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Brescia vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 100-85
23-24 18-20 29-17 30-24
Position#4
Record17-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game83.9
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#11
Record8-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game86.5
ItalyLega ARound 25· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Brescia v Basket Napoli
04 Apr 2026
BRE100
NAP85
15 Dec 2024
BRE97
NAP84
15 Feb 2024
BRE74
NAP80
15 Oct 2023
BRE80
NAP71
04 Dec 2022
BRE95
NAP72
17 Oct 2021
BRE98
NAP88
11 Sep 2021
BRE77
NAP87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
A04/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H11/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A18/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A01/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
96-98
96
98
-2
A14/02
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A15/03
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A22/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
92-101
92
101
-9
H29/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
26-21
16-18
20-20
24-23
18-23
24-17
26-23
20-21
16-20
17-15
23-15
15-21
28-23
20-24
20-12
20-25
23-25
23-14
24-17
19-23
18-23
18-25
24-16
34-22
21-19
23-31
18-26
24-29
18-14
19-14
18-21
30-18
17-18
22-24
16-17
21-23
29-28
22-26
20-24
171.0Avg total
85.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.383.9172.2+4.474%
Season at home (11)91.585.2176.7+6.482%
Season away (12)85.382.7168.0+2.767%
Last 10 (10)85.885.2171.0+0.660%
Last 5 (5)86.288.2174.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.486.0159.4-12.640%
vs Similar (12)82.884.8167.7-2.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.683.2172.8+6.383%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A03/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A18/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H08/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
84-110
84
110
-26
A14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
H07/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
77-94
77
94
-17
A15/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
104-75
104
75
+29
H22/03
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A29/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
24-18
18-24
20-22
23-15
15-17
17-20
16-25
20-17
19-20
22-20
23-21
21-17
15-28
20-19
20-18
17-20
14-22
18-17
15-20
23-38
22-32
22-20
17-20
21-16
19-23
10-24
21-27
16-20
17-21
25-26
19-27
25-13
22-6
26-25
31-31
17-16
21-20
30-25
13-27
164.9Avg total
79.2Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.786.5170.1-2.835%
Season at home (12)84.082.8166.8+1.242%
Season away (11)83.390.5173.8-7.327%
Last 10 (10)79.285.7164.9-6.520%
Last 5 (5)83.491.4174.8-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.793.2174.8-11.517%
vs Similar (18)86.185.8171.8+0.344%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -4.3-4.3
BresciaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H11/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A18/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A01/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A14/02
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A15/03
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A22/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H29/03
Lega A
88.1Avg total
44.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.385.6-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.443.889.2+1.546%-
Last 30 away (17)40.042.982.9-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)44.044.188.1-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.489.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.446.282.6-9.820%-
vs Similar (12)41.643.585.1-1.942%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.441.888.2+4.767%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A03/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H08/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
45-70
45
70
-25
A14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A15/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H22/03
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A29/03
Lega A
78.8Avg total
38.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.683.5-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.641.683.1+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)40.143.783.9-3.650%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.978.8-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.081.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.544.783.2-6.233%-
vs Similar (18)42.541.283.7+1.361%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.4
51.3%
54.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.8
37.0%
34.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.820.0
84.0%
76.1%20.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.8
54.3%
54.1%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.0
30.7%
34.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.313.9
72.0%
76.1%13.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWWLLWWWWL
Basket Napoli
LWLLLLLWLL
#4
League position
#11
+1.0
Net rating
-7.0
106.1
Offensive rating
93.4
105.1
Defensive rating
100.3
53.0%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
13.1%
Turnover %
17.0%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.0%
3-point %
30.7%
58.9%
Assist %
52.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 93.4Defence105.1 · 100.3Shooting53.0% · 51.4%3-point %37.0% · 30.7%Ball care13.1% · 17.0%Off. rebounds29.4% · 35.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Brescia   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Brescia wins
2
Basket Napoli wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HReggiana92-101
22/03/26ATrento85-77
15/03/26ACremona79-78
14/02/26AVarese96-98
09/02/26HVirtus Bologna79-87
01/02/26AOlimpia Milano90-81
25/01/26HUdine83-80
18/01/26ACantu76-71
11/01/26HTortona92-86
04/01/26ASassari86-93 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26ACremona81-88
22/03/26HVarese104-75
15/03/26ACantu77-94
07/03/26HVirtus Bologna71-90
14/02/26ATrieste84-110
08/02/26HVenezia64-79
24/01/26HTortona76-82
18/01/26ASassari84-78
12/01/26HOlimpia Milano71-77
03/01/26AVarese80-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL74%
HomeWWWLL82%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%82%67%
Points / game88.391.585.3
Allowed / game83.985.282.7
Point differential+4.4+6.4+2.7
Avg total172.2176.7168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL35%
HomeLLLLW42%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %35%42%27%
Points / game83.784.083.3
Allowed / game86.582.890.5
Point differential-2.8+1.2-7.3
Avg total170.1166.8173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2319483%83.375.6+7.7
2 Brescia2317674%88.383.9+4.4
3 Venezia2316770%91.186.3+4.8
4 Olimpia Milano2416867%85.879.7+6.1
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona2315865%88.486.2+2.2
7 Reggiana23111248%82.881.1+1.7
8 Trieste23111248%83.887.6-3.7
9 Trento24111346%83.581.8+1.8
10 Varese24111346%83.587.0-3.5
11 Udine2391439%82.383.1-0.8
12 Cremona2491538%82.585.2-2.7
13 Basket Napoli2381535%83.786.5-2.8
14 Sassari2481633%86.889.9-3.1
15 Cantu2471729%84.188.7-4.6
16 Treviso2351822%83.190.8-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia23182930100
Basket Napoli2420172485
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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