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Breogan vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 73-80
24-15 18-24 15-15 16-26
Position#16
Record6-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#1
Record18-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game78.5
SpainACBRound 22· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Breogan v Real Madrid
12 Dec 2026
BRE v MAD
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
BRE85
MAD103
11 May 2025
BRE69
MAD79
11 Feb 2024
BRE73
MAD80
08 Apr 2023
BRE96
MAD72
17 Oct 2021
BRE71
MAD79
16 Dec 2018
BRE84
MAD71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
88-90
88
90
-2
80avg 64
H23/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
60-86
60
86
-26
47avg 64
A30/12
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
L
85-89
85
89
-4
89avg 64
A03/01
Champions League
Granada
#17
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 64
H07/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
W
80-73
80
73
+7
80avg 64
H10/01
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
73avg 64
A14/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
L
76-86
76
86
-10
67avg 64
A17/01
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 64
H21/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
68-83
68
83
-15
58avg 64
A27/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
61-63
61
63
-2
48avg 64
A03/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
18-23
24-20
24-24
10-22
25-28
9-23
16-13
20-24
19-28
23-21
23-16
25-13
27-27
14-24
19-15
24-23
16-18
21-21
19-11
24-24
23-18
21-17
12-29
17-22
22-21
17-19
20-24
14-18
25-18
28-16
26-23
12-15
16-25
23-22
17-21
17-11
11-20
12-16
21-16
158.8Avg total
77.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.279.8154.0-5.629%
Season at home (10)79.379.8159.1-0.540%
Season away (11)69.579.8149.4-10.318%
Last 10 (10)77.681.2158.8-3.630%
Last 5 (5)75.679.0154.6-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.383.4152.8-14.10%
vs Similar (18)80.379.6159.9+0.750%
vs Weaker (3)64.066.3130.3-2.333%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
W
96-86 OT
96
86
+10
91avg 76
H11/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
L
61-73
61
73
-12
58avg 76
A14/01
ACB
Monaco
#3
L
74-98
74
98
-24
61avg 76
A19/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
95-80
95
80
+15
99avg 76
H21/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
90-85
90
85
+5
92avg 76
H25/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
77-100
77
100
-23
60avg 76
A28/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
106-101
106
101
+5
110avg 76
H30/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 76
H01/02
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
92-79
92
79
+13
93avg 76
H04/02
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-81
76
81
-5
76avg 76
A08/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
19-16
23-15
24-27
16-19
10-17
25-16
10-21
20-33
20-23
14-24
20-18
30-22
18-16
28-14
19-28
30-13
22-17
16-25
22-30
9-25
27-32
24-21
17-22
29-18
23-27
28-28
26-28
24-18
21-17
17-15
24-29
28-18
20-26
20-14
24-21
19-23
10-25
25-18
22-15
171.5Avg total
85.3Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.678.5168.1+11.186%
Season at home (11)92.776.9169.6+15.891%
Season away (10)86.280.3166.5+5.980%
Last 10 (10)85.386.2171.5-0.960%
Last 5 (5)87.488.0175.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)87.583.2170.8+4.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)89.680.6170.2+9.077%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
BreoganReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H23/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A30/12
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A03/01
Champions League
Granada
#17
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H07/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/01
Champions League
Valencia
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A14/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/01
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A27/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A03/02
ACB
80.8Avg total
38.7Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.439.875.2-4.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.638.375.9-0.736%-
Last 30 away (16)33.541.174.6-7.612%-
Last 10 (10)38.742.180.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.474.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.640.473.0-7.911%-
vs Similar (18)37.740.678.3-2.928%-
vs Weaker (3)30.033.063.0-3.033%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H11/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A14/01
ACB
Monaco
#3
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A19/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H21/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H25/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A28/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H30/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H01/02
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H04/02
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A08/02
Euroleague
84.0Avg total
41.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.982.5+4.780%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.736.382.0+9.393%-
Last 30 away (15)41.541.583.0+0.167%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.984.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.887.8-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)47.237.584.8+9.8100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.039.182.2+3.977%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.617.1
54.1%
53.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.0
32.3%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.915.4
73.7%
75.6%15.4
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.1
52.9%
53.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.3
38.1%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.717.4
84.1%
75.6%17.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLWLLWWLLL
Real Madrid
LWWWLWWLLW
#16
League position
#1
-5.3
Net rating
-0.9
106.3
Offensive rating
113.1
111.6
Defensive rating
114.1
51.4%
Effective FG%
54.8%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
19.9%
Turnover %
17.7%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.3%
3-point %
38.1%
64.8%
Assist %
69.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 113.1Defence111.6 · 114.1Shooting51.4% · 54.8%3-point %32.3% · 38.1%Ball care19.9% · 17.7%Off. rebounds32.0% · 26.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Breogan   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breogan wins
6
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Real Madrid v Breogan91-58
08/04/23Breogan v Real Madrid96-72
22/01/23Real Madrid v Breogan91-73
17/04/22Real Madrid v Breogan90-65
17/02/22Real Madrid v Breogan73-67
17/10/21Breogan v Real Madrid71-79
27/04/19Real Madrid v Breogan94-89
16/12/18Breogan v Real Madrid84-71
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24ABasket Zaragoza61-63
27/01/24AManresa68-83
21/01/24HBasquet Girona93-75
17/01/24AKarsiyaka76-86
14/01/24AValencia80-88
10/01/24HKarsiyaka80-73
07/01/24HGranada85-79
03/01/24AKarsiyaka85-89
30/12/23AGran Canaria60-86
23/12/23HObradoiro CAB88-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24AOlimpia Milano76-81
04/02/24HBasquet Girona92-79
01/02/24HLyon-Villeurbanne86-79
30/01/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv106-101
28/01/24AGran Canaria77-100
25/01/24HOlympiacos90-85
21/01/24HBilbao95-80
19/01/24AMonaco74-98
14/01/24AMurcia61-73
11/01/24HValencia96-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeWLLWW40%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%40%18%
Points / game74.279.369.5
Allowed / game79.879.879.8
Point differential-5.6-0.5-10.3
Avg total154.0159.1149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Real Madrid
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW86%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWLL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %86%91%80%
Points / game89.692.786.2
Allowed / game78.576.980.3
Point differential+11.1+15.8+5.9
Avg total168.1169.6166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%64%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2118386%89.678.5+11.1
2 Unicaja2218482%87.576.9+10.6
3 Barcelona2114767%86.379.9+6.5
4 Gran Canaria2214864%83.381.2+2.0
5 Valencia2113862%80.178.7+1.4
6 Tenerife2213959%84.481.4+3.0
7 Murcia2112957%82.779.7+3.0
8 Manresa2112957%84.884.3+0.5
9 Baskonia2112957%86.086.2-0.2
10 Joventut Badalona2112957%82.086.0-4.0
11 Basket Zaragoza2291341%81.682.9-1.3
12 Bilbao2181338%77.881.2-3.4
13 MoraBanc Andorra2281436%83.784.5-0.8
14 Basquet Girona2281436%81.086.1-5.2
15 Granada2161529%81.586.3-4.8
16 Breogan2161529%74.279.8-5.6
17 Obradoiro CAB2261627%80.584.5-4.0
18 Palencia2241818%77.786.3-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2418151673
Real Madrid1524152680
← all games of the day
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