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Brescia vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-71
23-22 18-16 18-19 21-14
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game75.0
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#7
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game79.0
ItalyLega ARound 3· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Brescia v Basket Napoli
04 Apr 2026
BRE100
NAP85
15 Dec 2024
BRE97
NAP84
15 Feb 2024
BRE74
NAP80
15 Oct 2023
BRE80
NAP71
04 Dec 2022
BRE95
NAP72
17 Oct 2021
BRE98
NAP88
11 Sep 2021
BRE77
NAP87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
61avg 74
A13/04
Eurocup
Tortona
#3
W
90-77 OT
90
77
+13
no box
A16/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 74
H19/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 74
A23/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
66avg 74
H30/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
88-92
88
92
-4
78avg 74
A07/05
Lega A
Tortona
#4
W
86-63
86
63
+23
86avg 74
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
60-97
60
97
-37
42avg 74
A24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
81-79
81
79
+2
70avg 74
H01/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
99-71
99
71
+28
95avg 74
A07/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
23-19
20-23
11-18
24-20
20-19
14-17
13-15
19-15
22-24
15-21
18-19
13-15
14-18
19-21
28-15
21-13
16-19
18-12
20-25
24-24
26-27
32-14
6-27
23-8
22-19
20-18
21-18
10-27
25-21
8-28
17-21
26-20
21-21
15-22
19-16
24-15
22-24
28-19
25-13
156.9Avg total
79.6Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.075.0165.0+15.0100%
Season at home (1)81.079.0160.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)99.071.0170.0+28.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.677.3156.9+2.360%
Last 5 (5)82.880.4163.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.583.0155.5-10.525%
vs Similar (14)76.079.9155.9-3.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.574.9160.4+10.680%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
A26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
55avg 71
H01/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 71
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
82avg 71
H16/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
76-88
76
88
-12
64avg 71
A19/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
82-69
82
69
+13
70avg 71
H23/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
98-87
98
87
+11
95avg 71
H29/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
88-82
88
82
+6
74avg 71
A07/05
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
111-90
111
90
+21
110avg 71
A01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
77-68
77
68
+9
74avg 71
H08/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
24-18
17-22
26-20
16-19
16-17
10-19
27-17
21-14
20-20
28-15
20-32
27-24
21-32
14-14
29-23
17-24
18-20
14-25
27-19
16-24
19-9
27-20
20-16
30-27
22-23
21-23
25-14
25-16
22-31
13-16
28-19
27-19
28-21
31-22
25-28
23-13
12-22
23-12
19-21
167.7Avg total
86.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
Season at home (1)77.068.0145.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)111.090.0201.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.880.9167.7+5.970%
Last 5 (5)91.279.2170.4+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.185.0165.1-4.933%
vs Similar (15)81.382.1163.4-0.960%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.7+3.7
BresciaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A13/04
Eurocup
Tortona
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A23/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H30/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A07/05
Lega A
Tortona
#4
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H01/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A07/10
Lega A
79.5Avg total
41.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.477.6+2.873%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.636.177.7+5.686%-
Last 30 away (16)38.938.677.4+0.362%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.579.5+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.641.285.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.539.577.0-2.075%-
vs Similar (14)37.639.376.9-1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.835.879.6+8.0100%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H01/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H16/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H23/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H29/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/05
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H08/10
Lega A
83.6Avg total
42.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.779.7-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.939.980.9+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)37.041.578.5-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.283.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.085.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.441.682.0-1.247%-
vs Similar (15)37.539.877.3-2.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.1
53.1%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.7
39.0%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.014.3
75.3%
76.3%14.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.9
54.5%
53.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.110.0
41.5%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.616.0
74.1%
76.3%16.0
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWLWLWWLWL
Basket Napoli
WWWWWLLWLW
#3
League position
#7
+6.6
Net rating
+7.3
116.7
Offensive rating
118.3
110.1
Defensive rating
111.0
55.3%
Effective FG%
57.6%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.0%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
39.0%
3-point %
41.5%
53.5%
Assist %
51.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 118.3Defence110.1 · 111.0Shooting55.3% · 57.6%3-point %39.0% · 41.5%Ball care14.5% · 13.0%Off. rebounds25.1% · 23.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Brescia   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brescia wins
1
Basket Napoli wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23ATreviso99-71
01/10/23HPesaro81-79
24/09/23AVirtus Bologna60-97
23/09/23HTortona86-63
07/05/23AScafati88-92
30/04/23HBrindisi75-69
23/04/23AReggiana74-69
19/04/23HVenezia74-79
16/04/23ATortona90-77 OT
13/04/23ATurk Telekom69-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HOlimpia Milano77-68
01/10/23ASassari111-90
07/05/23AVerona88-82
29/04/23HPesaro98-87
23/04/23HTortona82-69
19/04/23AOlimpia Milano76-88
16/04/23HVenezia91-93
08/04/23AVirtus Bologna89-81
01/04/23HBrescia69-72
26/03/23ATrento87-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.081.099.0
Allowed / game75.079.071.0
Point differential+15.0+2.0+28.0
Avg total165.0160.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.077.0111.0
Allowed / game79.068.090.0
Point differential+15.0+9.0+21.0
Avg total173.0145.0201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna220100%98.079.5+18.5
2 Basket Napoli220100%94.079.0+15.0
3 Brescia220100%90.075.0+15.0
4 Venezia330100%77.066.7+10.3
5 Trento220100%84.578.5+6.0
6 Reggiana32167%80.073.0+7.0
7 Olimpia Milano32167%77.775.0+2.7
8 Tortona21150%64.572.0-7.5
9 Varese21150%83.598.5-15.0
10 Cremona31233%82.081.3+0.7
11 Pesaro31233%74.775.0-0.3
12 Sassari31233%81.391.0-9.7
13 Pistoia2020%77.580.5-3.0
14 Scafati2020%76.083.0-7.0
15 Brindisi3030%66.379.0-12.7
16 Treviso3030%75.788.3-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2318182180
Basket Napoli2216191471
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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