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Canberra Capitals W vs Sydney W Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 15 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 08:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game82.0
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
vs
Sydney W
Australia
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game78.1
AustraliaNBL WRound 9· AIS Arena
Women2026-27
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W
15 Dec 2026
CANB v SYDN
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
CANB61
SYDN91
15 Nov 2025
CANB96
SYDN56
09 Feb 2025
CANB71
SYDN86
30 Jan 2025
CANB88
SYDN92
08 Dec 2023
CANB70
SYDN72
10 Dec 2022
CANB80
SYDN92
28 Jan 2022
CANB86
SYDN54
05 Jan 2022
CANB v SYDN
upcoming
25 Nov 2020
CANB v SYDN
upcoming
26 Jan 2020
CANB82
SYDN66
02 Nov 2019
CANB91
SYDN66
04 Nov 2018
CANB84
SYDN79
07 Dec 2017
CANB67
SYDN73
04 Nov 2017
CANB72
SYDN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
66avg 60
A23/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
59avg 60
H25/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 60
A31/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
62avg 60
H03/02
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
73avg 60
H07/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
94-92
94
92
+2
no box
H17/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A23/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
A31/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
97-83
97
83
+14
no box
A07/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
H15/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
21-24
13-20
15-23
15-11
18-28
19-18
21-20
22-26
11-17
15-20
14-15
26-20
18-24
16-20
15-18
19-12
16-21
19-20
22-14
27-15
25-22
21-31
21-24
19-23
17-21
17-19
17-19
26-17
23-19
11-15
17-17
26-20
21-22
19-19
31-22
20-21
17-29
31-19
10-16
157.7Avg total
77.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.282.0165.2+1.260%
Season at home (2)86.088.5174.5-2.550%
Season away (3)81.377.7159.0+3.767%
Last 10 (10)77.480.3157.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)83.282.0165.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.181.6153.8-9.525%
vs Similar (11)72.873.6146.5-0.855%
vs Weaker (3)89.381.0170.3+8.3100%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
57-76
57
76
-19
34avg 68
H25/01
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
76-89
76
89
-13
64avg 68
H01/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
93-108
93
108
-15
79avg 68
A07/02
NBL W
Southside W
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
A16/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
95-68
95
68
+27
no box
H18/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H23/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
A25/10
NBL W
Tasmania Jewels W
#5
L
85-93
85
93
-8
no box
A31/10
NBL W
Southside W
#9
W
86-69
86
69
+17
no box
H08/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
L
70-97
70
97
-27
no box
A14/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
12-15
8-24
16-22
16-25
23-22
17-17
20-25
16-22
18-30
33-26
26-30
26-25
11-21
19-14
21-13
17-16
31-25
22-15
25-12
23-19
21-17
19-17
19-17
23-18
24-23
28-12
15-24
26-17
16-31
24-26
19-19
21-18
29-13
13-18
23-20
13-17
19-29
14-24
24-27
163.1Avg total
81.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.678.1161.7+5.471%
Season at home (3)87.769.0156.7+18.7100%
Season away (4)80.585.0165.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)81.182.0163.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)82.681.2163.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.389.1166.4-11.819%
vs Similar (8)75.678.5154.1-2.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.578.3160.8+4.267%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
Canberra Capitals WSydney W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A23/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H25/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A31/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/02
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H07/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H17/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A31/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A07/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H15/11
NBL W
82.4Avg total
41.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.678.9-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.340.780.1-1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)37.240.577.7-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.482.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.886.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.643.280.8-5.619%-
vs Similar (11)36.337.573.7-1.236%-
vs Weaker (3)49.338.387.7+11.0100%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H25/01
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H01/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A07/02
NBL W
Southside W
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A16/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H18/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H23/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A25/10
NBL W
Tasmania Jewels W
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A31/10
NBL W
Southside W
#9
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A14/11
NBL W
82.4Avg total
40.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.582.8-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.240.782.9+1.550%-
Last 30 away (16)38.644.182.6-5.531%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.882.4-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.483.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.244.484.6-4.231%-
vs Similar (8)39.039.578.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.241.383.5+0.850%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.920.9
42.7%
47.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.05.6
32.9%
32.8%16.8
🏀 Free throws15.19.6
63.6%
73.3%9.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydney Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney W: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.420.7
45.6%
47.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.3
30.9%
32.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.9
73.5%
73.3%13.9
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canberra Capitals W
LWWLWWLLLL
Sydney W
LWLWWWWLLL
#4
League position
#3
-12.1
Net rating
-5.2
82.6
Offensive rating
95.1
94.7
Defensive rating
100.4
44.5%
Effective FG%
45.9%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.9%
3-point %
30.9%
64.5%
Assist %
56.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence82.6 · 95.1Defence94.7 · 100.4Shooting44.5% · 45.9%3-point %32.9% · 30.9%Ball care16.8% · 14.3%Off. rebounds30.7% · 35.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Canberra Capitals W   ■ Sydney W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Canberra Capitals W wins
9
Sydney W wins
DateGameScore
23/10/26Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W82-70
10/01/26Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W84-72
27/12/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W61-91
15/11/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W96-56
06/11/25Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W73-64
09/02/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W71-86
30/01/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W88-92 OT
03/11/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W102-85
19/01/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W90-65
08/12/23Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W70-72
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTownsville W78-85
07/11/26ABendigo W97-83
31/10/26AGeelong Venom W77-68
23/10/26ASydney W70-82
17/10/26HBendigo W94-92
07/02/26HGeelong Venom W76-67
03/02/26HSouthside W75-82
31/01/26ATownsville W62-78
25/01/26HBendigo W73-77
23/01/26ABendigo W72-89
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABendigo W70-97
08/11/26HSouthside W86-69
31/10/26ATasmania Jewels W85-93
25/10/26ATownsville W90-77
23/10/26HCanberra Capitals W82-70
18/10/26HAdelaide Lightning W95-68
16/10/26ASouthside W77-73
07/02/26APerth Lynx W93-108
01/02/26HGeelong Venom W76-89
25/01/26HPerth Lynx W57-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game83.286.081.3
Allowed / game82.088.577.7
Point differential+1.2-2.5+3.7
Avg total165.2174.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney W
NBL W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game83.687.780.5
Allowed / game78.169.085.0
Point differential+5.4+18.7-4.5
Avg total161.7156.7165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth Lynx W65183%94.284.0+10.2
2 Townsville W75271%85.977.6+8.3
3 Sydney W75271%83.678.1+5.4
4 Canberra Capitals W53260%83.282.0+1.2
5 Tasmania Jewels W53260%88.089.0-1.0
6 Adelaide Lightning W52340%79.882.6-2.8
7 Geelong Venom W62433%75.382.3-7.0
8 Bendigo W61517%82.387.2-4.8
9 Southside W71614%76.486.9-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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