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Brescia vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 86-74
28-19 20-20 14-14 24-21
Position#3
Record6-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game75.4
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record3-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game83.7
ItalyLega ARound 12
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Brescia v Pistoia
29 Dec 2024
BRE90
PIS83
14 May 2024
BRE97
PIS75
12 May 2024
BRE79
PIS70
28 Jan 2024
BRE109
PIS90
08 Dec 2019
BRE86
PIS74
31 Mar 2019
BRE87
PIS79
14 Jan 2018
BRE76
PIS72
08 Jan 2017
BRE97
PIS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A29/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
92-66
92
66
+26
H13/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A19/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H26/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A03/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H10/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A17/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H24/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A01/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-10
10-21
23-17
19-17
18-20
21-29
23-21
16-18
14-18
26-16
30-11
22-21
20-26
19-20
22-18
13-12
19-20
22-20
21-19
18-23
20-20
20-16
24-20
24-18
18-21
25-14
23-19
25-20
14-20
15-18
18-16
21-18
23-12
29-26
31-16
18-20
15-15
27-24
12-22
16-15
156.2Avg total
81.5Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.375.4157.6+6.955%
Season at home (5)90.875.6166.4+15.280%
Season away (6)75.275.2150.3+0.033%
Last 10 (10)81.574.7156.2+6.850%
Last 5 (5)83.674.0157.6+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.785.1163.8-6.433%
vs Similar (12)79.280.6159.8-1.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.075.9162.9+11.178%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H29/09
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A06/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H12/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A20/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H03/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A11/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H17/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
67-100
67
100
-33
A24/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H01/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
18-24
23-20
25-26
9-15
24-26
23-22
16-24
19-22
16-19
17-24
15-16
23-20
20-17
13-20
16-27
17-22
22-17
15-16
17-27
14-19
16-17
19-17
27-19
12-21
16-21
15-33
20-8
17-14
18-24
26-13
16-18
13-26
15-26
22-27
17-21
16-21
25-25
28-22
20-19
156.5Avg total
73.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.483.7157.1-10.427%
Season at home (5)77.479.4156.8-2.060%
Season away (6)70.087.3157.3-17.30%
Last 10 (10)73.283.3156.5-10.130%
Last 5 (5)74.482.2156.6-7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)72.981.3154.2-8.521%
vs Similar (2)72.081.0153.0-9.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
BresciaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A29/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H13/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A17/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H24/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/12
Lega A
78.2Avg total
39.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.181.0-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.040.381.3+0.767%-
Last 30 away (15)38.741.980.6-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.678.2+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.278.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.843.781.4-5.933%-
vs Similar (12)40.239.679.8+0.658%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.440.782.1+0.856%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H29/09
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A06/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H12/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A20/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H03/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A11/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H17/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A24/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H01/12
Lega A
75.6Avg total
34.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.641.378.8-3.724%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.040.178.1-2.121%-
Last 30 away (15)37.142.379.5-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)34.241.475.6-7.210%-
Last 5 (5)32.442.875.2-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.341.178.4-3.826%-
vs Similar (2)40.543.584.0-3.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.9
57.1%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.5
37.3%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.412.7
82.5%
73.6%12.7
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.0
49.3%
52.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.7
34.4%
35.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
73.6%15.1
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWLWWLLWLW
Pistoia
WLWLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#16
+10.5
Net rating
-14.2
120.9
Offensive rating
101.5
110.4
Defensive rating
115.7
56.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.3%
3-point %
34.4%
57.7%
Assist %
47.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence120.9 · 101.5Defence110.4 · 115.7Shooting56.6% · 50.2%3-point %37.3% · 34.4%Ball care17.2% · 18.6%Off. rebounds34.3% · 23.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Brescia   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brescia wins
3
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
31/03/19Brescia v Pistoia87-79
09/12/18Pistoia v Brescia73-70
09/05/18Pistoia v Brescia90-85
14/01/18Brescia v Pistoia76-72
07/05/17Pistoia v Brescia86-62
08/01/17Brescia v Pistoia97-79
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/19ASassari70-76
24/11/19HPesaro101-74
17/11/19ATreviso68-72
10/11/19HVarese91-74
03/11/19AFortitudo Bologna88-74
26/10/19HVirtus Bologna80-82
19/10/19ATrieste74-76
13/10/19HTrento92-66
05/10/19ABrindisi78-88
29/09/19AOlimpia Milano73-65
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/19HVenezia89-87
24/11/19ABrindisi67-100
17/11/19HCantu77-69
11/11/19AOlimpia Milano63-83
03/11/19HTrieste76-72
27/10/19AFortitudo Bologna71-82
20/10/19AReggiana72-84
12/10/19HVirtus Roma67-81
06/10/19ATreviso72-87
29/09/19HVirtus Bologna78-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL55%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game82.390.875.2
Allowed / game75.475.675.2
Point differential+6.9+15.2+0.0
Avg total157.6166.4150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW27%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%60%0%
Points / game73.477.470.0
Allowed / game83.779.487.3
Point differential-10.4-2.0-17.3
Avg total157.1156.8157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna10100100%84.174.7+9.4
2 Sassari107370%81.170.7+10.4
3 Brindisi107370%83.978.8+5.1
4 Olimpia Milano117464%82.674.5+8.2
5 Fortitudo Bologna117464%78.477.6+0.7
6 Cremona106460%77.678.5-0.9
7 Brescia116555%82.375.4+6.9
8 Varese105550%81.878.6+3.2
9 Reggiana105550%80.879.9+0.9
10 Venezia115645%75.973.5+2.5
11 Treviso115645%75.975.7+0.2
12 Trento115645%77.681.0-3.4
13 Virtus Roma115645%76.282.8-6.6
14 Cantu103730%71.177.1-6.0
15 Trieste103730%72.578.5-6.0
16 Pistoia113827%73.483.7-10.4
17 Pesaro100100%78.492.4-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2820142486
Pistoia1920142174
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