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Caserta vs Pesaro Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#13
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game76.5
ItalySerie A2Round 32· PalaMaggiò
Other2026-27
Meetings · Caserta v Pesaro
27 Mar 2027
KAS v PES
upcoming
18 Dec 2016
KAS82
PES87
06 Dec 2015
KAS73
PES69
11 Jan 2015
KAS80
PES73
26 Jan 2014
KAS100
PES88
24 Mar 2013
KAS66
PES77
12 Nov 2011
KAS76
PES82
31 Oct 2010
KAS89
PES91
07 Nov 2009
KAS95
PES81
10 Dec 2008
KAS68
PES83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#8
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A27/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H04/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A11/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
W
96-89
96
89
+7
H18/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#14
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
21-24
9-25
29-13
14-31
19-20
16-15
18-17
28-26
15-20
18-17
25-19
19-8
15-26
17-23
24-22
18-19
19-23
21-11
19-17
18-27
19-17
21-19
15-18
24-26
14-16
21-26
22-15
24-23
15-23
21-16
17-21
21-27
16-25
35-20
24-17
26-17
15-18
16-22
20-13
158.8Avg total
79.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.881.2162.0-0.440%
Season at home (3)84.780.7165.3+4.067%
Season away (2)75.082.0157.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)79.279.6158.8-0.450%
Last 5 (5)80.881.2162.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.081.4158.4-4.423%
vs Similar (15)77.780.3158.0-2.540%
vs Weaker (2)86.579.5166.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
A14/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
96-94
96
94
+2
A16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
96-81
96
81
+15
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#4
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
35-27
15-25
22-11
15-26
28-26
18-27
14-14
21-26
33-19
17-31
25-18
18-20
11-27
22-21
27-23
31-14
25-25
20-19
20-23
24-23
21-18
15-26
27-17
23-24
23-15
16-21
21-17
13-15
27-31
22-17
24-13
22-21
20-18
13-15
21-14
15-20
21-20
18-19
17-14
165.8Avg total
84.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.276.5159.7+6.783%
Season at home (4)79.275.5154.8+3.875%
Season away (2)91.078.5169.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.281.6165.8+2.670%
Last 5 (5)80.675.6156.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)83.486.6170.0-3.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.776.5160.2+7.293%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +5.4+5.4
CasertaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H04/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H18/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#14
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
Serie A2
81.4Avg total
38.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.978.6-3.223%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.040.279.2-1.231%-
Last 30 away (14)36.241.677.9-5.414%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.081.4-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.882.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.340.577.8-3.223%-
vs Similar (15)37.940.978.7-3.020%-
vs Weaker (2)39.043.582.5-4.550%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A14/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/10
Serie A2
87.9Avg total
44.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.683.7+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.839.282.0+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)43.442.185.6+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.187.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.082.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)42.141.883.9+0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.239.283.4+5.079%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.6
54.7%
51.7%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
34.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
70.9%13.9
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.1
52.2%
51.7%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.58.7
42.4%
34.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.515.4
79.0%
70.9%15.4
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
WWLLLWLWLW
Pesaro
LWWWWWLWLW
#13
League position
#3
-1.8
Net rating
+1.9
103.9
Offensive rating
106.7
105.6
Defensive rating
104.8
52.9%
Effective FG%
56.4%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
10.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.9%
3-point %
42.4%
46.1%
Assist %
52.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 106.7Defence105.6 · 104.8Shooting52.9% · 56.4%3-point %33.9% · 42.4%Ball care15.9% · 10.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Caserta   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Caserta wins
5
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Pesaro v Caserta83-77
15/04/17Pesaro v Caserta83-67
18/12/16Caserta v Pesaro82-87
26/03/16Pesaro v Caserta71-72
06/12/15Caserta v Pesaro73-69
10/05/15Pesaro v Caserta80-70
11/01/15Caserta v Pesaro80-73
26/01/14Caserta v Pesaro100-88
20/10/13Pesaro v Caserta84-93 OT
24/03/13Caserta v Pesaro66-77
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HMestre77-70
18/10/26HJuVi Cremona96-89
11/10/26APesaro77-83
04/10/26HFortitudo Bologna81-83
27/09/26ASebastiani Rieti73-81
07/05/17HSassari77-70
30/04/17AAvellino75-79
23/04/17HBrindisi86-82
15/04/17APesaro67-83
09/04/17HTorino83-76
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HBasket Torino71-73
21/10/26HCividale76-68
18/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-76
11/10/26HCaserta83-77
04/10/26HJuVi Cremona87-84
27/09/26ACento96-81
19/05/26HRimini78-91
16/05/26ARimini96-94
14/05/26ARimini75-93
11/05/26HRimini94-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game80.884.775.0
Allowed / game81.280.782.0
Point differential-0.4+4.0-7.0
Avg total162.0165.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game83.279.291.0
Allowed / game76.575.578.5
Point differential+6.7+3.8+12.5
Avg total159.7154.8169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno660100%81.767.0+14.7
2 Avellino Basket65183%81.073.5+7.5
3 Pesaro65183%83.276.5+6.7
4 Basket Torino54180%75.073.4+1.6
5 Rimini75271%82.671.0+11.6
6 Brindisi64267%78.873.8+5.0
7 Fortitudo Bologna64267%81.377.3+4.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti64267%75.376.5-1.2
9 Pistoia63350%78.269.8+8.3
10 Forli63350%83.379.5+3.8
11 Sassari63350%72.876.0-3.2
12 Cividale73443%70.774.4-3.7
13 Caserta52340%80.881.2-0.4
14 Mestre62433%73.578.5-5.0
15 Ruvo Di Puglia62433%79.284.3-5.2
16 Vigevano62433%77.285.3-8.2
17 Cento72529%73.683.6-10.0
18 Montecatini61517%72.084.2-12.2
19 Urania Milano71614%75.781.7-6.0
20 JuVi Cremona6060%74.881.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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