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Caserta vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-83
24-26 14-16 21-26 22-15
Position#15
Record0-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game81.0
Caserta
Italy
vs
Fortitudo Bologna 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game70.0
ItalySerie A2Round 2· PalaMaggiò
Other2026-27
Meetings · Caserta v Fortitudo Bologna
04 Oct 2026
KAS81
FBO83
10 Jan 2009
KAS76
FBO74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Cantu
#14
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
no box
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
no box
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
62-64
62
64
-2
no box
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
67-83
67
83
-16
no box
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
69avg 69
A27/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-21
19-12
28-24
22-28
17-15
19-21
17-21
18-17
21-13
12-10
11-24
14-14
15-6
13-17
16-19
18-22
24-14
21-24
9-25
29-13
14-31
19-20
16-15
18-17
28-26
15-20
18-17
25-19
19-8
15-26
17-23
24-22
18-19
19-23
21-11
19-17
18-27
19-17
21-19
15-18
148.6Avg total
73.1Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)73.175.5148.6-2.430%
Last 5 (5)75.679.0154.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.682.5159.2-5.923%
vs Similar (17)78.680.2158.8-1.647%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Forli
#17
W
96-65
96
65
+31
94avg 72
A26/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
76-58
76
58
+18
78avg 72
H07/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
69-64
69
64
+5
63avg 72
H09/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
71-75
71
75
-4
65avg 72
A12/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
67-76
67
76
-9
66avg 72
A14/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
93-61
93
61
+32
97avg 72
H17/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
59-60
59
60
-1
48avg 72
H20/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
74-75 OT
74
75
-1
69avg 72
H22/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
73avg 72
A25/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
92-70
92
70
+22
103avg 72
H27/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
30-20
22-9
23-21
21-14
19-8
23-18
13-18
22-21
17-22
18-17
12-4
21-12
24-18
13-27
13-18
23-17
14-18
16-25
14-16
28-9
17-19
26-15
22-18
9-14
22-12
13-17
15-17
26-17
10-16
18-18
14-17
22-27
13-20
28-24
10-15
16-25
24-14
22-12
30-19
146.0Avg total
77.0Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.070.0162.0+22.0100%
Season at home (1)92.070.0162.0+22.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.069.0146.0+8.050%
Last 5 (5)78.270.4148.6+7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)72.373.3145.6-1.142%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.169.4154.5+15.7100%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
CasertaFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/09
Serie A2
72.5Avg total
35.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.878.1-3.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.238.978.1+0.336%-
Last 30 away (16)35.742.478.1-6.812%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.072.5-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.480.2-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.041.378.3-4.323%-
vs Similar (17)37.640.478.0-2.824%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#17
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A26/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H07/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A12/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A14/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H17/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H20/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A25/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H27/09
Serie A2
73.7Avg total
39.9Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.035.373.3+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.432.771.1+5.875%-
Last 30 away (14)37.638.275.8-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)39.933.873.7+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.672.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)36.136.372.4-0.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.433.574.9+7.882%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.6
51.8%
51.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.4
33.2%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.512.6
72.0%
70.8%12.6
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.214.1
53.8%
51.4%28.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.312.0
35.0%
34.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws16.712.8
76.6%
70.8%12.8
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 57% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
LWLWLWLLLL
Fortitudo Bologna
WLLLWLLWWW
#15
League position
#3
-4.4
Net rating
+10.4
98.4
Offensive rating
97.4
102.9
Defensive rating
87.0
50.9%
Effective FG%
53.1%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
20.9%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.2%
3-point %
35.0%
45.4%
Assist %
80.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 97.4Defence102.9 · 87.0Shooting50.9% · 53.1%3-point %33.2% · 35.0%Ball care20.9% · 14.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Caserta   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Caserta wins
1
Fortitudo Bologna wins
DateGameScore
07/05/09Fortitudo Bologna v Caserta74-65
10/01/09Caserta v Fortitudo Bologna76-74 OT
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26ASebastiani Rieti73-81
07/05/17HSassari77-70
30/04/17AAvellino75-79
23/04/17HBrindisi86-82
15/04/17APesaro67-83
09/04/17HTorino83-76
02/04/17ABrescia62-64
26/03/17HVenezia58-61
19/03/17ACapo d'Orlando71-74
12/03/17HCantu79-85
Fortitudo Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26HRuvo Di Puglia92-70
25/05/26AVerona73-86
22/05/26HVerona74-75 OT
20/05/26HVerona59-60
17/05/26HAvellino Basket93-61
14/05/26AAvellino Basket67-76
12/05/26AAvellino Basket71-75
09/05/26HAvellino Basket69-64
07/05/26HAvellino Basket76-58
26/04/26AForli96-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game73.0-73.0
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential-8.0--8.0
Avg total154.0-154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game92.092.0-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+22.0+22.0-
Avg total162.0162.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini110100%84.059.0+25.0
2 Fortitudo Bologna110100%92.070.0+22.0
3 Libertas Livorno220100%75.555.5+20.0
4 Avellino Basket110100%87.069.0+18.0
5 Pesaro110100%96.081.0+15.0
6 Forli220100%82.570.5+12.0
7 Sebastiani Rieti220100%80.068.5+11.5
8 Brindisi110100%66.059.0+7.0
9 Sassari110100%70.068.0+2.0
10 Mestre21150%64.072.5-8.5
11 Pistoia1010%62.063.0-1.0
12 Urania Milano1010%68.070.0-2.0
13 JuVi Cremona1010%59.066.0-7.0
14 Caserta1010%73.081.0-8.0
15 Cento2020%77.088.0-11.0
16 Vigevano2020%66.583.0-16.5
17 Cividale1010%68.085.0-17.0
18 Basket Torino1010%57.079.0-22.0
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1010%70.092.0-22.0
20 Montecatini1010%59.084.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caserta2414212281
Fortitudo Bologna2616261583
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