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Cairns Taipans vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 66-76
13-25 16-21 22-13 15-17
Position#10
Record3-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game95.6
Cairns Taipans
Australia
vs
Melbourne United 🏆
Australia
Position#2
Record12-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game96.3
Allowed / game91.3
AustraliaNBLRound 14· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United
31 Oct 2026
CAIR97
MELB113
12 Feb 2026
CAIR85
MELB89
24 Oct 2025
CAIR67
MELB94
26 Dec 2024
CAIR66
MELB76
16 Feb 2024
CAIR97
MELB88
31 Dec 2023
CAIR95
MELB78
04 Nov 2022
CAIR97
MELB72
10 Apr 2022
CAIR63
MELB92
27 Feb 2022
CAIR73
MELB89
29 Dec 2016
CAIR78
MELB79
27 Oct 2016
CAIR83
MELB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
L
93-99 OT
93
99
-6
93avg 76
A25/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
63-106
63
106
-43
49avg 76
A27/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
88-92
88
92
-4
82avg 76
H02/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
74-97
74
97
-23
68avg 76
A10/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
69-77
69
77
-8
61avg 76
H16/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
52avg 76
H29/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
90-99
90
99
-9
81avg 76
A05/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
94-99
94
99
-5
82avg 76
A07/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
92-128
92
128
-36
74avg 76
H14/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
104-107
104
107
-3
97avg 76
A20/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
32-22
14-22
15-23
12-23
18-31
19-30
14-22
18-23
26-18
29-23
15-28
20-34
20-15
15-17
19-31
23-28
19-24
17-11
10-14
26-20
16-21
13-18
20-22
30-31
24-21
19-23
17-24
28-39
22-24
32-12
12-24
28-22
29-32
18-39
17-35
30-29
24-27
26-25
24-26
182.7Avg total
84.2Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.995.6180.6-10.718%
Season at home (9)83.692.4176.0-8.922%
Season away (8)86.599.2185.8-12.812%
Last 10 (10)84.298.5182.7-14.30%
Last 5 (5)91.0102.8193.8-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)86.397.8184.1-11.621%
vs Similar (10)90.293.7183.9-3.540%
vs Weaker (1)94.075.0169.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
79-113
79
113
-34
60avg 85
H04/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
120-103
120
103
+17
120avg 85
A07/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
106-97
106
97
+9
103avg 85
H09/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
113-93
113
93
+20
109avg 85
H17/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
101-98
101
98
+3
102avg 85
H01/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
97-70
97
70
+27
90avg 85
A05/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
114-122
114
122
-8
102avg 85
H08/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
93-106
93
106
-13
79avg 85
H13/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
97-109
97
109
-12
88avg 85
A15/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
91-97
91
97
-6
86avg 85
H23/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
18-30
21-29
27-29
24-20
28-25
33-26
35-32
31-29
20-36
32-12
23-20
29-22
30-24
26-27
28-20
27-28
38-21
14-26
22-23
28-24
18-19
24-7
27-20
28-28
29-29
30-31
27-34
24-27
23-19
15-27
31-33
36-24
23-27
20-32
18-26
26-36
21-15
20-17
24-29
201.9Avg total
101.1Scored
100.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)96.391.3187.6+5.060%
Season at home (13)96.694.2190.8+2.554%
Season away (7)95.986.0181.9+9.971%
Last 10 (10)101.1100.8201.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)98.4100.8199.2-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)92.596.5189.0-4.050%
vs Similar (12)92.488.1180.5+4.358%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)98.693.6192.2+4.956%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -8.6-8.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -8.6-8.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
Cairns TaipansMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A25/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A27/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H02/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A10/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H16/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A05/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A07/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H14/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A20/12
NBL
97.7Avg total
47.2Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.149.396.4-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.847.294.0-0.550%-
Last 30 away (14)47.551.699.1-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)47.250.597.7-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)51.453.2104.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)46.849.696.4-2.837%-
vs Similar (10)47.849.196.9-1.350%-
vs Weaker (1)46.044.090.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H04/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A07/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H09/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H17/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H01/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H08/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A15/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H23/12
NBL
102.2Avg total
51.4Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.446.895.2+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (19)49.748.397.9+1.453%-
Last 30 away (11)46.344.390.5+2.073%-
Last 10 (10)51.450.8102.2+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)51.249.6100.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.541.585.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (12)49.845.395.2+4.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)48.048.696.6-0.644%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.817.7
46.8%
52.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.7
33.6%
35.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.715.5
78.7%
74.7%15.5
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 99.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.223.1
54.7%
52.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.5
39.4%
35.1%37.5
🏀 Free throws22.216.0
72.1%
74.7%16.0
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
LLLLLLLLLL
Melbourne United
LLLLWWWWWL
#10
League position
#2
-18.3
Net rating
+0.6
103.4
Offensive rating
120.9
121.7
Defensive rating
120.3
48.5%
Effective FG%
56.6%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
17.8%
Turnover %
13.6%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.6%
3-point %
39.4%
53.9%
Assist %
66.6%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 120.9Defence121.7 · 120.3Shooting48.5% · 56.6%3-point %33.6% · 39.4%Ball care17.8% · 13.6%Off. rebounds29.7% · 30.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cairns Taipans wins
4
Melbourne United wins
DateGameScore
27/10/24Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans106-63
06/10/24Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans88-101
16/02/24Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United97-88
31/12/23Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United95-78
03/12/23Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans103-115
23/12/22Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans84-81
04/11/22Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United97-72
20/10/22Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans77-81
18/04/22Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans92-80
10/04/22Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United63-92
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24ABrisbane Bullets104-107
14/12/24HPerth92-128
07/12/24ASouth East Melbourne94-99
05/12/24ATasmania JackJumpers90-99
29/11/24HSydney75-81
16/11/24HNew Zealand Breakers69-77
10/11/24ASouth East Melbourne74-97
02/11/24HBrisbane Bullets88-92
27/10/24AMelbourne United63-106
25/10/24AAdelaide93-99 OT
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24HTasmania JackJumpers91-97
15/12/24ASouth East Melbourne97-109
13/12/24HIllawarra Hawks93-106
08/12/24HBrisbane Bullets114-122
05/12/24ANew Zealand Breakers97-70
01/12/24HSydney101-98
17/11/24HAdelaide113-93
09/11/24HPerth106-97
07/11/24ABrisbane Bullets120-103
04/11/24HNew Zealand Breakers79-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %18%22%12%
Points / game84.983.686.5
Allowed / game95.692.499.2
Point differential-10.7-8.9-12.8
Avg total180.6176.0185.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Melbourne United
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL60%
HomeWWLLL54%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %60%54%71%
Points / game96.396.695.9
Allowed / game91.394.286.0
Point differential+5.0+2.5+9.9
Avg total187.7190.8181.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%23%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks1712571%101.191.2+9.9
2 Melbourne United2012860%96.391.3+5.0
3 Sydney1911858%89.284.7+4.5
4 Tasmania JackJumpers1810856%83.183.2-0.1
5 Brisbane Bullets179853%96.596.2+0.2
6 Perth1910953%96.897.3-0.5
7 South East Melbourne189950%91.488.2+3.2
8 Adelaide1771041%90.996.6-5.7
9 New Zealand Breakers1871139%84.791.8-7.1
10 Cairns Taipans1731418%84.995.6-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans1316221566
Melbourne United2521131776
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