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Brescia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 78-72
9-15 20-19 27-17 22-21
Position#3
Record12-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game74.1
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record11-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game74.2
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Brescia v Olimpia Milano
31 May 2026
BRE85
MIL79
29 May 2026
BRE72
MIL88
05 Nov 2025
BRE98
MIL92
28 Sep 2025
BRE76
MIL90
15 Mar 2025
BRE73
MIL79
15 Feb 2025
BRE69
MIL74
30 May 2024
BRE86
MIL96
30 Dec 2023
BRE72
MIL64
26 Mar 2023
BRE83
MIL74
20 Mar 2022
BRE82
MIL74
14 Mar 2021
BRE92
MIL99
07 Sep 2020
BRE79
MIL91
19 Jan 2020
BRE78
MIL72
20 Apr 2019
BRE92
MIL86
30 May 2018
BRE70
MIL76
28 May 2018
BRE74
MIL80
22 Apr 2018
BRE88
MIL85
23 Oct 2016
BRE80
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H10/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A17/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H24/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A01/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
83-53
83
53
+30
A22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
93-82
93
82
+11
A29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A11/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
25-14
23-19
25-20
14-20
15-18
18-16
21-18
23-12
29-26
31-16
18-20
15-15
27-24
12-22
16-15
28-19
20-20
14-14
24-21
25-15
22-13
16-12
20-13
20-29
19-22
28-15
24-10
23-28
27-18
31-19
12-17
10-14
15-18
16-15
29-17
24-22
24-15
18-21
21-23
156.6Avg total
84.0Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.274.1157.3+9.271%
Season at home (8)87.674.0161.6+13.688%
Season away (9)79.374.1153.4+5.256%
Last 10 (10)84.072.6156.6+11.480%
Last 5 (5)84.871.2156.0+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.488.2170.6-5.820%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.880.0158.8-1.240%
vs Weaker (15)86.274.2160.4+12.087%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H11/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A17/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H24/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H01/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A08/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A15/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A29/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
91-67
91
67
+24
H12/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
21-16
33-15
8-20
16-22
15-23
20-16
29-24
23-21
19-14
17-27
31-16
24-23
20-15
31-24
14-16
17-16
14-14
21-16
19-19
20-19
21-22
18-13
12-16
28-21
15-17
19-9
19-22
20-24
20-22
16-17
14-20
19-22
17-26
26-13
21-28
19-22
22-19
20-15
30-11
155.6Avg total
80.9Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.974.2155.2+6.765%
Season at home (10)85.275.1160.3+10.170%
Season away (7)74.973.0147.9+1.957%
Last 10 (10)80.974.7155.6+6.270%
Last 5 (5)79.275.6154.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.096.0181.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.981.8164.7+1.150%
vs Weaker (17)82.175.2157.4+6.971%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
BresciaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A17/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H24/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A11/01
Lega A
80.6Avg total
42.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.381.1+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.340.181.3+1.267%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.580.9-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.380.6+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.880.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.444.282.6-5.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.238.979.1+1.360%-
vs Weaker (15)42.039.981.9+2.160%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H11/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A17/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H24/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A08/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A15/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A29/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/01
Lega A
78.1Avg total
39.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.679.7+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.940.282.1+1.750%-
Last 30 away (12)37.238.876.0-1.542%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.078.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.883.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.046.791.7-1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.840.181.9+1.750%-
vs Weaker (17)38.138.176.2+0.047%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.9
58.1%
52.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.78.3
38.2%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.514.5
82.9%
73.6%14.5
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.7
47.8%
52.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.3
36.8%
35.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.516.8
74.7%
73.6%16.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWWWWWLWLW
Olimpia Milano
WLLWWWWWLW
#3
League position
#4
+17.2
Net rating
+9.1
123.3
Offensive rating
114.0
106.1
Defensive rating
104.9
57.8%
Effective FG%
50.8%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
15.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.2%
3-point %
36.8%
61.9%
Assist %
60.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence123.3 · 114.0Defence106.1 · 104.9Shooting57.8% · 50.8%3-point %38.2% · 36.8%Ball care15.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds31.4% · 36.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Brescia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brescia wins
6
Olimpia Milano wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/20AReggiana87-81
04/01/20HVenezia70-64
29/12/19ACantu93-82
26/12/19HCremona91-76
22/12/19AVirtus Roma83-53
08/12/19HPistoia86-74
01/12/19ASassari70-76
24/11/19HPesaro101-74
17/11/19ATreviso68-72
10/11/19HVarese91-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/20HTreviso91-67
05/01/20HCantu83-89
29/12/19AVirtus Bologna70-83
22/12/19HTrento81-69
15/12/19AVenezia71-70
08/12/19APesaro71-65
01/12/19HReggiana89-78
24/11/19HSassari90-78
17/11/19AFortitudo Bologna80-85
11/11/19HPistoia83-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%88%56%
Points / game83.287.679.3
Allowed / game74.174.074.1
Point differential+9.2+13.6+5.2
Avg total157.3161.6153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW65%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %65%70%57%
Points / game80.985.274.9
Allowed / game74.275.173.0
Point differential+6.7+10.1+1.9
Avg total155.2160.3147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%70%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1816289%85.074.4+10.6
2 Sassari1815383%85.274.1+11.2
3 Brescia1712571%83.274.1+9.2
4 Olimpia Milano1711665%80.974.2+6.7
5 Brindisi1811761%84.181.1+2.9
6 Cremona1710759%79.779.7+0.0
7 Venezia1810856%78.474.7+3.7
8 Varese189950%83.080.2+2.8
9 Fortitudo Bologna189950%76.979.1-2.2
10 Cantu178947%76.978.8-1.8
11 Reggiana1881044%82.483.8-1.4
12 Trento1881044%77.980.6-2.7
13 Virtus Roma1871139%76.483.8-7.4
14 Treviso1861233%76.880.2-3.4
15 Trieste1851328%75.080.4-5.4
16 Pistoia1851328%73.282.8-9.6
17 Pesaro181176%78.791.1-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia920272278
Olimpia Milano1519172172
← all games of the day
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