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Cairns Taipans vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 95-78
26-19 19-21 21-23 29-15
Position#8
Record8-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game90.8
Cairns Taipans 🏆
Australia
vs
Melbourne United
Australia
Position#1
Record14-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.3
Allowed / game86.1
AustraliaNBLRound 13· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United
31 Oct 2026
CAIR97
MELB113
12 Feb 2026
CAIR85
MELB89
24 Oct 2025
CAIR67
MELB94
26 Dec 2024
CAIR66
MELB76
16 Feb 2024
CAIR97
MELB88
31 Dec 2023
CAIR95
MELB78
04 Nov 2022
CAIR97
MELB72
10 Apr 2022
CAIR63
MELB92
27 Feb 2022
CAIR73
MELB89
29 Dec 2016
CAIR78
MELB79
27 Oct 2016
CAIR83
MELB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
no box
H18/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 81
H01/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
115-103
115
103
+12
113avg 81
A03/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
83-86
83
86
-3
64avg 81
H07/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
116-101
116
101
+15
116avg 81
A09/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
82-111
82
111
-29
70avg 81
H15/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
102-101
102
101
+1
97avg 81
A17/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
91avg 81
H22/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
90avg 81
H26/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
82-101
82
101
-19
72avg 81
A29/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
27-18
23-19
10-16
21-17
21-26
12-25
25-16
31-17
36-34
21-25
27-27
15-33
22-15
21-23
25-15
35-26
26-31
24-27
31-17
18-36
18-26
29-29
17-20
35-17
21-26
23-24
23-34
30-18
16-26
20-15
28-16
17-26
26-28
24-22
35-29
24-27
21-27
12-15
25-32
189.9Avg total
94.2Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.290.8180.1-1.642%
Season at home (9)86.986.9173.8+0.044%
Season away (10)91.394.4185.7-3.140%
Last 10 (10)94.295.7189.9-1.540%
Last 5 (5)92.498.6191.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)88.090.9178.9-2.930%
vs Similar (15)86.487.7174.1-1.347%
vs Weaker (5)89.886.4176.2+3.460%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 88
A27/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
97avg 88
H29/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
no box
H06/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
92-83
92
83
+9
78avg 88
A12/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
105-93
105
93
+12
97avg 88
H19/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
103-115
103
115
-12
92avg 88
H03/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
103-68
103
68
+35
99avg 88
H10/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
106-78
106
78
+28
104avg 88
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
107-96
107
96
+11
105avg 88
H16/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
no box
H23/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
22-21
30-15
17-25
24-29
28-22
19-18
25-15
26-24
23-22
20-21
20-22
23-24
21-18
24-25
24-16
21-22
17-31
27-19
40-21
17-31
34-36
25-21
27-27
18-21
36-16
23-22
26-9
35-18
31-28
11-18
29-14
28-23
27-19
25-30
27-24
21-26
21-24
21-21
29-21
191.0Avg total
100.6Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)95.386.1181.4+9.282%
Season at home (11)96.588.5185.0+7.973%
Season away (6)93.281.5174.7+11.7100%
Last 10 (10)100.690.4191.0+10.280%
Last 5 (5)105.692.0197.6+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.082.0159.0-5.033%
vs Similar (12)94.188.9183.0+5.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)96.784.3180.9+12.493%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +7.0+7.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +7.0+7.0
Cairns TaipansMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H01/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
67-51
67
51
+16
A03/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H07/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A09/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
36-62
36
62
-26
H15/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A17/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H22/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H26/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A29/12
NBL
97.5Avg total
47.7Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.645.390.8+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.545.088.5-1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)47.745.593.2+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)47.749.897.5-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.251.496.6-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)48.247.795.9+0.550%-
vs Similar (15)43.343.586.7-0.247%-
vs Weaker (5)47.245.893.0+1.480%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A27/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H29/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H06/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A12/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H19/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
51-67
51
67
-16
H03/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H10/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
66-46
66
46
+20
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H16/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H23/12
NBL
97.0Avg total
49.4Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.242.188.4+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.143.490.5+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)45.340.685.9+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)49.447.697.0+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)53.648.4102.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.035.774.7+3.367%-
vs Similar (12)43.843.086.8+0.858%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)49.742.792.4+6.973%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.522.7
51.0%
50.9%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.1
36.7%
33.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws27.119.8
73.1%
73.8%19.8
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 99.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.6
55.7%
50.9%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.511.1
41.9%
33.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws26.918.9
70.3%
73.8%18.9
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
LLWWLWLWLL
Melbourne United
WWWWLWWLWW
#8
League position
#1
-2.3
Net rating
+15.9
108.6
Offensive rating
123.7
110.9
Defensive rating
107.8
52.5%
Effective FG%
58.4%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.7%
3-point %
41.9%
63.2%
Assist %
53.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 123.7Defence110.9 · 107.8Shooting52.5% · 58.4%3-point %36.7% · 41.9%Ball care15.5% · 15.4%Off. rebounds23.9% · 33.4%Free throws0.39 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cairns Taipans wins
7
Melbourne United wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans103-115
23/12/22Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans84-81
04/11/22Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United97-72
20/10/22Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans77-81
18/04/22Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans92-80
10/04/22Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United63-92
27/02/22Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United73-89
14/01/17Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans92-85
29/12/16Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United78-79
18/11/16Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans84-79
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23ASydney82-101
26/12/23HPerth102-105
22/12/23HSouth East Melbourne94-75
17/12/23ABrisbane Bullets102-101
15/12/23HNew Zealand Breakers82-111
09/12/23AAdelaide116-101
07/12/23HSydney83-86
03/12/23AMelbourne United115-103
01/12/23HBrisbane Bullets79-84
18/11/23HTasmania JackJumpers87-90 OT
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HPerth109-103 OT
16/12/23HAdelaide107-96
14/12/23ASouth East Melbourne106-78
10/12/23HBrisbane Bullets103-68
03/12/23HCairns Taipans103-115
19/11/23HSydney105-93
12/11/23ASouth East Melbourne92-83
06/11/23HPerth95-102 OT
29/10/23HIllawarra Hawks96-84
27/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers90-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL42%
HomeLLLWL44%
AwayLWWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%44%40%
Points / game89.286.991.3
Allowed / game90.886.994.4
Point differential-1.6+0.0-3.1
Avg total180.1173.8185.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %82%73%100%
Points / game95.396.593.2
Allowed / game86.188.581.5
Point differential+9.2+7.9+11.7
Avg total181.4185.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1714382%95.386.1+9.2
2 Perth1811761%92.391.2+1.1
3 Tasmania JackJumpers1810856%89.284.2+5.1
4 Sydney1810856%95.493.2+2.3
5 South East Melbourne1991047%89.391.7-2.5
6 New Zealand Breakers167944%89.188.8+0.3
7 Illawarra Hawks167944%86.289.3-3.1
8 Cairns Taipans1981142%89.290.8-1.6
9 Brisbane Bullets1981142%86.288.9-2.8
10 Adelaide1851328%85.392.8-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans2619212995
Melbourne United1921231578
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