PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Melbourne United vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 103-68
18-21 36-16 23-22 26-9
Position#1
Record10-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#6
Record7-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game87.6
AustraliaNBLRound 10· John Cain Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets
06 Dec 2026
MELB v BRIS
upcoming
07 Nov 2026
MELB v BRIS
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
MELB98
BRIS66
15 Nov 2025
MELB99
BRIS93
08 Dec 2024
MELB114
BRIS122
10 Dec 2023
MELB103
BRIS68
15 Oct 2023
MELB89
BRIS78
10 Dec 2022
MELB104
BRIS88
16 Apr 2022
MELB88
BRIS79
05 Mar 2022
MELB95
BRIS83
12 Apr 2021
MELB98
BRIS89
07 Mar 2021
MELB88
BRIS96
29 Dec 2019
MELB96
BRIS102
24 Nov 2019
MELB108
BRIS94
10 Dec 2018
MELB74
BRIS90
18 Nov 2018
MELB102
BRIS94
03 Feb 2018
MELB69
BRIS61
26 Dec 2017
MELB69
BRIS68
26 Dec 2016
MELB97
BRIS59
20 Oct 2016
MELB78
BRIS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 84
A13/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
88avg 84
H15/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
101-91
101
91
+10
88avg 84
A20/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
97-88
97
88
+9
90avg 84
H22/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 84
A27/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
97avg 84
H29/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
no box
H06/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
92-83
92
83
+9
78avg 84
A12/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
105-93
105
93
+12
97avg 84
H19/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
103-115
103
115
-12
92avg 84
H03/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
17-18
21-17
28-29
14-14
29-14
23-17
23-33
29-22
30-29
18-12
24-28
23-13
19-30
22-20
33-25
21-21
22-21
30-15
17-25
24-29
28-22
19-18
25-15
26-24
23-22
20-21
20-22
23-24
21-18
24-25
24-16
21-22
17-31
27-19
40-21
17-31
34-36
25-21
27-27
185.3Avg total
95.6Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)91.986.0177.9+5.977%
Season at home (8)92.888.4181.1+4.462%
Season away (5)90.682.2172.8+8.4100%
Last 10 (10)95.689.7185.3+5.980%
Last 5 (5)98.295.4193.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.082.0159.0-5.033%
vs Similar (14)89.487.1176.5+2.257%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.385.8179.1+7.585%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
66avg 77
A15/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
73-96
73
96
-23
59avg 77
A21/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 77
A27/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
82avg 77
H29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
108-92
108
92
+16
104avg 77
H02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
81avg 77
A04/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
95-104
95
104
-9
77avg 77
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 77
H18/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
73avg 77
A01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
78-77
78
77
+1
75avg 77
H03/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
14-29
17-23
33-23
15-17
18-28
16-22
24-29
20-9
22-27
26-16
16-27
24-21
21-18
24-23
21-25
26-23
33-19
24-29
25-21
19-21
26-20
21-34
19-12
26-20
25-25
20-31
24-28
16-14
17-18
20-18
23-29
17-21
26-21
25-12
16-25
28-26
22-23
15-12
13-16
172.0Avg total
85.1Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.787.6174.3-0.950%
Season at home (7)89.486.9176.3+2.657%
Season away (7)84.088.3172.3-4.343%
Last 10 (10)85.186.9172.0-1.850%
Last 5 (5)83.685.2168.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)84.495.2179.6-10.823%
vs Similar (6)87.781.0168.7+6.783%
vs Weaker (2)90.594.0184.5-3.550%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
Melbourne UnitedBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A13/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H15/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A20/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H22/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A27/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H29/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H06/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A12/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H19/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
51-67
51
67
-16
H03/12
NBL
91.8Avg total
46.0Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.487.0+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.843.890.6+3.071%-
Last 30 away (16)42.741.283.9+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)46.045.891.8+0.270%-
Last 5 (5)46.851.898.6-5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.035.774.7+3.367%-
vs Similar (14)43.342.685.9+0.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.343.891.1+3.562%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A15/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A21/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A27/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A04/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H18/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H03/12
NBL
84.3Avg total
42.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.645.788.3-3.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.646.188.7-3.450%-
Last 30 away (14)42.545.387.8-2.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.484.3+1.580%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.886.2+2.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)41.646.387.9-4.741%-
vs Similar (6)45.044.389.3+0.783%-
vs Weaker (2)46.043.589.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.0
53.8%
50.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.7
38.4%
33.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws26.218.7
71.4%
73.8%18.7
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.623.8
51.1%
50.9%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.8
30.6%
33.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.1
75.2%
73.8%16.1
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
LWWLWWWWWW
Brisbane Bullets
WWLLLWWWLL
#1
League position
#6
+8.0
Net rating
-2.5
117.4
Offensive rating
105.9
109.4
Defensive rating
108.5
55.4%
Effective FG%
49.4%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.7%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.4%
3-point %
30.6%
54.9%
Assist %
48.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 105.9Defence109.4 · 108.5Shooting55.4% · 49.4%3-point %38.4% · 30.6%Ball care16.4% · 16.7%Off. rebounds32.7% · 30.8%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HCairns Taipans103-115
19/11/23HSydney105-93
12/11/23ASouth East Melbourne92-83
06/11/23HPerth95-102 OT
29/10/23HIllawarra Hawks96-84
27/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers90-82
22/10/23HNew Zealand Breakers97-88
20/10/23AIllawarra Hawks101-91
15/10/23HBrisbane Bullets89-78
13/10/23APerth88-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HIllawarra Hawks78-77
01/12/23ACairns Taipans84-79
18/11/23HPerth76-79
12/11/23ASydney95-104
04/11/23ATasmania JackJumpers85-87
02/11/23HSouth East Melbourne108-92
29/10/23HTasmania JackJumpers90-87
27/10/23APerth84-79
21/10/23ASouth East Melbourne73-96
15/10/23AMelbourne United78-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL77%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %77%62%100%
Points / game91.992.890.6
Allowed / game86.088.482.2
Point differential+5.9+4.4+8.4
Avg total177.9181.1172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%12%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game86.789.484.0
Allowed / game87.686.988.3
Point differential-0.9+2.6-4.3
Avg total174.3176.3172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1310377%91.986.0+5.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers149564%89.983.0+6.9
3 Sydney138562%95.592.8+2.8
4 Perth148657%90.390.0+0.3
5 South East Melbourne137654%92.290.5+1.7
6 Brisbane Bullets147750%86.787.6-0.9
7 Cairns Taipans146843%88.188.1+0.0
8 Illawarra Hawks124833%83.890.2-6.4
9 New Zealand Breakers134931%86.589.7-3.2
10 Adelaide1441029%84.291.7-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United18362326103
Brisbane Bullets211622968
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.