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Cearense vs Cerrado Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 87-76
25-12 15-19 24-20 23-25
Position#8
Record8-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Position#17
Record5-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game73.6
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cearense v Cerrado
27 Dec 2023
CEAR87
CERR76
17 Oct 2022
CEAR80
CERR86
13 Apr 2022
CEAR75
CERR77
07 Feb 2021
CEAR86
CERR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
W
77-65
77
65
+12
70avg 71
H12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 71
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
71avg 71
H24/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
76-75
76
75
+1
73avg 71
A29/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
74-78
74
78
-4
64avg 71
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
62-63
62
63
-1
56avg 71
H08/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 71
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
70avg 71
A22/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
67avg 71
A23/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
14-10
25-17
21-17
19-16
25-25
18-22
25-21
20-13
17-17
24-17
17-18
17-15
19-16
20-17
20-27
9-25
17-19
26-17
30-21
24-21
18-21
16-20
16-16
17-23
15-9
15-17
15-14
24-26
15-21
26-20
21-23
23-13
20-27
13-14
18-23
21-21
22-24
16-16
16-20
154.8Avg total
77.7Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.575.9153.5+1.653%
Season at home (6)76.372.0148.3+4.367%
Season away (9)78.378.6156.9-0.244%
Last 10 (10)77.777.1154.8+0.640%
Last 5 (5)74.277.8152.0-3.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.686.4162.0-10.921%
vs Similar (11)77.978.2156.1-0.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)74.875.6150.4-0.840%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
54avg 65
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 65
A18/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
84-53
84
53
+31
88avg 65
H24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
70-62
70
62
+8
64avg 65
H28/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
65avg 65
H02/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
68-67
68
67
+1
58avg 65
A06/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
71avg 65
A09/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
83avg 65
A11/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
64-68
64
68
-4
56avg 65
H18/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 65
H21/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
16-17
14-15
23-20
17-14
28-24
12-16
16-20
21-13
20-15
24-16
19-9
21-15
17-20
13-13
19-14
14-12
14-19
28-21
18-26
20-23
26-13
10-17
12-14
22-22
17-22
20-16
18-20
20-27
25-20
19-24
17-19
14-15
23-20
12-14
15-19
19-16
25-18
21-17
17-23
146.4Avg total
74.4Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.273.6146.8-0.431%
Season at home (9)73.969.0142.9+4.944%
Season away (7)72.379.6151.9-7.314%
Last 10 (10)74.472.0146.4+2.440%
Last 5 (5)74.475.8150.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.189.3162.4-16.35%
vs Similar (7)75.376.6151.9-1.343%
vs Weaker (4)82.069.2151.2+12.850%
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
CearenseCerrado
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H24/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A29/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H08/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A23/12
NBB
75.6Avg total
37.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.478.2-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.240.178.2-1.938%-
Last 30 away (17)39.438.878.2+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.375.6-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.281.0-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.940.177.0-3.343%-
vs Similar (11)41.438.079.4+3.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.840.279.0-1.420%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A18/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H28/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H02/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A06/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A09/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A11/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H18/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H21/12
NBB
76.4Avg total
39.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.279.5-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.838.778.5+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)36.843.780.5-6.927%-
Last 10 (10)39.736.776.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.281.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.644.682.2-7.132%-
vs Similar (7)36.737.474.1-0.743%-
vs Weaker (4)44.531.576.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.1
55.8%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
33.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.912.7
67.2%
72.6%12.7
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.718.0
45.3%
51.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.5
36.8%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.912.1
67.6%
72.6%12.1
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLLLLLWWWW
Cerrado
WLLLWLWWLL
#8
League position
#17
+4.4
Net rating
+3.4
108.4
Offensive rating
103.9
104.1
Defensive rating
100.5
54.3%
Effective FG%
49.0%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.5%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.6%
3-point %
36.8%
57.7%
Assist %
63.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 103.9Defence104.1 · 100.5Shooting54.3% · 49.0%3-point %34.6% · 36.8%Ball care17.1% · 17.5%Off. rebounds26.0% · 32.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Cearense   ■ Cerrado
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cearense wins
3
Cerrado wins
DateGameScore
11/01/23Cerrado v Cearense88-68
17/10/22Cearense v Cerrado80-86
13/04/22Cearense v Cerrado75-77
09/01/22Cerrado v Cearense122-126 OT
07/02/21Cearense v Cerrado86-77 OT
04/12/20Cerrado v Cearense73-75
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23AVasco75-81
22/12/23AFlamengo74-77
18/12/23ABotafogo86-90
08/12/23HCaxias do Sul62-63
06/12/23HUniao Corinthians74-78
01/12/23AMinas88-93 OT
29/11/23APato76-75
24/11/23HCorinthians Paulista78-65
21/11/23HPinheiros87-84
12/11/23HUnifacisa77-65
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23HSao Paulo82-74
18/12/23HPaulistano64-68
11/12/23ABauru81-90
09/12/23AFranca77-80
06/12/23AMinas68-67
02/12/23HSao Jose74-78
28/11/23HMogi70-62
24/11/23HBrasilia84-53
18/11/23ABotafogo73-74
15/11/23AVasco71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL53%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %53%67%44%
Points / game77.576.378.3
Allowed / game75.972.078.6
Point differential+1.6+4.3-0.2
Avg total153.5148.3156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %7%0%11%
Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW31%
HomeWWLLW44%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %31%44%14%
Points / game73.273.972.3
Allowed / game73.669.079.6
Point differential-0.4+4.9-7.3
Avg total146.8142.9151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1412286%83.972.5+11.4
2 Minas1714382%84.873.8+10.9
3 Franca1512380%85.473.9+11.5
4 Vasco1712571%73.469.0+4.4
5 Paulistano1712571%74.270.2+4.0
6 Sao Jose159660%79.973.5+6.4
7 Unifacisa159660%78.977.1+1.8
8 Bauru1710759%79.076.6+2.4
9 Cearense158753%77.575.9+1.6
10 Corinthians Paulista158753%81.380.8+0.5
11 Pinheiros167944%75.577.9-2.4
12 Sao Paulo167944%76.679.3-2.7
13 Caxias do Sul1661038%71.278.9-7.7
14 Uniao Corinthians1551033%72.680.1-7.5
15 Cerrado1651131%73.273.6-0.4
16 Pato1651131%74.879.1-4.4
17 Botafogo1751229%77.884.7-6.9
18 Brasilia1631319%71.184.9-13.9
19 Mogi1721512%73.881.0-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense2515242387
Cerrado1219202576
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