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Brescia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-79
19-14 23-24 17-22 14-19
Position#2
Record16-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#5
Record14-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game84.6
ItalyLega ARound 22· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Brescia v Olimpia Milano
31 May 2026
BRE85
MIL79
29 May 2026
BRE72
MIL88
05 Nov 2025
BRE98
MIL92
28 Sep 2025
BRE76
MIL90
15 Mar 2025
BRE73
MIL79
15 Feb 2025
BRE69
MIL74
30 May 2024
BRE86
MIL96
30 Dec 2023
BRE72
MIL64
26 Mar 2023
BRE83
MIL74
20 Mar 2022
BRE82
MIL74
14 Mar 2021
BRE92
MIL99
07 Sep 2020
BRE79
MIL91
19 Jan 2020
BRE78
MIL72
20 Apr 2019
BRE92
MIL86
30 May 2018
BRE70
MIL76
28 May 2018
BRE74
MIL80
22 Apr 2018
BRE88
MIL85
23 Oct 2016
BRE80
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
77avg 83
A04/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 83
H11/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
98-106 OT
98
106
-8
91avg 83
H19/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
118-77
118
77
+41
127avg 83
A25/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
85-90
85
90
-5
73avg 83
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
89avg 83
H09/02
Lega A
Tortona
#7
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 83
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
64avg 83
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#13
W
99-87
99
87
+12
96avg 83
H02/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
97-84
97
84
+13
92avg 83
A09/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
21-24
28-21
22-15
11-27
30-16
23-21
19-13
23-19
29-24
18-17
18-28
30-19
28-21
35-18
25-19
23-27
21-17
19-19
22-27
29-23
21-24
17-21
26-22
24-21
18-12
20-27
24-19
16-16
17-18
19-17
17-23
22-19
18-24
29-19
30-25
26-12
20-26
28-24
23-22
176.2Avg total
91.2Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)92.086.0178.0+6.076%
Season at home (10)94.490.0184.4+4.480%
Season away (11)89.882.5172.3+7.473%
Last 10 (10)91.285.0176.2+6.260%
Last 5 (5)88.882.8171.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.596.5146.0-47.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.884.2166.1-2.450%
vs Weaker (13)96.987.5184.5+9.477%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
90avg 80
A06/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 80
A08/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
91-77
91
77
+14
84avg 80
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#3
W
74-69
74
69
+5
64avg 80
A15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
46avg 80
H16/02
Italian Cup
Monaco
#4
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 80
H27/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 80
A02/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
76-100
76
100
-24
62avg 80
H06/03
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
90-80
90
80
+10
78avg 80
H09/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
82-80
82
80
+2
77avg 80
A13/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
26-26
17-24
22-21
21-22
21-18
19-11
17-21
20-18
27-15
24-20
20-24
16-16
18-17
17-19
23-17
14-15
17-23
17-21
15-20
18-19
31-23
19-19
18-19
25-20
9-18
25-25
21-23
19-24
18-29
19-23
20-24
23-29
20-24
19-15
28-12
23-24
25-21
20-19
14-16
161.9Avg total
80.9Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.184.6173.7+4.567%
Season at home (11)93.885.6179.5+8.282%
Season away (10)83.983.4167.3+0.550%
Last 10 (10)80.981.0161.9-0.170%
Last 5 (5)82.885.2168.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.689.0167.6-10.438%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.780.7162.4+1.054%
vs Weaker (8)98.984.1183.0+14.888%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
BresciaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A04/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H11/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H19/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A25/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H09/02
Lega A
Tortona
#7
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A09/03
Lega A
85.5Avg total
44.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.184.5-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.844.289.0+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)38.942.281.1-3.335%-
Last 10 (10)44.041.585.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.081.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.843.568.2-18.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.643.884.4-3.225%-
vs Weaker (13)47.343.090.3+4.369%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A06/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A08/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#3
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H16/02
Italian Cup
Monaco
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H27/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A02/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H06/03
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H09/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A13/03
Euroleague
83.2Avg total
41.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.786.7-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.445.089.4-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)41.942.684.4-0.756%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.783.2-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.288.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.446.584.9-8.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.841.283.0+0.554%-
vs Weaker (8)49.246.295.5+3.075%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.8
51.9%
52.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.29.0
40.5%
35.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws25.220.0
79.4%
76.8%20.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.5
51.1%
52.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.5
31.2%
35.8%22.5
🏀 Free throws25.120.6
82.1%
76.8%20.6
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWLWWLWLWL
Olimpia Milano
WWLLWLWWWW
#2
League position
#5
+9.0
Net rating
-0.1
120.3
Offensive rating
111.6
111.2
Defensive rating
111.7
55.0%
Effective FG%
49.4%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
13.4%
Turnover %
14.3%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.42
40.5%
3-point %
31.2%
61.7%
Assist %
51.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence120.3 · 111.6Defence111.2 · 111.7Shooting55.0% · 49.4%3-point %40.5% · 31.2%Ball care13.4% · 14.3%Off. rebounds29.2% · 28.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Brescia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brescia wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25APistoia97-84
02/03/25HCremona99-87
15/02/25HOlimpia Milano69-74
12/02/25HTortona86-79
09/02/25HTrieste93-90
02/02/25ABasket Napoli85-90
25/01/25AVarese118-77
19/01/25HTortona98-106 OT
11/01/25HTrento83-77
04/01/25ATreviso84-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25ACrvena zvezda82-80
09/03/25HTreviso90-80
06/03/25HFenerbahce76-100
02/03/25AVirtus Bologna80-86
27/02/25HMonaco86-80
16/02/25HTrento63-79
15/02/25ABrescia74-69
12/02/25AVirtus Bologna91-77
08/02/25ASassari78-72
06/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas89-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%80%73%
Points / game92.094.489.8
Allowed / game86.090.082.5
Point differential+6.0+4.4+7.4
Avg total178.0184.4172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%30%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game89.193.883.9
Allowed / game84.685.683.4
Point differential+4.5+8.2+0.5
Avg total173.7179.5167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2116576%84.877.8+7.0
2 Brescia2116576%92.086.0+6.0
3 Trapani2115671%92.783.6+9.1
4 Trento2115671%87.782.5+5.1
5 Olimpia Milano2114767%89.184.6+4.5
6 Reggiana2113862%81.277.9+3.3
7 Trieste2113862%86.383.3+3.0
8 Tortona2112957%85.585.3+0.2
9 Venezia21111052%80.278.4+1.8
10 Treviso2181338%85.188.0-2.9
11 Sassari2171433%80.384.8-4.5
12 Cremona2161529%77.282.1-5.0
13 Scafati2161529%86.992.6-5.7
14 Varese2161529%88.598.7-10.2
15 Basket Napoli2151624%81.986.9-5.0
16 Pistoia2151624%82.288.9-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1923171473
Olimpia Milano1424221979
← all games of the day
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