PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cairns Taipans vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 97-88
28-15 29-20 20-19 20-34
Position#8
Record11-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game92.6
Cairns Taipans 🏆
Australia
vs
Melbourne United
Australia
Position#1
Record19-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game87.3
AustraliaNBLRound 20· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United
31 Oct 2026
CAIR97
MELB113
12 Feb 2026
CAIR85
MELB89
24 Oct 2025
CAIR67
MELB94
26 Dec 2024
CAIR66
MELB76
16 Feb 2024
CAIR97
MELB88
31 Dec 2023
CAIR95
MELB78
04 Nov 2022
CAIR97
MELB72
10 Apr 2022
CAIR63
MELB92
27 Feb 2022
CAIR73
MELB89
29 Dec 2016
CAIR78
MELB79
27 Oct 2016
CAIR83
MELB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
90avg 80
H26/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
82-101
82
101
-19
72avg 80
A29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
95-78
95
78
+17
96avg 80
H31/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
76avg 80
A06/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
111-101 OT
111
101
+10
no box
H13/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
93-92
93
92
+1
85avg 80
A18/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
80avg 80
H21/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
71-88
71
88
-17
58avg 80
A27/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
75avg 80
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#3
L
88-117
88
117
-29
72avg 80
A10/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
26-28
24-22
35-29
24-27
21-27
12-15
25-32
26-19
19-21
21-23
29-15
20-29
21-22
18-28
27-24
27-28
26-28
19-26
22-12
19-23
25-17
23-23
26-29
17-26
23-35
22-18
22-23
25-28
13-25
15-22
18-13
22-22
22-23
18-27
24-22
30-30
27-27
15-22
16-38
187.9Avg total
89.8Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.292.6181.9-3.441%
Season at home (13)89.189.0178.1+0.146%
Season away (14)89.496.0185.4-6.636%
Last 10 (10)89.898.1187.9-8.330%
Last 5 (5)84.498.6183.0-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)88.292.9181.1-4.729%
vs Similar (13)89.293.1182.2-3.946%
vs Weaker (3)86.382.0168.3+4.367%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
no box
H23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
78-95
78
95
-17
54avg 85
A31/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
101-85
101
85
+16
96avg 85
A04/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
96-100
96
100
-4
90avg 85
A06/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
82-81
82
81
+1
78avg 85
A12/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-107
86
107
-21
74avg 85
A19/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
93-77
93
77
+16
87avg 85
A26/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
86-98
86
98
-12
73avg 85
A28/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
99-83
99
83
+16
93avg 85
H03/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
94-81
94
81
+13
86avg 85
H11/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
21-24
21-21
29-21
19-26
21-19
23-21
15-29
18-23
20-17
35-19
28-26
23-27
19-19
24-31
30-23
17-22
22-22
23-18
20-19
22-24
22-30
14-25
28-28
21-13
29-26
23-20
20-18
26-22
17-36
22-14
21-26
26-17
31-27
31-15
11-24
27-22
28-17
23-16
16-26
183.4Avg total
92.4Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)93.787.3181.0+6.373%
Season at home (13)96.587.5184.0+8.977%
Season away (13)90.887.1177.9+3.869%
Last 10 (10)92.491.0183.4+1.460%
Last 5 (5)91.689.2180.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)74.080.0154.0-6.00%
vs Similar (11)95.093.2188.2+1.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)94.585.0179.5+9.583%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
Cairns TaipansMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H26/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H31/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A06/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H13/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A18/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H21/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A27/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#3
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A10/02
NBL
96.1Avg total
45.0Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.547.292.8-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.646.790.4-3.143%-
Last 30 away (16)47.247.794.9-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)45.051.196.1-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)44.651.295.8-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)47.847.995.6-0.143%-
vs Similar (13)43.547.591.0-4.138%-
vs Weaker (3)44.043.087.0+1.067%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A31/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A06/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A12/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A19/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A26/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A28/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H03/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H11/02
NBL
90.9Avg total
45.0Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.343.990.3+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.244.692.9+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)44.743.388.0+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)45.045.990.9-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)49.846.896.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (11)42.546.488.8-3.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)49.443.292.6+6.267%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.323.0
48.6%
50.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.3
31.9%
33.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws25.219.4
77.0%
73.8%19.4
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.624.1
51.7%
50.9%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.9
36.4%
33.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.013.2
69.5%
73.8%13.2
They take 73.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
LLLLWWLWLL
Melbourne United
WWLWLWLWLW
#8
League position
#1
-8.7
Net rating
+1.7
103.1
Offensive rating
110.8
111.8
Defensive rating
109.1
48.4%
Effective FG%
52.8%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.2%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.9%
3-point %
36.4%
58.1%
Assist %
54.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 110.8Defence111.8 · 109.1Shooting48.4% · 52.8%3-point %31.9% · 36.4%Ball care16.1% · 14.2%Off. rebounds24.2% · 28.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cairns Taipans wins
6
Melbourne United wins
DateGameScore
31/12/23Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United95-78
03/12/23Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans103-115
23/12/22Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans84-81
04/11/22Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United97-72
20/10/22Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans77-81
18/04/22Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans92-80
10/04/22Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United63-92
27/02/22Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United73-89
14/01/17Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans92-85
29/12/16Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United78-79
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24APerth88-117
01/02/24HTasmania JackJumpers86-94
27/01/24AAdelaide71-88
21/01/24HBrisbane Bullets84-102
18/01/24AIllawarra Hawks93-92
13/01/24HAdelaide111-101 OT
06/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-103
31/12/23HMelbourne United95-78
29/12/23ASydney82-101
26/12/23HPerth102-105
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers94-81
03/02/24HSouth East Melbourne99-83
28/01/24ASydney86-98
26/01/24ABrisbane Bullets93-77
19/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-107
12/01/24ANew Zealand Breakers82-81
06/01/24AAdelaide96-100
04/01/24ASydney101-85
31/12/23ACairns Taipans78-95
23/12/23HPerth109-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeLWWLL46%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%46%36%
Points / game89.289.189.4
Allowed / game92.689.096.0
Point differential-3.4+0.1-6.6
Avg total181.9178.1185.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%31%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %7%15%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW73%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLWLWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %73%77%69%
Points / game93.796.590.8
Allowed / game87.387.587.1
Point differential+6.3+8.9+3.8
Avg total181.0184.0177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%62%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2619773%93.787.3+6.3
2 Perth27171063%94.791.7+3.0
3 Tasmania JackJumpers27151256%91.885.4+6.4
4 Illawarra Hawks27141352%91.189.9+1.3
5 New Zealand Breakers27131448%89.989.0+0.9
6 Brisbane Bullets28131546%87.890.5-2.7
7 Sydney27121544%94.493.9+0.6
8 Cairns Taipans27111641%89.292.6-3.4
9 Adelaide27111641%88.292.3-4.1
10 South East Melbourne27101737%87.395.1-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans2829202097
Melbourne United1520193488
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.