29131645%77.879.7-1.9
10 Murcia30131743%80.583.7-3.2
11 Bilbao30131743%76.780.4-3.8
12 Obradoiro CAB30121840%78.182.9-4.8
13 Basket Zaragoza30111937%78.880.7-1.9
14 Basquet Girona30102033%76.381.1-4.8
15 Manresa3092130%83.089.7-6.6
16 Real Betis3082227%77.484.3-7.0
17 Granada3082227%76.287.0-10.8
18 Fuenlabrada3042613%76.691.5-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2223223097
Breogan1819132676
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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