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Virtus Bologna vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 91-79
18-29 27-24 28-9 18-17
Position#1
Record18-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game77.2
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Italy
vs
Brescia
Italy
Position#2
Record18-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game85.8
ItalyLega ARound 26· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Brescia
22 Dec 2025
VIR86
BRE76
14 Jun 2025
VIR75
BRE65
12 Jun 2025
VIR90
BRE87
14 Apr 2025
VIR91
BRE79
20 Nov 2023
VIR88
BRE76
24 Sep 2023
VIR97
BRE60
19 Feb 2023
VIR76
BRE84
05 Feb 2023
VIR84
BRE78
08 May 2022
VIR79
BRE57
23 Jan 2021
VIR89
BRE90
01 Mar 2020
VIR v BRE
upcoming
06 Jan 2019
VIR88
BRE80
12 Nov 2017
VIR74
BRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 78
H13/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
L
88-93
88
93
-5
92avg 78
A16/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
67-77
67
77
-10
54avg 78
A20/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 78
A22/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
52-88
52
88
-36
44avg 78
A26/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
108-64
108
64
+44
126avg 78
A28/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
69-45
69
45
+24
64avg 78
H31/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
90-70
90
70
+20
86avg 78
H04/04
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
80-74
80
74
+6
83avg 78
A07/04
Lega A
Barcelona
#6
L
87-91
87
91
-4
83avg 78
A11/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
16-20
21-18
13-12
20-20
24-24
22-25
22-24
17-15
16-27
12-23
22-12
22-17
19-20
17-20
20-28
11-28
16-23
10-18
15-19
27-15
35-18
25-11
21-20
11-11
22-16
17-11
19-7
22-9
22-20
21-13
25-28
17-17
19-17
24-17
20-23
16-23
22-22
27-26
22-20
155.3Avg total
78.6Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.877.2161.0+6.672%
Season at home (12)85.274.3159.5+10.892%
Season away (13)82.579.8162.4+2.754%
Last 10 (10)78.676.7155.3+1.940%
Last 5 (5)86.868.8155.6+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.389.6163.9-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.475.0153.4+3.471%
vs Weaker (12)83.970.2154.2+13.775%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
L
85-90
85
90
-5
73avg 83
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
89avg 83
H09/02
Lega A
Tortona
#7
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 83
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
64avg 83
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#13
W
99-87
99
87
+12
96avg 83
H02/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
97-84
97
84
+13
92avg 83
A09/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 83
H15/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 83
A23/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
73avg 83
A30/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
97-89
97
89
+8
92avg 83
H06/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
21-17
19-19
22-27
29-23
21-24
17-21
26-22
24-21
18-12
20-27
24-19
16-16
17-18
19-17
17-23
22-19
18-24
29-19
30-25
26-12
20-26
28-24
23-22
19-14
23-24
17-22
14-19
26-34
26-10
21-26
15-24
18-19
25-18
12-18
23-20
16-26
32-23
20-20
29-20
170.6Avg total
86.5Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)90.785.8176.5+5.072%
Season at home (12)92.889.0181.8+3.875%
Season away (13)88.882.8171.5+6.069%
Last 10 (10)86.584.1170.6+2.460%
Last 5 (5)86.684.2170.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.596.5146.0-47.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.883.1165.9-0.262%
vs Weaker (12)95.287.0182.2+8.275%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
Virtus BolognaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H13/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A16/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A20/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A22/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A26/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
62-33
62
33
+29
A28/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H31/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H04/04
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A07/04
Lega A
Barcelona
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/04
Euroleague
78.3Avg total
39.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.478.9+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.538.577.9+1.067%-
Last 30 away (15)39.640.379.9-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.278.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.633.676.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.945.983.8-8.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.336.775.0+1.657%-
vs Weaker (12)42.234.977.1+7.283%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H09/02
Lega A
Tortona
#7
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A09/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A23/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A30/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H06/04
Lega A
84.7Avg total
44.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.983.7-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.342.686.9+1.754%-
Last 30 away (17)39.941.481.3-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)44.040.784.7+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.287.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.843.568.2-18.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.741.884.5+0.846%-
vs Weaker (12)46.542.288.8+4.267%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.6
55.8%
52.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.0
28.3%
35.8%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.315.0
82.0%
76.8%15.0
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.2
51.8%
52.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.6
37.2%
35.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.219.7
81.4%
76.8%19.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWWWWLLLLL
Brescia
WWLLWWLWWL
#1
League position
#2
+1.5
Net rating
+4.0
105.9
Offensive rating
115.2
104.4
Defensive rating
111.2
50.5%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.0%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
28.3%
3-point %
37.2%
69.6%
Assist %
61.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 115.2Defence104.4 · 111.2Shooting50.5% · 53.3%3-point %28.3% · 37.2%Ball care17.5% · 15.0%Off. rebounds28.2% · 27.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Virtus Bologna wins
3
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Brescia v Virtus Bologna98-97
25/03/24Brescia v Virtus Bologna73-87
20/11/23Virtus Bologna v Brescia88-76
24/09/23Virtus Bologna v Brescia97-60
19/02/23Virtus Bologna v Brescia76-84
05/02/23Virtus Bologna v Brescia84-78
18/12/22Brescia v Virtus Bologna77-89
08/05/22Virtus Bologna v Brescia79-57
14/11/21Brescia v Virtus Bologna74-103
23/01/21Virtus Bologna v Brescia89-90
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25ABarcelona87-91
07/04/25ATreviso80-74
04/04/25HOlimpia Milano90-70
31/03/25HReggiana69-45
28/03/25AAlba Berlin108-64
26/03/25ACrvena zvezda52-88
22/03/25ATrieste78-85
20/03/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv67-77
16/03/25ABasket Napoli88-93
13/03/25HReal Madrid67-80
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HVenezia97-89
30/03/25ATrento78-75
23/03/25ATrapani88-94
15/03/25HOlimpia Milano73-79
09/03/25APistoia97-84
02/03/25HCremona99-87
15/02/25HOlimpia Milano69-74
12/02/25HTortona86-79
09/02/25HTrieste93-90
02/02/25ABasket Napoli85-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW72%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %72%92%54%
Points / game83.885.282.5
Allowed / game77.274.379.8
Point differential+6.6+10.8+2.7
Avg total161.0159.5162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%58%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW72%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayWLWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %72%75%69%
Points / game90.792.888.8
Allowed / game85.889.082.8
Point differential+5.0+3.8+6.0
Avg total176.5181.8171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%25%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2619773%94.284.5+9.7
2 Virtus Bologna2518772%83.877.2+6.6
3 Brescia2518772%90.785.8+5.0
4 Trento2618869%87.281.8+5.3
5 Olimpia Milano2617965%88.484.5+3.9
6 Reggiana26161062%80.277.2+3.0
7 Trieste26161062%86.785.1+1.7
8 Venezia26151158%82.779.0+3.7
9 Tortona26141254%86.485.4+1.0
10 Sassari26121446%81.583.2-1.7
11 Treviso2691735%83.887.7-3.9
12 Cremona2681831%78.782.9-4.2
13 Basket Napoli2681831%83.488.0-4.6
14 Varese2681831%87.896.0-8.1
15 Scafati2662023%85.292.5-7.3
16 Pistoia2652119%79.689.2-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1827281891
Brescia292491779
← all games of the day
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