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Bauru vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 80-71
21-12 21-24 20-18 18-17
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game79.6
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#17
Record2-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game74.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bauru v Cearense
18 Dec 2026
BAUR v CEAR
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
BAUR107
CEAR70
27 Nov 2024
BAUR80
CEAR71
18 Jan 2024
BAUR93
CEAR88
15 Dec 2022
BAUR82
CEAR50
10 Nov 2021
BAUR74
CEAR59
03 Apr 2021
BAUR98
CEAR97
16 Jan 2021
BAUR69
CEAR61
31 Oct 2019
BAUR90
CEAR80
14 Jan 2019
BAUR82
CEAR71
10 Jan 2018
BAUR87
CEAR82
09 Mar 2017
BAUR78
CEAR72
17 Dec 2015
BAUR82
CEAR66
07 Nov 2014
BAUR99
CEAR81
11 Apr 2014
BAUR97
CEAR78
09 Apr 2014
BAUR79
CEAR56
15 Mar 2014
BAUR83
CEAR77
16 Feb 2013
BAUR95
CEAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
72-110
72
110
-38
92avg 74
H23/05
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 74
H15/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
66avg 74
H17/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
68-78
68
78
-10
55avg 74
A26/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 74
A28/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 74
H01/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
73-67
73
67
+6
67avg 74
H02/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
68-66
68
66
+2
65avg 74
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
87-103
87
103
-16
82avg 74
A12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
87-80
87
80
+7
82avg 74
A14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-37
14-37
19-13
18-23
28-19
22-20
20-24
23-28
12-9
14-23
13-22
32-17
22-19
21-17
16-23
9-19
17-19
23-16
22-24
21-20
17-13
26-17
11-22
22-18
19-19
14-18
22-15
18-15
22-14
10-22
18-16
18-14
25-29
17-29
18-22
27-23
26-22
18-16
15-20
28-22
161.4Avg total
78.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.679.6159.1+0.067%
Season at home (5)78.275.2153.4+3.080%
Season away (4)81.285.0166.2-3.850%
Last 10 (10)78.882.6161.4-3.860%
Last 5 (5)78.277.2155.4+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.884.5157.2-11.838%
vs Similar (14)81.679.0160.6+2.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.878.0164.8+8.888%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 68
H15/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-79
70
79
-9
65avg 68
H18/10
NBB
Pato
#14
L
60-89
60
89
-29
44avg 68
A22/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
52-77
52
77
-25
40avg 68
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
56-78
56
78
-22
38avg 68
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
68-70
68
70
-2
67avg 68
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 68
A05/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
64-86
64
86
-22
44avg 68
A07/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
66-49
66
49
+17
61avg 68
H11/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
71avg 68
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
18-17
25-13
18-20
19-16
11-24
18-22
22-17
11-23
15-25
19-21
15-20
10-17
17-20
11-22
14-18
23-21
11-25
9-14
13-18
18-14
16-13
22-26
12-17
25-20
14-19
14-17
19-17
10-25
10-24
16-21
28-16
19-15
15-16
14-9
18-9
13-17
16-20
24-15
20-21
141.2Avg total
66.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)66.374.9141.2-8.620%
Season at home (7)66.771.6138.3-4.929%
Season away (3)65.382.7148.0-17.30%
Last 10 (10)66.374.9141.2-8.620%
Last 5 (5)69.871.6141.4-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)68.376.6144.9-8.320%
vs Similar (12)72.875.5148.2-2.850%
vs Weaker (7)82.075.4157.4+6.671%
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
BauruCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
35-74
35
74
-39
H23/05
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H15/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H17/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A26/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A28/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H02/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A14/11
NBB
80.3Avg total
38.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.480.1+1.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.338.879.1+1.565%-
Last 30 away (13)41.140.281.3+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.580.3-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.878.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.444.281.6-6.938%-
vs Similar (14)41.037.378.3+3.779%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.238.481.6+4.962%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H18/10
NBB
Pato
#14
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A22/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
20-49
20
49
-29
A07/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H11/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H14/11
NBB
69.5Avg total
30.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.238.773.9-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.837.371.1-3.541%-
Last 30 away (13)36.940.677.5-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)30.638.969.5-8.320%-
Last 5 (5)31.236.667.8-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.241.774.9-8.530%-
vs Similar (12)32.837.370.1-4.625%-
vs Weaker (7)42.135.978.0+6.386%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.1
52.9%
50.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.7
30.5%
33.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.7
73.3%
72.7%13.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 65.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.3
48.2%
50.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.1
26.2%
33.0%18.3
🏀 Free throws15.610.8
69.2%
72.7%10.8
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
WLWWWWLLWL
Cearense
LWLLLLLLLW
#4
League position
#17
-4.8
Net rating
-10.7
103.1
Offensive rating
90.4
107.9
Defensive rating
101.1
49.8%
Effective FG%
44.8%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
18.2%
Turnover %
21.1%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.5%
3-point %
26.2%
62.9%
Assist %
49.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 90.4Defence107.9 · 101.1Shooting49.8% · 44.8%3-point %30.5% · 26.2%Ball care18.2% · 21.1%Off. rebounds28.9% · 29.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Bauru   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bauru wins
4
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
18/01/24Bauru v Cearense93-88 OT
31/10/23Cearense v Bauru80-77
22/03/23Cearense v Bauru79-77
15/12/22Bauru v Cearense82-50
13/02/22Cearense v Bauru74-72
10/11/21Bauru v Cearense74-59
03/04/21Bauru v Cearense98-97 OT
16/01/21Bauru v Cearense69-61
07/01/21Cearense v Bauru71-60
14/02/20Cearense v Bauru78-83
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24APinheiros87-80
12/11/24ACorinthians Paulista87-103
08/11/24HMogi68-66
02/11/24HSao Jose73-67
01/11/24HFranca76-70
28/10/24APaulistano83-79
26/10/24ASao Paulo68-78
17/10/24HMinas81-82 OT
15/10/24HBrasilia93-91
23/05/24HFlamengo72-110
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24HSao Paulo79-80 OT
11/11/24HPaulistano66-49
07/11/24AMinas64-86
05/11/24ABrasilia72-73
01/11/24HVasco68-70
29/10/24HFlamengo56-78
27/10/24HBotafogo52-77
22/10/24APato60-89
18/10/24HUniao Corinthians70-79
15/10/24HCaxias do Sul76-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game79.678.281.2
Allowed / game79.675.285.0
Point differential+0.0+3.0-3.8
Avg total159.1153.4166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %20%29%0%
Points / game66.366.765.3
Allowed / game74.971.682.7
Point differential-8.6-4.9-17.3
Avg total141.2138.3148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1110191%82.568.2+14.4
2 Flamengo1210283%81.566.4+15.1
3 Brasilia118373%81.578.8+2.6
4 Bauru96367%79.679.6+0.0
5 Sao Paulo117464%78.977.6+1.3
6 Uniao Corinthians95456%78.379.1-0.8
7 Vasco116555%72.369.9+2.4
8 Franca116555%78.979.3-0.4
9 Pinheiros105550%72.174.0-1.9
10 Corinthians Paulista104640%81.881.9-0.1
11 Pato104640%77.378.3-1.0
12 Paulistano114736%75.673.7+1.9
13 Botafogo114736%69.875.4-5.5
14 Caxias do Sul93633%70.176.6-6.4
15 Unifacisa103730%76.780.4-3.7
16 Sao Jose103730%71.576.4-4.9
17 Mogi103730%70.680.3-9.7
18 Cearense102820%66.374.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru2121201880
Cearense1224181771
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