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Brescia vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 86-72
26-17 23-14 21-19 16-22
Position#2
Record18-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game86.0
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Scafati
Italy
Position#15
Record6-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game92.5
ItalyLega ARound 27· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Brescia v Scafati
19 Apr 2025
BRE86
SKA72
10 Mar 2024
BRE89
SKA78
16 Oct 2022
BRE82
SKA81
06 Jun 2016
BRE82
SKA72
04 Jun 2016
BRE83
SKA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
89avg 83
H09/02
Lega A
Tortona
#7
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 83
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
64avg 83
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#13
W
99-87
99
87
+12
96avg 83
H02/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
97-84
97
84
+13
92avg 83
A09/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 83
H15/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 83
A23/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
73avg 83
A30/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
97-89
97
89
+8
92avg 83
H06/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
74avg 83
A14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
21-24
17-21
26-22
24-21
18-12
20-27
24-19
16-16
17-18
19-17
17-23
22-19
18-24
29-19
30-25
26-12
20-26
28-24
23-22
19-14
23-24
17-22
14-19
26-34
26-10
21-26
15-24
18-19
25-18
12-18
23-20
16-26
32-23
20-20
29-20
29-18
24-27
9-28
17-18
170.1Avg total
85.9Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)90.386.0176.2+4.369%
Season at home (12)92.889.0181.8+3.875%
Season away (14)88.183.4171.4+4.764%
Last 10 (10)85.984.2170.1+1.760%
Last 5 (5)83.085.6168.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.596.5146.0-47.00%
vs Similar (14)82.683.6166.2-1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)95.286.5181.6+8.773%
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Cremona
#13
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
65avg 75
A26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
98-82
98
82
+16
95avg 75
H02/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
91-89
91
89
+2
84avg 75
A08/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
79avg 75
H02/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
67avg 75
A09/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
79-102
79
102
-23
64avg 75
H16/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 75
H23/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
82-95
82
95
-13
78avg 75
A30/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
64avg 75
A05/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
69-84
69
84
-15
58avg 75
H12/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
18-14
15-21
18-13
26-14
24-26
22-25
26-17
23-24
22-30
24-18
22-17
17-27
25-18
23-19
19-20
24-17
10-22
23-26
18-23
15-23
21-22
13-33
30-24
21-25
22-17
17-31
21-18
21-23
17-23
20-29
24-20
18-21
24-25
13-19
23-23
24-23
11-21
14-19
20-21
173.3Avg total
83.0Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.292.5177.7-7.323%
Season at home (13)89.293.0182.2-3.831%
Season away (13)81.292.0173.2-10.815%
Last 10 (10)83.090.3173.3-7.320%
Last 5 (5)77.892.0169.8-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)82.793.7176.5-11.011%
vs Similar (11)89.792.2181.9-2.545%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
BresciaScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H09/02
Lega A
Tortona
#7
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A09/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A23/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A30/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H06/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A14/04
Lega A
85.7Avg total
44.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.084.4+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.342.686.9+1.754%-
Last 30 away (17)40.941.582.4-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)44.940.885.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)47.642.690.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.843.568.2-18.80%-
vs Similar (14)43.442.185.5+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.542.189.6+5.573%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H02/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A08/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H02/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A09/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H16/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H23/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A30/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A05/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H12/04
Lega A
84.7Avg total
40.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.945.087.0-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.945.188.0-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.945.085.9-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.644.184.7-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.683.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)41.543.985.4-2.442%-
vs Similar (11)42.647.089.6-4.436%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.2
52.7%
52.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.8
38.3%
35.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.718.9
79.7%
76.8%18.9
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.1
51.3%
52.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.8
31.0%
35.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.218.6
80.2%
76.8%18.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWWLLWWLWW
Scafati
LLLLLLLWWL
#2
League position
#15
+3.6
Net rating
-9.7
115.3
Offensive rating
111.8
111.6
Defensive rating
121.5
54.5%
Effective FG%
49.4%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
16.0%
Turnover %
12.8%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.3%
3-point %
31.0%
64.1%
Assist %
50.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 111.8Defence111.6 · 121.5Shooting54.5% · 49.4%3-point %38.3% · 31.0%Ball care16.0% · 12.8%Off. rebounds28.1% · 28.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Brescia   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Brescia wins
3
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
06/10/24Scafati v Brescia93-95
10/03/24Brescia v Scafati89-78
03/12/23Scafati v Brescia83-89
07/05/23Scafati v Brescia92-88
16/10/22Brescia v Scafati82-81 OT
09/06/16Scafati v Brescia69-74
06/06/16Brescia v Scafati82-72
04/06/16Brescia v Scafati83-74 OT
01/06/16Scafati v Brescia77-72
30/05/16Scafati v Brescia91-81
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/25AVirtus Bologna79-91
06/04/25HVenezia97-89
30/03/25ATrento78-75
23/03/25ATrapani88-94
15/03/25HOlimpia Milano73-79
09/03/25APistoia97-84
02/03/25HCremona99-87
15/02/25HOlimpia Milano69-74
12/02/25HTortona86-79
09/02/25HTrieste93-90
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HReggiana69-84
05/04/25ATrento78-88
30/03/25AVarese82-95
23/03/25HBasket Napoli81-91
16/03/25HTortona79-102
09/03/25ATrieste75-88
02/03/25HVenezia92-96 OT
08/02/25APistoia91-89
02/02/25HSassari98-82
26/01/25ACremona85-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL69%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayLWLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %69%75%64%
Points / game90.392.888.1
Allowed / game86.089.083.4
Point differential+4.3+3.8+4.7
Avg total176.2181.8171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Scafati
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWLLLL31%
AwayLWLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %23%31%15%
Points / game85.289.281.2
Allowed / game92.593.092.0
Point differential-7.3-3.8-10.8
Avg total177.7182.2173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)20% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %19%23%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2720774%94.785.1+9.7
2 Virtus Bologna2720774%84.176.7+7.4
3 Trento2719870%87.482.1+5.4
4 Brescia2618869%90.386.0+4.3
5 Olimpia Milano2718967%89.584.5+5.0
6 Reggiana27171063%80.677.5+3.0
7 Trieste27161159%86.885.4+1.4
8 Venezia27151256%83.380.1+3.1
9 Tortona27141352%86.685.6+0.9
10 Sassari27121544%81.683.4-1.8
11 Treviso27101737%84.187.8-3.7
12 Varese2791833%87.995.5-7.6
13 Basket Napoli2781930%83.588.0-4.5
14 Cremona2781930%78.984.2-5.3
15 Scafati2662023%85.292.5-7.3
16 Pistoia2752219%79.089.0-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2623211686
Scafati1714192272
← all games of the day
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