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Brescia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-74
16-16 17-18 19-17 17-23
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game77.0
ItalyItalian CupItalian Cup - Semi-finals· Inalpi Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Brescia v Olimpia Milano
31 May 2026
BRE85
MIL79
29 May 2026
BRE72
MIL88
05 Nov 2025
BRE98
MIL92
28 Sep 2025
BRE76
MIL90
15 Mar 2025
BRE73
MIL79
15 Feb 2025
BRE69
MIL74
30 May 2024
BRE86
MIL96
30 Dec 2023
BRE72
MIL64
26 Mar 2023
BRE83
MIL74
20 Mar 2022
BRE82
MIL74
14 Mar 2021
BRE92
MIL99
07 Sep 2020
BRE79
MIL91
19 Jan 2020
BRE78
MIL72
20 Apr 2019
BRE92
MIL86
30 May 2018
BRE70
MIL76
28 May 2018
BRE74
MIL80
22 Apr 2018
BRE88
MIL85
23 Oct 2016
BRE80
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 83
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-83
90
83
+7
84avg 83
H29/12
Lega A
Austin Peay
#275
L
46-93
46
93
-47
no box
A29/12
NCAA
Treviso
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
77avg 83
A04/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 83
H11/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
98-106 OT
98
106
-8
91avg 83
H19/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
118-77
118
77
+41
127avg 83
A25/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
85-90
85
90
-5
73avg 83
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
89avg 83
H09/02
Lega A
Tortona
#7
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 83
H12/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
19-31
20-12
27-32
29-14
22-27
24-24
15-18
0-0
21-39
0-0
25-54
13-26
21-24
28-21
22-15
11-27
30-16
23-21
19-13
23-19
29-24
18-17
18-28
30-19
28-21
35-18
25-19
23-27
21-17
19-19
22-27
29-23
21-24
17-21
26-22
24-21
18-12
20-27
24-19
174.3Avg total
87.3Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.387.0174.3+0.360%
Last 5 (5)96.088.4184.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.596.5146.0-47.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.085.2168.2-2.255%
vs Weaker (14)95.684.9180.5+10.679%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
L
70-90
70
90
-20
59avg 80
H16/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
60avg 80
A19/01
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
66-110
66
110
-44
55avg 80
A23/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
87-74
87
74
+13
87avg 80
H26/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 80
H30/01
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
119-92
119
92
+27
122avg 80
H02/02
Lega A
Bayern
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
60avg 80
A04/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
90avg 80
A06/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 80
A08/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
91-77
91
77
+14
84avg 80
A12/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
23-20
18-27
12-26
22-21
21-28
19-18
10-18
9-24
22-32
17-31
18-23
25-23
21-23
26-22
15-6
17-16
22-21
27-13
21-25
28-22
35-27
32-18
24-25
16-17
20-20
19-31
15-19
24-16
26-26
17-24
22-21
21-22
21-18
19-11
17-21
20-18
27-15
24-20
20-24
167.8Avg total
82.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.077.0168.0+14.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)91.077.0168.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.984.9167.8-2.060%
Last 5 (5)89.483.0172.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.589.7172.2-7.250%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.182.2168.3+3.964%
vs Weaker (9)98.986.0184.9+12.978%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
BresciaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H29/12
Lega A
Austin Peay
#275
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A29/12
NCAA
Treviso
#11
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A04/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H11/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H19/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A25/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H09/02
Lega A
Tortona
#7
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/02
Italian Cup
86.1Avg total
43.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.384.9+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.443.189.5+3.369%-
Last 30 away (17)39.641.781.4-2.135%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.586.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)49.241.490.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.843.568.2-18.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.344.786.0-3.527%-
vs Weaker (14)48.740.789.4+8.079%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H16/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/01
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A23/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H26/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H30/01
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H02/02
Lega A
Bayern
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A04/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A06/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A08/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A12/02
Italian Cup
86.3Avg total
43.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.587.8+0.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.944.590.4+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)42.942.685.6+0.356%-
Last 10 (10)43.742.686.3+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.287.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.546.084.5-7.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.541.685.1+1.957%-
vs Weaker (9)49.145.995.0+3.278%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
48%
30%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.9
54.2%
49.8%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.9
38.5%
31.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws27.321.1
77.3%
75.0%21.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
48%
30%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.4
53.6%
49.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.9
40.6%
31.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.315.4
79.8%
75.0%15.4
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWLWLWLLWW
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWWWLLL
#3
League position
#2
+8.5
Net rating
-3.4
120.0
Offensive rating
116.2
111.5
Defensive rating
119.6
55.5%
Effective FG%
56.6%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
13.9%
Turnover %
16.7%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.5%
3-point %
40.6%
58.1%
Assist %
54.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.0 · 116.2Defence111.5 · 119.6Shooting55.5% · 56.6%3-point %38.5% · 40.6%Ball care13.9% · 16.7%Off. rebounds30.0% · 27.8%Free throws0.43 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brescia wins
6
Olimpia Milano wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HTortona86-79
09/02/25HTrieste93-90
02/02/25ABasket Napoli85-90
25/01/25AVarese118-77
19/01/25HTortona98-106 OT
11/01/25HTrento83-77
04/01/25ATreviso84-86
29/12/24AAustin Peay46-93
29/12/24HPistoia90-83
22/12/24AVenezia90-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25AVirtus Bologna91-77
08/02/25ASassari78-72
06/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas89-87
04/02/25ABayern70-87
02/02/25HVarese119-92
30/01/25HPanathinaikos87-75
26/01/25HTrieste87-74
23/01/25AAnadolu Efes66-110
19/01/25AVenezia72-85
16/01/25HPartizan70-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Italian Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total165.0165.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Olimpia Milano
Italian Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game91.0-91.0
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential+14.0-+14.0
Avg total168.0-168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano110100%91.077.0+14.0
2 Brescia110100%86.079.0+7.0
3 Trento110100%85.080.0+5.0
4 Trieste110100%74.072.0+2.0
5 Trapani1010%72.074.0-2.0
6 Reggiana1010%80.085.0-5.0
7 Tortona1010%79.086.0-7.0
8 Virtus Bologna1010%77.091.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1617191769
Olimpia Milano1618172374
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