PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Virtus Roma vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 53-83
15-25 13-22 12-16 13-20
Position#15
Record7-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record7-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game75.2
ItalyLega ARound 14
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Brescia
07 Mar 2021
VRO v BRE
upcoming
22 Dec 2019
VRO53
BRE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A12/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
72-108
72
108
-36
A02/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A10/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H24/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
69-99
69
99
-30
A01/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H08/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A14/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
19-16
24-17
16-15
21-16
20-20
20-9
18-20
29-16
14-14
15-32
15-17
24-25
11-32
18-31
19-20
23-19
17-28
24-13
12-14
24-20
20-20
23-22
25-21
13-25
22-25
20-14
14-17
19-34
20-24
15-21
15-20
27-22
18-13
20-19
17-18
30-30
17-22
13-15
28-15
159.1Avg total
78.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.581.9159.5-4.454%
Season at home (7)79.380.1159.4-0.957%
Season away (6)75.584.0159.5-8.550%
Last 10 (10)78.181.0159.1-2.960%
Last 5 (5)80.083.4163.4-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.585.2162.8-7.833%
vs Similar (10)78.576.4154.9+2.160%
vs Weaker (8)90.177.9168.0+12.288%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
92-66
92
66
+26
H13/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A19/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H26/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A03/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H10/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A17/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H24/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A01/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
21-29
23-21
16-18
14-18
26-16
30-11
22-21
20-26
19-20
22-18
13-12
19-20
22-20
21-19
18-23
20-20
20-16
24-20
24-18
18-21
25-14
23-19
25-20
14-20
15-18
18-16
21-18
23-12
29-26
31-16
18-20
15-15
27-24
12-22
16-15
28-19
20-20
14-14
24-21
158.4Avg total
82.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.675.2157.8+7.358%
Season at home (6)90.075.3165.3+14.783%
Season away (6)75.275.2150.3+0.033%
Last 10 (10)82.875.6158.4+7.250%
Last 5 (5)83.274.0157.2+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.184.9164.0-5.838%
vs Similar (12)79.280.6159.8-1.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.975.7162.6+11.280%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
Virtus RomaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A02/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A10/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H24/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A01/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H08/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A14/12
Lega A
85.0Avg total
41.0Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.282.2-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.639.280.8+2.475%-
Last 30 away (14)40.343.683.9-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.085.0-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.047.089.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.945.184.0-6.233%-
vs Similar (10)39.738.478.1+1.350%-
vs Weaker (8)45.639.084.6+6.688%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H13/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A17/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H24/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H08/12
Lega A
80.7Avg total
41.3Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.981.0-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.440.281.7+1.269%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.680.2-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.480.7+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.880.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.543.480.9-5.938%-
vs Similar (12)40.239.679.8+0.658%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.140.582.6+1.660%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.2
52.9%
52.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.6
33.3%
35.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.512.9
69.7%
73.6%12.9
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.6
59.0%
52.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.4
37.2%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.913.1
82.4%
73.6%13.1
They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
WWLLWWLLWW
Brescia
WLWLWWLLWL
#15
League position
#3
-4.1
Net rating
+11.7
108.9
Offensive rating
122.7
113.0
Defensive rating
111.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
57.7%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
19.3%
Turnover %
16.6%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.3%
3-point %
37.2%
55.2%
Assist %
56.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 122.7Defence113.0 · 111.0Shooting51.9% · 57.7%3-point %33.3% · 37.2%Ball care19.3% · 16.6%Off. rebounds34.4% · 33.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virtus Roma wins
0
Brescia wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/19ATrento88-82
08/12/19HTrieste82-72
01/12/19AVarese69-99
24/11/19HTreviso69-81
17/11/19HPesaro92-83
10/11/19ACantu76-74
02/11/19ASassari72-108
27/10/19HOlimpia Milano73-79
20/10/19HFortitudo Bologna79-65
12/10/19APistoia81-67
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/19HPistoia86-74
01/12/19ASassari70-76
24/11/19HPesaro101-74
17/11/19ATreviso68-72
10/11/19HVarese91-74
03/11/19AFortitudo Bologna88-74
26/10/19HVirtus Bologna80-82
19/10/19ATrieste74-76
13/10/19HTrento92-66
05/10/19ABrindisi78-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW54%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%57%50%
Points / game77.579.375.5
Allowed / game81.980.184.0
Point differential-4.4-0.9-8.5
Avg total159.5159.4159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game82.690.075.2
Allowed / game75.275.375.2
Point differential+7.3+14.7+0.0
Avg total157.8165.3150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1311285%83.377.2+6.2
2 Sassari1310377%82.472.4+10.0
3 Olimpia Milano1410471%80.973.1+7.8
4 Cremona138562%78.377.5+0.8
5 Fortitudo Bologna138562%78.577.8+0.6
6 Brescia127558%82.675.2+7.3
7 Brindisi137654%82.780.6+2.1
8 Virtus Roma137654%77.581.9-4.4
9 Venezia136746%77.674.2+3.5
10 Varese136746%81.580.0+1.5
11 Treviso136746%76.976.4+0.5
12 Reggiana136746%81.883.1-1.3
13 Cantu136746%73.776.8-3.1
14 Trento135838%77.381.5-4.2
15 Pistoia145936%75.482.6-7.2
16 Trieste1331023%74.580.8-6.2
17 Pesaro130130%78.191.5-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Roma1513121353
Brescia2522162083
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.