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CD Povoa vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-79
22-21 15-13 11-23 27-22
Position#10
Record3-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game75.1
CD Povoa
Portugal
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game76.0
PortugalLPBRound 9· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2024-25
Meetings · CD Povoa v Benfica
24 Apr 2027
CD P v BEN
upcoming
22 Dec 2024
CD P75
BEN79
30 Mar 2024
CD P72
BEN87
16 Dec 2023
CD P58
BEN83
13 May 2023
CD P72
BEN93
04 Feb 2023
CD P60
BEN59
14 May 2022
CD P67
BEN84
14 Nov 2021
CD P53
BEN76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
51avg 70
A17/05
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
71-76
71
76
-5
53avg 70
A19/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 70
A26/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
69-75
69
75
-6
59avg 70
H02/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
65avg 70
A09/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
82avg 70
H16/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
80avg 70
H30/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
66-68
66
68
-2
52avg 70
H07/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 70
A15/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
72-94
72
94
-22
63avg 70
A18/12
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
19-26
21-16
14-21
29-20
18-24
11-19
13-13
18-15
19-17
13-20
14-24
23-24
16-18
22-23
8-10
21-24
23-13
12-18
21-20
26-16
15-23
19-16
21-17
22-25
23-8
16-28
12-12
20-24
19-11
14-11
13-22
19-21
21-11
21-29
17-14
22-15
16-25
12-28
22-26
150.2Avg total
72.9Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.575.1148.6-1.638%
Season at home (4)74.574.8149.2-0.225%
Season away (4)72.575.5148.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)72.977.3150.2-4.430%
Last 5 (5)75.878.6154.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.483.1158.5-7.633%
vs Similar (5)78.082.4160.4-4.440%
vs Weaker (7)86.779.4166.1+7.371%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
L
58-72
58
72
-14
48avg 82
H29/10
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
W
82-77
82
77
+5
70avg 82
H02/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
92avg 82
A09/11
LPB
Tortona
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
66avg 82
A13/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#11
W
108-82
108
82
+26
108avg 82
H16/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 82
H30/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
98-77
98
77
+21
100avg 82
A07/12
LPB
Manresa
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
66avg 82
H10/12
Champions League
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
91-68
91
68
+23
93avg 82
H14/12
LPB
Chemnitz
#41
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 82
H17/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
16-20
14-16
12-15
15-19
18-17
22-19
27-22
19-19
27-23
25-17
22-26
19-15
26-20
16-22
10-20
28-16
30-17
28-27
22-22
17-15
26-16
25-18
25-26
23-17
29-21
22-20
24-19
23-15
21-18
19-24
17-34
22-23
25-9
21-14
23-22
20-14
25-17
14-23
20-14
162.5Avg total
85.3Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)93.576.0169.5+17.5100%
Season at home (4)93.575.5169.0+18.0100%
Season away (4)93.576.5170.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.377.2162.5+8.170%
Last 5 (5)88.275.8164.0+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.584.2159.7-8.733%
vs Similar (4)74.875.8150.5-1.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.969.4160.3+21.6100%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
CD PovoaBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/05
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A19/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A26/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A09/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H30/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/12
Taca da Liga
77.9Avg total
40.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.881.0-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.938.980.8+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)38.842.481.2-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.577.9+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.876.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.740.379.0-1.744%-
vs Similar (5)41.640.081.6+1.680%-
vs Weaker (7)43.342.485.7+0.943%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H29/10
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H02/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A09/11
LPB
Tortona
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A13/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#11
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H16/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H30/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A07/12
LPB
Manresa
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/12
Champions League
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H14/12
LPB
Chemnitz
#41
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H17/12
Champions League
79.7Avg total
44.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.036.079.0+7.073%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.734.178.8+10.681%-
Last 30 away (14)41.138.279.4+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)44.535.279.7+9.380%-
Last 5 (5)46.233.079.2+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.840.383.2+2.567%-
vs Similar (4)39.838.878.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.733.577.3+10.284%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.5
46.7%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.9
29.3%
32.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.713.2
60.8%
69.2%13.2
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.4
55.0%
51.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.3
34.6%
32.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.713.4
61.8%
69.2%13.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
LWLLWWLLLL
Benfica
WWLWWWLWWL
#10
League position
#1
-6.3
Net rating
+11.6
95.1
Offensive rating
111.2
101.4
Defensive rating
99.5
45.5%
Effective FG%
53.6%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.2%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.3%
3-point %
34.6%
59.8%
Assist %
68.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 111.2Defence101.4 · 99.5Shooting45.5% · 53.6%3-point %29.3% · 34.6%Ball care17.2% · 18.2%Off. rebounds26.3% · 34.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
CD Povoa wins
9
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
20/04/24Benfica v CD Povoa101-77
30/03/24CD Povoa v Benfica72-87
16/03/24Benfica v CD Povoa103-86
16/12/23CD Povoa v Benfica58-83
13/05/23CD Povoa v Benfica72-93
10/05/23Benfica v CD Povoa97-46
04/02/23CD Povoa v Benfica60-59
19/11/22Benfica v CD Povoa63-55
14/05/22CD Povoa v Benfica67-84
12/05/22Benfica v CD Povoa77-59
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24AVitoria72-94
15/12/24AVitoria78-75
07/12/24HSporting CP66-68
30/11/24HEsgueira82-84 OT
16/11/24HGalomar81-72
09/11/24AGalitos Barreiro77-75
02/11/24HOvarense69-75
26/10/24AFC Porto64-76
19/10/24ACA Queluz71-76
17/05/24AOliveirense69-78
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HChemnitz79-68
14/12/24HGalitos Barreiro91-68
10/12/24HManresa80-91
07/12/24AOvarense98-77
30/11/24HOliveirense93-75
16/11/24HCA Queluz108-82
13/11/24ATortona71-77
09/11/24AEsgueira93-85
02/11/24HFC Porto82-77
29/10/24HTortona58-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW38%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game73.574.572.5
Allowed / game75.174.875.5
Point differential-1.6-0.2-3.0
Avg total148.6149.2148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Benfica
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.593.593.5
Allowed / game76.075.576.5
Point differential+17.5+18.0+17.0
Avg total169.5169.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica880100%93.576.0+17.5
2 FC Porto98189%86.077.1+8.9
3 Sporting CP97278%85.676.2+9.3
4 Oliveirense96367%88.980.8+8.1
5 Ovarense96367%78.776.6+2.1
6 Esgueira94544%82.286.4-4.2
7 CD Povoa83538%73.575.1-1.6
8 Vitoria93633%78.380.2-1.9
9 Galitos Barreiro93633%76.078.6-2.6
10 Galomar92722%74.882.7-7.9
11 CA Queluz92722%82.791.8-9.1
12 Imortal91811%72.989.8-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa2215112775
Benfica2113232279
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