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Cearense vs Flamengo Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Projected 71-89
Projected total 160.3
Scheduled
Position#17
Record1-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game83.7
Vs
94%
■ CEAR 6%■ FLAM 94%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
2.9/10
🧊 Cold
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game73.4
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cearense v Flamengo
22 Nov 2026
CEAR v FLAM
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
CEAR81
FLAM88
29 Oct 2024
CEAR56
FLAM78
09 May 2024
CEAR68
FLAM83
07 May 2024
CEAR66
FLAM86
02 Apr 2024
CEAR73
FLAM93
31 Jan 2023
CEAR64
FLAM99
29 Mar 2022
CEAR91
FLAM94
12 Nov 2020
CEAR69
FLAM82
08 Nov 2019
CEAR71
FLAM88
13 Oct 2018
CEAR54
FLAM73
14 Jan 2018
CEAR75
FLAM92
22 Mar 2017
CEAR81
FLAM94
01 Dec 2015
CEAR67
FLAM85
19 Mar 2015
CEAR63
FLAM89
03 Apr 2014
CEAR81
FLAM88
23 Feb 2013
CEAR82
FLAM101
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Cearense host Flamengo in the NBB. Pythia makes Flamengo the favourite at 94% and projects 71-89, about 160 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%. Cearense are 1-6 this season (65.6 scored, 83.7 allowed a game), form LLWLL; Flamengo are 5-2 this season (80.9 scored, 73.4 allowed a game), form WWWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense win
6.3%fair 15.99
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo win
93.7%fair 1.07
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
83-107
83
107
-24
76avg 63
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
56-87
56
87
-31
45avg 63
A14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
77-86
77
86
-9
64avg 63
A16/04
NBB
Osasco
#16
L
69-93
69
93
-24
55avg 63
H20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
63-98
63
98
-35
40avg 63
H22/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
53-96
53
96
-43
no box
A02/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A04/11
NBB
Paulistano
#13
W
65-58
65
58
+7
no box
H07/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
68-75
68
75
-7
no box
H09/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
no box
A14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
18-36
22-25
23-23
9-25
21-24
15-24
11-14
23-20
19-23
23-18
12-25
17-32
23-22
13-18
16-21
15-24
17-22
18-26
13-26
11-27
12-31
15-24
15-14
21-11
21-22
19-26
17-30
18-15
10-14
25-16
12-13
16-19
17-15
17-23
18-18
18-17
11-23
16-14
18-23
154.1Avg total
67.5Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)65.683.7149.3-18.114%
Season at home (4)66.281.0147.2-14.825%
Season away (3)64.787.3152.0-22.70%
Last 10 (10)67.586.6154.1-19.110%
Last 5 (5)65.479.0144.4-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)70.789.2159.9-18.48%
vs Similar (4)78.077.2155.2+0.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 77
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
96-88
96
88
+8
84avg 77
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-72
69
72
-3
60avg 77
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
81-82
81
82
-1
78avg 77
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 77
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
H30/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
83-65
83
65
+18
35avg 77
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A04/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H10/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
26-24
23-31
17-23
23-23
26-19
25-27
22-19
12-21
22-22
19-14
16-15
19-20
17-23
22-18
23-21
22-14
27-22
20-21
12-14
17-15
18-12
28-9
14-23
19-19
20-13
18-21
26-12
33-25
26-21
14-27
18-14
24-18
16-19
24-13
16-16
17-19
21-28
12-17
23-20
159.3Avg total
82.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.973.4154.3+7.471%
Season at home (5)79.072.2151.2+6.860%
Season away (2)85.576.5162.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.177.2159.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)80.872.2153.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.287.2162.5-12.050%
vs Similar (9)82.783.3166.0-0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.877.1165.8+11.776%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
69.9%
Under 152
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
58.1%
Under 157
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162
Over 162
45.5%
Under 162
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Cearense total 76
Over 76
30.6%
Under 76
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cearense total 80
Over 80
18.1%
Under 80
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cearense total 84
Over 84
9.7%
Under 84
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flamengo total 73
Over 73
95.2%
Under 73
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flamengo total 77
Over 77
89.6%
Under 77
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flamengo total 81
Over 81
80.2%
Under 81
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Cearense -3
CEAR -3
4.0%
FLAM +3
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
CEAR
No market prices yet.
FLAM
No market prices yet.
Spread Cearense 0
CEAR 0
6.3%
FLAM 0
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
CEAR
No market prices yet.
FLAM
No market prices yet.
Spread Cearense +3
CEAR +3
8.8%
FLAM -3
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
CEAR
No market prices yet.
FLAM
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
CearenseFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A16/04
NBB
Osasco
#16
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H22/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
23-58
23
58
-35
A02/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A04/11
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H07/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H09/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/11
NBB
78.2Avg total
33.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.443.879.2-8.323%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.641.977.5-6.327%-
Last 30 away (15)35.345.780.9-10.420%-
Last 10 (10)33.744.578.2-10.810%-
Last 5 (5)31.038.869.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)34.944.679.5-9.719%-
vs Similar (4)38.838.277.0+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H30/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A04/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/11
NBB
82.6Avg total
42.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.784.4+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.539.484.9+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.183.9-0.364%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.782.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.880.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.045.883.8-7.850%-
vs Similar (9)42.142.684.7-0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.038.584.5+7.582%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.718.7
44.8%
49.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.0
29.2%
31.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.316.1
66.3%
71.3%16.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.0
56.4%
49.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.6
32.6%
31.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.5
68.5%
71.3%11.5
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLWLLLLLLL
Flamengo
LWWWWWLLWL
#17
League position
#4
-21.2
Net rating
+8.7
82.4
Offensive rating
95.1
103.6
Defensive rating
86.5
44.4%
Effective FG%
52.7%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.2%
3-point %
32.6%
54.1%
Assist %
63.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence82.4 · 95.1Defence103.6 · 86.5Shooting44.4% · 52.7%3-point %29.2% · 32.6%Ball care16.2% · 14.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Cearense   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cearense wins
10
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Cearense v Flamengo81-88
23/10/25Flamengo v Cearense102-73
13/02/25Flamengo v Cearense84-79
29/10/24Cearense v Flamengo56-78
09/05/24Cearense v Flamengo68-83
07/05/24Cearense v Flamengo66-86
03/05/24Flamengo v Cearense79-71
02/04/24Cearense v Flamengo73-93
22/12/23Flamengo v Cearense77-74
31/01/23Cearense v Flamengo64-99
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMinas63-77
09/11/26HCorinthians Paulista68-75
07/11/26HPaulistano65-58
04/11/26AMogi78-89
02/11/26ASao Jose53-96
22/10/26HPinheiros63-98
20/10/26HOsasco69-93
16/04/26ACruzeiro77-86
14/04/26AMinas56-87
06/04/26HCaxias do Sul83-107
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HFranca73-84
07/11/26APato80-66
04/11/26ABrasilia91-87
01/11/26HUniao Corinthians83-65
30/10/26HCaxias do Sul77-59
20/10/26HBotafogo81-71
18/10/26HBauru81-82
15/05/26ABrasilia69-72
13/05/26ABrasilia96-88
10/05/26HBrasilia90-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game65.666.264.7
Allowed / game83.781.087.3
Point differential-18.1-14.8-22.7
Avg total149.3147.2152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%60%100%
Points / game80.979.085.5
Allowed / game73.472.276.5
Point differential+7.4+6.8+9.0
Avg total154.3151.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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