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CD Povoa vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 82-84 (OT)
22-25 23-8 16-28 12-12 9-11
Position#10
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#8
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game85.4
PortugalLPBRound 2· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2024-25
Meetings · CD Povoa v Esgueira
29 Dec 2026
CD P v ESGU
upcoming
30 Nov 2024
CD P82
ESGU84
27 Apr 2024
CD P82
ESGU88
11 Nov 2023
CD P79
ESGU71
16 Apr 2023
CD P75
ESGU60
22 Dec 2022
CD P63
ESGU52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 70
A20/04
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
82-88
82
88
-6
82avg 70
H27/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
47avg 70
A11/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
85-84
85
84
+1
79avg 70
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
51avg 70
A17/05
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
71-76
71
76
-5
53avg 70
A19/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 70
A26/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
69-75
69
75
-6
59avg 70
H02/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
65avg 70
A09/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
82avg 70
H16/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
19-22
25-34
15-21
21-34
23-19
20-18
18-17
21-22
10-21
12-21
22-14
22-11
25-26
23-25
15-22
15-15
19-26
21-16
14-21
29-20
18-24
11-19
13-13
18-15
19-17
13-20
14-24
23-24
16-18
22-23
8-10
21-24
23-13
12-18
21-20
26-16
15-23
19-16
21-17
154.3Avg total
74.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.474.8147.2-2.440%
Season at home (2)75.073.5148.5+1.550%
Season away (3)70.775.7146.3-5.033%
Last 10 (10)74.080.3154.3-6.330%
Last 5 (5)72.474.8147.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.185.1161.2-9.131%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.280.4158.6-2.260%
vs Weaker (8)86.078.8164.8+7.275%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#6
L
81-82
81
82
-1
65avg 64
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
71avg 64
H06/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
66avg 64
A13/04
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
89-61
89
61
+28
no box
H20/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
78avg 64
A27/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 64
H20/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
74-81
74
81
-7
53avg 64
H26/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 64
A02/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
72avg 64
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 64
A16/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
25-15
19-21
24-25
21-23
19-27
29-16
16-16
15-25
24-23
15-16
19-24
24-8
22-18
25-16
18-19
34-21
19-23
18-20
17-18
12-19
21-20
17-20
32-22
18-15
19-16
15-22
22-28
18-12
20-23
24-21
20-23
19-19
23-27
17-25
26-22
18-18
23-27
21-21
15-27
163.8Avg total
81.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.085.4165.4-5.440%
Season at home (3)80.385.0165.3-4.733%
Season away (2)79.586.0165.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)81.682.2163.8-0.650%
Last 5 (5)80.085.4165.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)72.288.1160.3-15.922%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.976.2153.1+0.650%
vs Weaker (3)84.377.3161.7+7.033%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
CD PovoaEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/04
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H27/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A11/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/05
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A19/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A26/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A09/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/11
LPB
81.5Avg total
40.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.481.3-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.539.681.1+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)38.543.081.5-4.538%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.481.5-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.880.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.142.180.1-4.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.239.080.2+2.280%-
vs Weaker (8)42.141.283.4+0.950%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H06/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/04
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H20/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A27/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H26/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A16/11
LPB
80.7Avg total
40.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.740.677.3-3.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.640.978.5-3.244%-
Last 30 away (14)35.640.476.0-4.736%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.080.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.277.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)33.943.877.7-9.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.835.676.4+5.175%-
vs Weaker (3)39.736.776.3+3.067%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.816.1
43.8%
51.2%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.3
32.3%
32.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.116.1
66.8%
69.2%16.1
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.2
51.3%
51.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.0
36.8%
32.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
69.2%13.0
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
WWLLLLWLLL
Esgueira
LLWLWWWLWL
#10
League position
#8
-8.6
Net rating
-0.8
97.1
Offensive rating
106.3
105.8
Defensive rating
107.0
45.7%
Effective FG%
52.9%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.4%
Turnover %
14.1%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
19.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.3%
3-point %
36.8%
61.1%
Assist %
58.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 106.3Defence105.8 · 107.0Shooting45.7% · 52.9%3-point %32.3% · 36.8%Ball care18.4% · 14.1%Off. rebounds28.5% · 19.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
CD Povoa wins
3
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
27/04/24CD Povoa v Esgueira82-88
28/12/23Esgueira v CD Povoa72-80
11/11/23CD Povoa v Esgueira79-71
16/04/23CD Povoa v Esgueira75-60
18/03/23Esgueira v CD Povoa83-78 OT
22/12/22CD Povoa v Esgueira63-52
05/10/22Esgueira v CD Povoa67-66
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HGalomar81-72
09/11/24AGalitos Barreiro77-75
02/11/24HOvarense69-75
26/10/24AFC Porto64-76
19/10/24ACA Queluz71-76
17/05/24AOliveirense69-78
14/05/24HOliveirense85-84
11/05/24AOliveirense65-78
27/04/24HEsgueira82-88
20/04/24ABenfica77-101
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24AOliveirense77-93
09/11/24HBenfica85-93
02/11/24AVitoria82-79
26/10/24HGalitos Barreiro74-81
20/10/24HSporting CP82-81
27/04/24ACD Povoa88-82
20/04/24HLusitania89-61
13/04/24ASporting CP73-88
06/04/24HOvarense85-82
30/03/24HOvarense81-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game72.475.070.7
Allowed / game74.873.575.7
Point differential-2.4+1.5-5.0
Avg total147.2148.5146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game80.080.379.5
Allowed / game85.485.086.0
Point differential-5.4-4.7-6.5
Avg total165.4165.3165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica660100%93.277.2+16.0
2 FC Porto65183%86.580.5+6.0
3 Ovarense65183%77.573.3+4.2
4 Oliveirense64267%90.277.5+12.7
5 Sporting CP64267%87.776.3+11.3
6 Galitos Barreiro63350%78.777.5+1.2
7 CD Povoa52340%72.474.8-2.4
8 Esgueira52340%80.085.4-5.4
9 Vitoria62433%78.280.3-2.2
10 Galomar61517%75.284.5-9.3
11 CA Queluz61517%81.392.7-11.3
12 Imortal6060%67.389.3-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
CD Povoa22231612982
Esgueira25828121184
← all games of the day
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