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Melbourne United vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 109-103 (OT)
21-26 21-24 21-21 29-21 17-11
Position#1
Record13-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#3
Record9-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game89.9
AustraliaNBLRound 12· John Cain Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Melbourne United v Perth
07 Feb 2027
MELB v PERT
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
MELB98
PERT87
04 Mar 2025
MELB113
PERT112
27 Feb 2025
MELB105
PERT93
09 Nov 2024
MELB106
PERT97
23 Dec 2023
MELB109
PERT103
06 Nov 2023
MELB95
PERT102
31 Oct 2022
MELB94
PERT77
10 Mar 2022
MELB87
PERT97
12 Feb 2022
MELB93
PERT87
25 Jun 2021
MELB81
PERT76
20 Jun 2021
MELB83
PERT74
05 May 2021
MELB69
PERT82
20 Feb 2021
MELB85
PERT89
07 Feb 2021
MELB75
PERT71
29 Jan 2020
MELB77
PERT67
20 Oct 2019
MELB93
PERT95
17 Mar 2019
MELB84
PERT97
10 Mar 2019
MELB92
PERT74
17 Feb 2019
MELB81
PERT70
17 Dec 2018
MELB82
PERT65
16 Feb 2018
MELB97
PERT85
19 Nov 2017
MELB59
PERT91
12 Feb 2017
MELB94
PERT96
23 Oct 2016
MELB69
PERT72
27 Dec 2015
MELB92
PERT87
29 Oct 2015
MELB75
PERT73
28 Dec 2014
MELB80
PERT81
23 Nov 2014
MELB91
PERT76
02 Feb 2014
MELB57
PERT81
20 Oct 2013
MELB71
PERT75
17 Feb 2013
MELB79
PERT83
21 Oct 2012
MELB65
PERT74
23 Mar 2012
MELB71
PERT72
18 Nov 2011
MELB87
PERT82
19 Nov 2010
MELB84
PERT93
24 Oct 2010
MELB66
PERT91
06 Feb 2010
MELB78
PERT84
20 Jan 2010
MELB100
PERT86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
97-88
97
88
+9
90avg 88
H22/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 88
A27/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
97avg 88
H29/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
no box
H06/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
92-83
92
83
+9
78avg 88
A12/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
105-93
105
93
+12
97avg 88
H19/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
103-115
103
115
-12
92avg 88
H03/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
103-68
103
68
+35
99avg 88
H10/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
106-78
106
78
+28
104avg 88
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
107-96
107
96
+11
105avg 88
H16/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
19-30
22-20
33-25
21-21
22-21
30-15
17-25
24-29
28-22
19-18
25-15
26-24
23-22
20-21
20-22
23-24
21-18
24-25
24-16
21-22
17-31
27-19
40-21
17-31
34-36
25-21
27-27
18-21
36-16
23-22
26-9
35-18
31-28
11-18
29-14
28-23
27-19
25-30
27-24
188.3Avg total
99.4Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)94.485.0179.4+9.481%
Season at home (10)95.287.1182.3+8.170%
Season away (6)93.281.5174.7+11.7100%
Last 10 (10)99.488.9188.3+10.580%
Last 5 (5)104.890.0194.8+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.082.0159.0-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)92.787.6180.4+5.173%
vs Weaker (16)95.684.8180.4+10.888%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
64avg 77
A21/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
63avg 77
H27/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
99-88
99
88
+11
81avg 77
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
102-95 OT
102
95
+7
no box
A06/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
94-76
94
76
+18
84avg 77
H10/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
88-80
88
80
+8
77avg 77
H16/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
70avg 77
A18/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
114-105
114
105
+9
107avg 77
H01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
82-100
82
100
-18
71avg 77
A08/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
89-88
89
88
+1
76avg 77
H15/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
20-16
25-28
13-22
9-20
27-22
16-26
27-16
19-22
31-22
23-24
26-20
24-26
22-23
21-20
22-20
34-17
18-19
21-22
21-18
25-20
22-23
19-13
22-24
14-16
18-17
18-20
29-23
23-26
27-31
33-26
31-22
18-38
25-20
22-15
17-27
23-26
17-22
28-23
21-17
178.5Avg total
90.4Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.289.9180.1+0.360%
Season at home (9)91.986.6178.4+5.378%
Season away (6)87.794.8182.5-7.233%
Last 10 (10)90.488.1178.5+2.370%
Last 5 (5)90.489.8180.2+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)96.296.6192.8-0.460%
vs Similar ◀ (15)93.794.3188.0-0.553%
vs Weaker (10)91.088.2179.2+2.860%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +7.0+7.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +7.0+7.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
