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Melbourne United vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 105-93
21-22 17-31 27-19 40-21
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game82.7
Melbourne United 🏆
Australia
vs
Sydney
Australia
Position#7
Record7-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game90.4
AustraliaNBLRound 8· John Cain Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Melbourne United v Sydney
25 Oct 2026
MELB105
SYDN95
14 Dec 2025
MELB86
SYDN92
03 Nov 2025
MELB92
SYDN95
01 Dec 2024
MELB101
SYDN98
31 Oct 2024
MELB87
SYDN83
19 Nov 2023
MELB105
SYDN93
23 Oct 2022
MELB69
SYDN87
09 Oct 2022
MELB71
SYDN91
16 Dec 2021
MELB89
SYDN47
02 May 2021
MELB103
SYDN78
27 Feb 2021
MELB83
SYDN80
02 Mar 2020
MELB125
SYDN80
14 Dec 2019
MELB81
SYDN104
04 Nov 2019
MELB107
SYDN104
28 Feb 2019
MELB95
SYDN73
24 Nov 2018
MELB84
SYDN82
05 Nov 2018
MELB77
SYDN70
11 Dec 2017
MELB95
SYDN69
11 Nov 2017
MELB108
SYDN90
26 Nov 2016
MELB95
SYDN92
12 Nov 2016
MELB71
SYDN87
16 Dec 2015
MELB81
SYDN96
01 Nov 2015
MELB96
SYDN82
22 Feb 2015
MELB95
SYDN92
21 Dec 2014
MELB105
SYDN101
09 Mar 2014
MELB92
SYDN82
01 Dec 2013
MELB63
SYDN67
06 Jan 2013
MELB74
SYDN71
18 Nov 2012
MELB67
SYDN72
25 Nov 2011
MELB80
SYDN89
07 Oct 2011
MELB82
SYDN76
26 Jan 2011
MELB67
SYDN85
15 Oct 2010
MELB68
SYDN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
W
82-74
82
74
+8
70avg 81
A01/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
75-80
75
80
-5
68avg 81
H08/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 81
A13/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
88avg 81
H15/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
101-91
101
91
+10
88avg 81
A20/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
97-88
97
88
+9
90avg 81
H22/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 81
A27/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
97avg 81
H29/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
no box
H06/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
92-83
92
83
+9
78avg 81
A12/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
16-24
16-14
25-17
18-16
18-19
25-18
14-27
22-17
17-18
21-17
28-29
14-14
29-14
23-17
23-33
29-22
30-29
18-12
24-28
23-13
19-30
22-20
33-25
21-21
22-21
30-15
17-25
24-29
28-22
19-18
25-15
26-24
23-22
20-21
20-22
23-24
21-18
24-25
24-16
174.8Avg total
90.5Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.782.7172.5+7.082%
Season at home (6)89.083.2172.2+5.867%
Season away (5)90.682.2172.8+8.4100%
Last 10 (10)90.584.3174.8+6.280%
Last 5 (5)94.087.8181.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.082.0159.0-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (15)89.586.9176.3+2.653%
vs Weaker (12)92.583.3175.8+9.292%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 90
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 90
A06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
109-100
109
100
+9
102avg 90
H08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
113-102
113
102
+11
113avg 90
A13/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
99-86
99
86
+13
98avg 90
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
95-105
95
105
-10
86avg 90
H22/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
80-87
80
87
-7
64avg 90
A28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
103-83
103
83
+20
101avg 90
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
87-85
87
85
+2
80avg 90
H05/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
104-95
104
95
+9
103avg 90
H12/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
25-15
23-25
22-17
19-18
21-30
17-16
15-16
32-22
25-26
18-24
34-28
29-25
27-17
29-25
28-35
28-26
22-16
20-20
29-24
25-36
20-21
23-18
27-30
20-26
22-25
19-18
19-18
20-17
32-25
32-18
19-23
27-21
28-23
17-23
15-18
20-26
25-25
31-20
28-24
186.2Avg total
95.8Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.890.4186.2+5.470%
Season at home (5)98.894.2193.0+4.680%
Season away (5)92.886.6179.4+6.260%
Last 10 (10)95.890.4186.2+5.470%
Last 5 (5)93.891.0184.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.283.2170.4+3.958%
vs Weaker (18)99.190.3189.4+8.872%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
Melbourne UnitedSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H08/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A13/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H15/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A20/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H22/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A27/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H29/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H06/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A12/11
