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Brescia vs Cantu Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#3
Record14-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#11
Record9-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game79.0
ItalyLega ARound 33
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Brescia v Cantu
26 Oct 2025
BRE104
KAN94
14 Apr 2021
BRE69
KAN74
10 Sep 2020
BRE88
KAN78
19 Apr 2020
BRE v KAN
upcoming
16 Dec 2018
BRE81
KAN63
31 Mar 2018
BRE86
KAN71
09 Oct 2016
BRE76
KAN56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
83-53
83
53
+30
A22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
93-82
93
82
+11
A29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H19/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H26/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
20-20
14-14
24-21
25-15
22-13
16-12
20-13
20-29
19-22
28-15
24-10
23-28
27-18
31-19
12-17
10-14
15-18
16-15
29-17
24-22
24-15
18-21
21-23
9-15
20-19
27-17
22-21
15-22
26-18
25-22
16-24
15-19
18-14
12-15
11-15
16-17
18-20
14-25
28-12
152.7Avg total
80.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.374.0155.3+7.367%
Season at home (11)85.274.9160.1+10.382%
Season away (10)77.073.0150.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)80.272.5152.7+7.780%
Last 5 (5)75.875.2151.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.889.0172.8-5.225%
vs Similar (10)80.279.5159.7+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.372.8156.1+10.681%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
96-86
96
86
+10
A22/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
23-21
17-12
20-20
20-17
15-24
21-17
21-16
20-27
33-23
20-17
23-19
21-17
27-18
17-13
22-24
28-23
18-27
19-31
17-12
22-19
26-17
13-26
28-21
21-24
22-23
29-20
12-17
18-18
17-28
12-19
26-20
22-21
17-20
21-16
21-20
16-17
20-21
19-15
16-26
163.1Avg total
82.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.779.0155.7-2.345%
Season at home (10)78.581.5160.0-3.040%
Season away (10)74.876.5151.3-1.750%
Last 10 (10)82.280.9163.1+1.360%
Last 5 (5)81.283.4164.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.583.6161.1-6.136%
vs Similar (11)81.379.3160.5+2.064%
vs Weaker (5)78.874.2153.0+4.660%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
BresciaCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H19/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/02
Lega A
77.1Avg total
39.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.179.0+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.238.979.2+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)39.639.378.9+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.777.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.273.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.842.281.0-3.550%-
vs Similar (10)38.938.677.5+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.938.679.5+2.256%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A22/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A05/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A09/02
Lega A
83.9Avg total
42.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.180.9+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.580.5-0.433%-
Last 30 away (15)41.739.781.3+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.983.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.681.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.141.982.0-1.929%-
vs Similar (11)41.038.979.9+2.145%-
vs Weaker (5)42.837.480.2+5.480%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.4
50.5%
52.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.09.2
41.8%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.713.0
77.8%
73.6%13.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.024.3
63.9%
52.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.0
70.2%
73.6%12.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLLWWWWWWW
Cantu
LWLLWLWWWW
#3
League position
#11
+11.9
Net rating
+10.5
117.1
Offensive rating
128.2
105.1
Defensive rating
117.8
55.0%
Effective FG%
59.1%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
38.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
41.8%
3-point %
34.6%
59.1%
Assist %
43.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 128.2Defence105.1 · 117.8Shooting55.0% · 59.1%3-point %41.8% · 34.6%Ball care16.7% · 15.9%Off. rebounds31.4% · 38.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brescia wins
2
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
29/12/19Cantu v Brescia82-93
07/04/19Cantu v Brescia82-76
16/12/18Brescia v Cantu81-63
31/03/18Brescia v Cantu86-71
17/02/18Cantu v Brescia82-87 OT
04/12/17Cantu v Brescia84-88
29/01/17Cantu v Brescia81-65
09/10/16Brescia v Cantu76-56
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HTrieste76-74
02/02/20ATrento56-63
26/01/20HBrindisi82-86
19/01/20HOlimpia Milano78-72
11/01/20AReggiana87-81
04/01/20HVenezia70-64
29/12/19ACantu93-82
26/12/19HCremona91-76
22/12/19AVirtus Roma83-53
08/12/19HPistoia86-74
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20ATrento71-79
02/02/20HVenezia81-77
25/01/20AReggiana73-85
12/01/20HBrindisi92-93 OT
05/01/20AOlimpia Milano89-83
29/12/19HBrescia82-93
26/12/19APesaro87-72
22/12/19ATrieste96-86
15/12/19HTreviso77-74
08/12/19HVarese74-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game81.385.277.0
Allowed / game74.074.973.0
Point differential+7.3+10.3+4.0
Avg total155.3160.1150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWWLLW40%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game76.778.574.8
Allowed / game79.081.576.5
Point differential-2.4-3.0-1.7
Avg total155.7160.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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