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Caserta vs Siena Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2014
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 78-76
15-20 17-18 22-20 24-18
Position#7
Record12-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game71.9
Caserta 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record18-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game69.8
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2013-14
Meetings · Caserta v Siena
19 Apr 2014
KAS78
SIE76
17 Mar 2013
KAS72
SIE64
05 Feb 2012
KAS78
SIE80
20 Feb 2011
KAS89
SIE84
02 May 2010
KAS57
SIE98
28 Dec 2008
KAS66
SIE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siena winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
100-88
100
88
+12
H26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H15/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A23/02
Lega A
Avellino
#12
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H02/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#6
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A09/03
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H16/03
Lega A
Cantu
#3
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H23/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A30/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A06/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
22-30
25-15
35-28
9-15
10-13
10-12
14-21
8-10
15-18
22-18
29-22
12-22
22-19
18-18
27-23
28-13
11-8
13-23
24-13
13-21
15-11
19-8
6-24
22-22
19-11
19-14
15-21
24-14
9-10
18-18
13-18
21-14
14-19
15-17
16-24
13-18
17-14
20-21
17-19
139.1Avg total
69.7Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)72.271.9144.1+0.346%
Season at home (13)74.370.5144.8+3.869%
Season away (13)70.173.2143.3-3.223%
Last 10 (10)69.769.4139.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)65.067.6132.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.076.6147.6-5.629%
vs Similar (16)70.171.9142.1-1.838%
vs Weaker (7)81.774.1155.9+7.671%
This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SienaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#9
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A16/03
Lega A
Stony Brook
#15
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H18/03
CBI
Avellino
#12
W
91-67
91
67
+24
H23/03
Lega A
Penn State
#6
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H24/03
CBI
Illinois State
#4
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H26/03
CBI
Virtus Roma
#5
W
93-89
93
89
+4
A30/03
Lega A
Fresno State
#3
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A01/04
CBI
Fresno State
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H02/04
CBI
Fresno State
#3
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H05/04
CBI
Sassari
#4
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H06/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
23-17
14-23
26-13
0-0
31-34
0-0
35-21
27-14
25-10
16-20
23-23
0-0
25-21
0-0
29-31
0-0
31-21
0-0
30-28
24-28
19-8
25-28
25-25
0-0
26-32
0-0
35-25
0-0
24-43
0-0
51-46
0-0
39-22
0-0
42-46
22-22
18-20
25-20
17-19
142.4Avg total
74.0Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.769.8146.5+6.969%
Season at home (13)80.269.6149.8+10.692%
Season away (13)73.269.9143.1+3.246%
Last 10 (10)74.068.4142.4+5.680%
Last 5 (5)78.476.8155.2+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.080.0151.0-9.00%
vs Similar (15)72.370.7142.9+1.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)75.070.8145.8+4.255%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.6+3.6
CasertaSiena
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H15/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A23/02
Lega A
Avellino
#12
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H02/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A09/03
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H16/03
Lega A
Cantu
#3
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H23/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A30/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A06/04
Lega A
63.9Avg total
32.2Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.434.369.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.832.568.3+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)35.136.171.2-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)32.231.763.9+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.430.864.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.934.970.7+1.043%-
vs Similar (16)33.633.767.2-0.150%-
vs Weaker (7)39.335.374.6+4.057%-
This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A16/03
Lega A
Stony Brook
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H18/03
CBI
Avellino
#12
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H23/03
Lega A
Penn State
#6
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H24/03
CBI
Illinois State
#4
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H26/03
CBI
Virtus Roma
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A30/03
Lega A
Fresno State
#3
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A01/04
CBI
Fresno State
#3
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H02/04
CBI
Fresno State
#3
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H05/04
CBI
Sassari
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H06/04
Lega A
66.3Avg total
34.7Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.869.4+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.233.470.6+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)33.834.368.1-0.557%-
Last 10 (10)34.731.666.3+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.069.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.538.571.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (15)34.933.368.3+1.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)36.533.369.7+3.264%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Caserta wins
6
Siena wins
DateGameScore
26/12/13Siena v Caserta60-81
17/03/13Caserta v Siena72-64
18/11/12Siena v Caserta86-66
05/02/12Caserta v Siena78-80
23/10/11Siena v Caserta65-69
20/02/11Caserta v Siena89-84
07/11/10Siena v Caserta91-87
02/05/10Caserta v Siena57-98
10/01/10Siena v Caserta100-75
19/04/09Siena v Caserta91-75
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/14AVarese67-72
30/03/14AVirtus Bologna66-74
23/03/14HCantu64-60
16/03/14HSutor Montegranaro75-68
09/03/14ABrindisi53-64
02/03/14HAvellino76-57
23/02/14AVirtus Roma79-82
15/02/14HReggiana74-68
02/02/14AOlimpia Milano43-61
26/01/14HPesaro100-88
Sienalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/14HSassari82-81
05/04/14HFresno State81-68
02/04/14HFresno State75-89
01/04/14AFresno State61-57
30/03/14AVirtus Roma93-89
26/03/14HIllinois State61-49
24/03/14HPenn State54-52
23/03/14HAvellino91-67
18/03/14HStony Brook66-55
16/03/14APistoia76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL46%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %46%69%23%
Points / game72.274.370.1
Allowed / game71.970.573.2
Point differential+0.3+3.8-3.2
Avg total144.1144.8143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)25% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Siena
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %69%92%46%
Points / game76.780.273.2
Allowed / game69.869.669.9
Point differential+6.9+10.6+3.2
Avg total146.5149.8143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%69%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)100% (1)38% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2621581%80.970.1+10.8
2 Siena2618869%76.769.8+6.9
3 Brindisi2718967%76.773.7+3.1
4 Cantu2617965%80.676.5+4.1
5 Sassari27171063%86.079.2+6.8
6 Virtus Roma27151256%77.877.7+0.1
7 Reggiana26131350%76.974.0+2.9
8 Caserta26121446%72.271.9+0.3
9 Venezia26111542%79.779.7+0.0
10 Virtus Bologna26111542%78.379.1-0.8
11 Varese26111542%79.782.0-2.3
12 Pistoia26111542%75.978.6-2.7
13 Avellino27111641%74.979.7-4.9
14 Cremona26101638%77.083.1-6.1
15 Sutor Montegranaro2681831%77.786.6-8.9
16 Pesaro2662023%79.388.8-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caserta1517222478
Siena2018201876
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