NBL
86.4Avg total
44.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.041.886.8+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.742.490.1+5.479%-
Last 30 away (16)42.741.283.9+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.841.686.4+3.280%-
Last 5 (5)46.044.890.8+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.035.774.7+3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.742.987.6+1.760%-
vs Weaker (12)47.041.888.8+5.267%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A13/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H22/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H05/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H12/11
NBL
95.7Avg total
49.3Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.345.993.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.447.195.4+1.353%-
Last 30 away (13)45.844.490.2+1.546%-
Last 10 (10)49.346.495.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.849.096.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.044.487.4-1.442%-
vs Weaker (18)50.146.997.0+3.256%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.2
51.3%
50.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.2
34.7%
33.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.517.2
73.2%
73.8%17.2
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 95.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.7
55.4%
50.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.212.0
34.1%
33.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws21.015.8
75.2%
73.8%15.8
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WLWWWWWWLW
Sydney
WWWLLWWWLW
#1
League position
#7
+10.4
Net rating
+6.5
111.9
Offensive rating
113.8
101.5
Defensive rating
107.3
51.6%
Effective FG%
53.4%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.7%
3-point %
34.1%
54.6%
Assist %
62.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 113.8Defence101.5 · 107.3Shooting51.6% · 53.4%3-point %34.7% · 34.1%Ball care15.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds32.0% · 33.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Melbourne United wins
6
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
25/12/22Sydney v Melbourne United101-80
23/10/22Melbourne United v Sydney69-87
09/10/22Melbourne United v Sydney71-91
26/12/21Sydney v Melbourne United68-82
16/12/21Melbourne United v Sydney89-47
05/12/21Sydney v Melbourne United79-74
29/05/21Sydney v Melbourne United100-98 OT
02/05/21Melbourne United v Sydney103-78
19/03/21Sydney v Melbourne United103-75
27/02/21Melbourne United v Sydney83-80
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23ASouth East Melbourne92-83
06/11/23HPerth95-102 OT
29/10/23HIllawarra Hawks96-84
27/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers90-82
22/10/23HNew Zealand Breakers97-88
20/10/23AIllawarra Hawks101-91
15/10/23HBrisbane Bullets89-78
13/10/23APerth88-81
08/10/23HTasmania JackJumpers75-80
01/10/23AAdelaide82-74
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HBrisbane Bullets104-95
05/11/23HNew Zealand Breakers87-85
03/11/23AIllawarra Hawks103-83
28/10/23ACairns Taipans80-87
22/10/23HTasmania JackJumpers95-105
15/10/23HPerth99-86
13/10/23ABrisbane Bullets113-102
08/10/23HAdelaide109-100
06/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers72-80
30/09/23AIllawarra Hawks96-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW82%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%67%100%
Points / game89.789.090.6
Allowed / game82.783.282.2
Point differential+7.0+5.8+8.4
Avg total172.5172.2172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%17%0%
Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game95.898.892.8
Allowed / game90.494.286.6
Point differential+5.4+4.6+6.2
Avg total186.2193.0179.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%20%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United119282%89.782.7+7.0
2 Sydney107370%95.890.4+5.4
3 Tasmania JackJumpers127558%89.085.2+3.8
4 Perth127558%89.087.9+1.1
5 South East Melbourne126650%92.491.5+0.9
6 Brisbane Bullets125742%87.789.2-1.5
7 Cairns Taipans104640%84.085.9-1.9
8 Adelaide114736%85.188.9-3.8
9 New Zealand Breakers103730%86.989.6-2.7
10 Illawarra Hawks103730%82.992.3-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United21172740105
Sydney2231192193
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