Melbourne UnitedPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H22/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A27/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H29/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H06/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A12/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H19/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
51-67
51
67
-16
H03/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H10/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
66-46
66
46
+20
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H16/12
NBL
96.3Avg total
49.4Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.342.288.6+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.443.090.4+4.473%-
Last 30 away (15)45.341.586.7+3.860%-
Last 10 (10)49.446.996.3+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)52.849.0101.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.035.774.7+3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.942.486.3+1.564%-
vs Weaker (16)49.443.492.8+6.069%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A21/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H27/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A06/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H10/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H16/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A18/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A08/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H15/12
NBL
88.5Avg total
43.6Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.346.292.5+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.143.990.0+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)46.548.595.0-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)43.644.988.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.447.890.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.846.090.8-1.280%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)47.749.296.9-1.527%-
vs Weaker (10)44.941.886.7+3.160%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 99.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.6
55.7%
50.9%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.511.1
41.9%
33.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws26.918.9
70.3%
73.8%18.9
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.6
49.5%
50.9%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.4
29.2%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.018.2
75.8%
73.8%18.2
They take 74.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WWWLWWLWWW
Perth
WLWWWWWWLL
#1
League position
#3
+15.9
Net rating
+1.6
123.7
Offensive rating
110.4
107.8
Defensive rating
108.8
58.4%
Effective FG%
47.2%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
15.4%
Turnover %
12.1%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.32
41.9%
3-point %
29.2%
53.3%
Assist %
51.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence123.7 · 110.4Defence107.8 · 108.8Shooting58.4% · 47.2%3-point %41.9% · 29.2%Ball care15.4% · 12.1%Off. rebounds33.4% · 31.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Melbourne United wins
3
Perth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HAdelaide107-96
14/12/23ASouth East Melbourne106-78
10/12/23HBrisbane Bullets103-68
03/12/23HCairns Taipans103-115
19/11/23HSydney105-93
12/11/23ASouth East Melbourne92-83
06/11/23HPerth95-102 OT
29/10/23HIllawarra Hawks96-84
27/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers90-82
22/10/23HNew Zealand Breakers97-88
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers89-88
08/12/23AIllawarra Hawks82-100
01/12/23HSydney114-105
18/11/23ABrisbane Bullets79-76
16/11/23HCairns Taipans88-80
10/11/23HNew Zealand Breakers94-76
06/11/23AMelbourne United102-95 OT
04/11/23HAdelaide99-88
27/10/23HBrisbane Bullets79-84
21/10/23AAdelaide78-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeLWLWW70%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %81%70%100%
Points / game94.495.293.2
Allowed / game85.087.181.5
Point differential+9.4+8.1+11.7
Avg total179.4182.3174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%10%0%
Perth
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %60%78%33%
Points / game90.291.987.7
Allowed / game89.986.694.8
Point differential+0.3+5.3-7.2
Avg total180.1178.4182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1613381%94.485.0+9.4
2 Perth159660%90.289.9+0.3
3 Tasmania JackJumpers1710759%89.984.1+5.8
4 Sydney169756%95.493.8+1.6
5 Cairns Taipans178947%88.989.4-0.5
6 South East Melbourne178947%89.992.4-2.5
7 Brisbane Bullets167944%86.489.4-3.0
8 New Zealand Breakers156940%89.689.9-0.3
9 Illawarra Hawks145936%85.489.6-4.3
10 Adelaide1541127%85.092.7-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Melbourne United2121212917109
Perth2624212111103
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