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Melbourne United vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 103-115
17-31 34-36 25-21 27-27
Position#1
Record10-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#8
Record4-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game85.7
AustraliaNBLRound 9· John Cain Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans
13 Jan 2027
MELB v CAIR
upcoming
23 Dec 2026
MELB v CAIR
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
MELB95
CAIR107
07 Jan 2026
MELB92
CAIR93
12 Oct 2025
MELB95
CAIR60
27 Oct 2024
MELB106
CAIR63
06 Oct 2024
MELB88
CAIR101
03 Dec 2023
MELB103
CAIR115
23 Dec 2022
MELB84
CAIR81
20 Oct 2022
MELB77
CAIR81
18 Apr 2022
MELB92
CAIR80
14 Jan 2017
MELB92
CAIR85
18 Nov 2016
MELB84
CAIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
75-80
75
80
-5
68avg 83
H08/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 83
A13/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
88avg 83
H15/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
101-91
101
91
+10
88avg 83
A20/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
97-88
97
88
+9
90avg 83
H22/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 83
A27/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
97avg 83
H29/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
no box
H06/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
92-83
92
83
+9
78avg 83
A12/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
105-93
105
93
+12
97avg 83
H19/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
18-19
25-18
14-27
22-17
17-18
21-17
28-29
14-14
29-14
23-17
23-33
29-22
30-29
18-12
24-28
23-13
19-30
22-20
33-25
21-21
22-21
30-15
17-25
24-29
28-22
19-18
25-15
26-24
23-22
20-21
20-22
23-24
21-18
24-25
24-16
21-22
17-31
27-19
40-21
179.0Avg total
92.8Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.083.6174.6+7.483%
Season at home (7)91.384.6175.9+6.771%
Season away (5)90.682.2172.8+8.4100%
Last 10 (10)92.886.2179.0+6.680%
Last 5 (5)95.688.8184.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.082.0159.0-5.033%
vs Similar (15)89.187.4176.5+1.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.583.3175.8+9.292%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
83avg 75
H05/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 75
A07/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
72avg 75
A26/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 75
H28/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
81-91
81
91
-10
73avg 75
A03/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
78-91
78
91
-13
66avg 75
A05/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
81-71
81
71
+10
74avg 75
H11/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 75
A16/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
no box
H18/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 75
H01/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
21-18
23-19
21-23
26-18
17-20
27-18
19-30
15-24
23-20
22-17
23-23
26-20
25-22
18-19
18-19
23-21
15-16
17-30
26-24
23-23
20-24
18-22
17-22
14-18
19-20
23-17
25-16
20-25
23-22
13-19
24-22
17-24
27-18
23-19
10-16
21-17
21-26
12-25
25-16
167.7Avg total
83.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.585.7169.3-2.236%
Season at home (5)84.281.0165.2+3.260%
Season away (6)83.089.7172.7-6.717%
Last 10 (10)83.284.5167.7-1.340%
Last 5 (5)81.084.8165.8-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)83.085.7168.7-2.733%
vs Similar (16)84.184.9169.0-0.944%
vs Weaker (8)91.686.8178.4+4.975%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
Melbourne UnitedCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H08/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A13/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H15/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A20/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H22/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A27/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H29/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H06/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A12/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H19/11
NBL
87.1Avg total
44.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.641.986.5+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.742.689.4+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)42.741.283.9+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.687.1+1.980%-
Last 5 (5)45.246.892.0-1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.035.774.7+3.367%-
vs Similar (15)43.743.286.9+0.553%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.041.888.8+5.267%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H05/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A26/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H28/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H11/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A16/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H01/12
NBL
83.4Avg total
41.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.243.889.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.943.488.3+1.567%-
Last 30 away (15)45.544.189.7+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.841.683.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.484.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)48.345.093.3+3.367%-
vs Similar (16)42.343.385.6-1.038%-
vs Weaker (8)48.643.892.4+4.988%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.7
52.9%
50.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.5
36.1%
33.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.6
71.3%
73.8%17.6
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.6
51.4%
50.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.8
31.8%
33.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws25.317.6
69.6%
73.8%17.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WWLWWWWWWL
Cairns Taipans
LLLWLLWLWW
#1
League position
#8
+10.0
Net rating
-2.8
114.7
Offensive rating
100.8
104.7
Defensive rating
103.6
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.0%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
15.7%
Turnover %
19.5%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.1%
3-point %
31.8%
54.5%
Assist %
53.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 100.8Defence104.7 · 103.6Shooting53.4% · 50.0%3-point %36.1% · 31.8%Ball care15.7% · 19.5%Off. rebounds32.2% · 27.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HSydney105-93
12/11/23ASouth East Melbourne92-83
06/11/23HPerth95-102 OT
29/10/23HIllawarra Hawks96-84
27/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers90-82
22/10/23HNew Zealand Breakers97-88
20/10/23AIllawarra Hawks101-91
15/10/23HBrisbane Bullets89-78
13/10/23APerth88-81
08/10/23HTasmania JackJumpers75-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23HBrisbane Bullets79-84
18/11/23HTasmania JackJumpers87-90 OT
16/11/23APerth80-88
11/11/23HIllawarra Hawks81-71
05/11/23ASouth East Melbourne78-91
03/11/23ANew Zealand Breakers81-91
28/10/23HSydney87-80
26/10/23AIllawarra Hawks83-84
07/10/23ABrisbane Bullets89-86
05/10/23HSouth East Melbourne87-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %83%71%100%
Points / game91.091.390.6
Allowed / game83.684.682.2
Point differential+7.4+6.7+8.4
Avg total174.6175.9172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game83.584.283.0
Allowed / game85.781.089.7
Point differential-2.2+3.2-6.7
Avg total169.3165.2172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1210283%91.083.6+7.4
2 Tasmania JackJumpers138562%89.483.2+6.2
3 Perth138562%90.989.2+1.7
4 Sydney127558%96.393.6+2.8
5 South East Melbourne137654%92.290.5+1.7
6 Brisbane Bullets136746%87.488.4-1.0
7 Cairns Taipans114736%83.585.7-2.2
8 New Zealand Breakers124833%87.089.1-2.1
9 Adelaide134931%82.989.8-6.9
10 Illawarra Hawks103730%82.992.3-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United17342527103
Cairns Taipans31362127115
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