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Breogan vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 96-72
21-12 18-22 31-17 26-21
Position#10
Record12-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game79.5
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Real Madrid
Spain
Position#3
Record21-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game76.1
SpainACBRound 26
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Breogan v Real Madrid
12 Dec 2026
BRE v MAD
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
BRE85
MAD103
11 May 2025
BRE69
MAD79
11 Feb 2024
BRE73
MAD80
08 Apr 2023
BRE96
MAD72
17 Oct 2021
BRE71
MAD79
16 Dec 2018
BRE84
MAD71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
66-100
66
100
-34
51avg 68
A14/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
63avg 68
A22/01
ACB
Granada
#16
W
99-67
99
67
+32
96avg 68
H28/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
92-70
92
70
+22
86avg 68
H05/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
54-82
54
82
-28
36avg 68
A12/02
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
114-115 OT
114
115
-1
no box
H04/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
92avg 68
A12/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
71-87
71
87
-16
57avg 68
H19/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
62avg 68
A25/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
42avg 68
H01/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
12-26
21-21
18-26
11-24
26-22
9-28
27-17
29-12
30-12
24-18
16-25
20-20
13-19
31-20
28-11
12-20
12-15
13-23
17-24
22-22
25-20
22-27
23-23
24-16
14-23
37-18
17-16
20-28
19-21
21-24
11-14
14-17
19-24
22-10
19-16
19-19
10-27
22-23
14-16
163.7Avg total
80.0Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.279.5157.7-1.448%
Season at home (13)78.279.4157.6-1.238%
Season away (12)78.179.7157.8-1.658%
Last 10 (10)80.083.7163.7-3.740%
Last 5 (5)83.285.4168.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)66.183.8149.9-17.70%
vs Similar (15)84.779.3164.0+5.373%
vs Weaker (4)84.872.5157.2+12.275%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#12
W
86-65
86
65
+21
82avg 83
H12/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
90avg 83
A14/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
91-87
91
87
+4
83avg 83
H16/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
82avg 83
H19/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
96-79
96
79
+17
92avg 83
A24/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
102-78
102
78
+24
101avg 83
A26/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
90-75
90
75
+15
98avg 83
H29/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
90-104
90
104
-14
88avg 83
A31/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
108-75
108
75
+33
102avg 83
H02/04
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
79-67
79
67
+12
76avg 83
H06/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
27-13
26-13
22-24
24-18
15-24
21-35
29-13
24-23
18-17
25-26
24-21
27-15
18-24
24-31
19-25
26-12
24-21
18-25
28-21
29-13
21-18
32-26
20-21
24-21
25-23
19-14
22-17
23-21
15-28
34-29
18-26
30-15
29-22
22-21
27-17
19-13
21-23
16-8
23-23
173.4Avg total
91.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)89.176.1165.2+13.084%
Season at home (13)92.276.3168.5+15.985%
Season away (12)85.875.8161.6+9.983%
Last 10 (10)91.981.5173.4+10.470%
Last 5 (5)93.879.8173.6+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
vs Similar (9)86.183.3169.4+2.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.274.9165.1+15.2100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
BreoganReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A14/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A22/01
ACB
Granada
#16
W
59-24
59
24
+35
H28/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H05/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A12/02
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H04/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H19/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A25/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H01/04
ACB
78.0Avg total
36.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.338.776.0-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.976.3+0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)36.139.575.6-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)36.641.478.0-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)37.243.480.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.341.975.2-8.620%-
vs Similar (15)39.438.077.4+1.453%-
vs Weaker (4)40.035.075.0+5.025%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#12
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H12/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A14/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H19/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A24/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A26/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H29/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A31/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H02/04
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H06/04
Euroleague
82.9Avg total
45.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.536.280.7+8.283%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.636.982.5+8.788%-
Last 30 away (13)43.035.478.4+7.677%-
Last 10 (10)45.037.982.9+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)47.239.486.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (9)41.739.981.6+1.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.334.580.7+11.8100%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.3
49.4%
52.1%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.6
32.3%
34.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws14.99.4
63.1%
73.9%9.4
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.8
57.9%
52.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.811.2
40.3%
34.5%33.6
🏀 Free throws23.418.1
77.4%
73.9%18.1
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LWLWLLWWLL
Real Madrid
WWLWWWLWLW
#10
League position
#3
-3.5
Net rating
+14.2
103.3
Offensive rating
122.0
106.8
Defensive rating
107.8
49.1%
Effective FG%
59.0%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.2%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.3%
3-point %
40.3%
55.0%
Assist %
66.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 122.0Defence106.8 · 107.8Shooting49.1% · 59.0%3-point %32.3% · 40.3%Ball care14.1% · 16.2%Off. rebounds29.0% · 30.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Breogan   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Breogan wins
5
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
22/01/23Real Madrid v Breogan91-73
17/04/22Real Madrid v Breogan90-65
17/02/22Real Madrid v Breogan73-67
17/10/21Breogan v Real Madrid71-79
27/04/19Real Madrid v Breogan94-89
16/12/18Breogan v Real Madrid84-71
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23HJoventut Badalona65-85
25/03/23AObradoiro CAB74-67
19/03/23HBasket Zaragoza71-87
12/03/23AFuenlabrada92-73
04/03/23HReal Betis114-115 OT
12/02/23ABarcelona54-82
05/02/23HBasquet Girona92-70
28/01/23HGranada99-67
22/01/23AReal Madrid73-91
14/01/23AUnicaja66-100
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/23HBayern79-67
02/04/23HGranada108-75
31/03/23APartizan90-104
29/03/23HFenerbahce90-75
26/03/23AFuenlabrada102-78
24/03/23AVirtus Bologna96-79
19/03/23HBaskonia88-95
16/03/23HOlimpia Milano91-87
14/03/23AAnadolu Efes89-90
12/03/23HBilbao86-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL48%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayLLLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %48%38%58%
Points / game78.278.278.1
Allowed / game79.579.479.7
Point differential-1.4-1.2-1.6
Avg total157.7157.6157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%23%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Real Madrid
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW84%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %84%85%83%
Points / game89.192.285.8
Allowed / game76.176.375.8
Point differential+13.0+15.9+9.9
Avg total165.2168.5161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%85%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2521484%89.176.1+13.0
2 Barcelona2521484%84.273.3+10.9
3 Baskonia2521484%91.081.8+9.2
4 Tenerife2518772%82.673.2+9.4
5 Unicaja2617965%87.077.1+10.0
6 Gran Canaria26161062%84.478.8+5.5
7 Joventut Badalona26161062%82.078.2+3.8
8 Valencia25131252%84.083.3+0.7
9 Breogan25121348%78.279.5-1.4
10 Obradoiro CAB26121446%77.581.1-3.7
11 Bilbao25111444%76.880.1-3.3
12 Murcia26101638%80.084.5-4.5
13 Basket Zaragoza2591636%78.380.5-2.2
14 Basquet Girona2581732%76.381.6-5.3
15 Granada2681831%77.287.8-10.6
16 Manresa2571828%82.289.8-7.5
17 Real Betis2552020%76.685.5-9.0
18 Fuenlabrada2532212%77.092.2-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2118312696
Real Madrid1222172172
← all games of the day
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