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Cedevita Olimpija vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 117-81
29-17 33-19 29-22 26-23
Position#6
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Cedevita Olimpija 🏆
vs
Mega Basket
Position#8
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeABA LeagueRound 1· Arena Sto
Domestic2025
Meetings · Cedevita Olimpija v Mega Basket
05 Oct 2025
COL117
MEG81
16 Nov 2024
COL93
MEG82
21 Apr 2024
COL71
MEG85
30 Sep 2023
COL89
MEG87
15 Apr 2023
COL85
MEG70
13 Mar 2022
COL92
MEG81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
90-99 OT
90
99
-9
82avg 78
A06/04
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
96-81
96
81
+15
93avg 78
H13/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
107-84
107
84
+23
104avg 78
A17/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
61avg 78
H27/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
91-87
91
87
+4
86avg 78
A03/05
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
85-86
85
86
-1
76avg 78
A11/05
ABA League
Dubai
#4
W
94-89
94
89
+5
84avg 78
H16/05
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
67avg 78
A20/05
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
60avg 78
H23/09
Supercup
Manresa
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
66avg 78
H01/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
21-28
17-13
25-19
22-23
28-27
28-10
18-21
27-31
33-17
24-19
23-17
18-23
14-21
18-15
21-22
12-19
26-21
24-24
29-23
19-20
26-23
20-21
20-22
26-22
19-26
27-18
22-23
15-23
18-20
22-22
21-20
17-12
18-24
14-23
29-17
29-18
13-9
19-22
15-20
170.1Avg total
86.4Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.483.7170.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)81.881.0162.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.078.7152.7-4.733%
vs Similar (9)85.986.8172.7-0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.972.0160.9+16.993%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Zadar
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
70avg 76
H30/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
79avg 76
A05/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
100avg 76
H15/04
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
81avg 76
A21/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
72avg 76
H28/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
78avg 76
A04/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
80-96
80
96
-16
68avg 76
A11/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
82avg 76
H16/05
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
56avg 76
H18/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
52avg 76
A21/05
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
19-18
14-15
18-16
26-26
17-24
17-18
20-8
30-25
22-24
27-18
18-23
20-27
27-24
10-11
31-21
21-18
28-19
13-24
21-20
23-34
16-20
19-22
24-13
18-29
16-23
28-24
18-20
21-19
17-30
31-15
18-28
16-24
19-24
22-24
24-14
14-17
27-24
14-21
18-15
167.0Avg total
82.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.684.4167.0-1.850%
Last 5 (5)80.688.0168.6-7.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.786.7165.4-8.08%
vs Similar (8)80.183.8163.9-3.662%
vs Weaker (8)90.679.9170.5+10.875%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
Cedevita OlimpijaMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A06/04
ABA League
Cibona
#16
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H13/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A17/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H27/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A03/05
ABA League
Dubai
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A11/05
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H16/05
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A20/05
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H23/09
Supercup
Manresa
#10
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H01/10
Eurocup
85.3Avg total
42.2Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.681.6+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.338.281.5+5.160%-
Last 30 away (15)40.741.081.7-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.185.3-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.479.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.538.575.0-2.067%-
vs Similar (9)40.143.683.7-3.422%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.037.883.8+8.279%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H30/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A05/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H15/04
ABA League
Cibona
#16
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A21/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H28/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A04/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A11/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H16/05
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H18/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A21/05
Super League
89.5Avg total
42.1Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.944.087.0-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.740.884.5+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)42.147.389.4-5.113%-
Last 10 (10)42.147.489.5-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)37.448.886.2-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.445.584.8-6.123%-
vs Similar (8)43.146.889.9-3.625%-
vs Weaker (8)48.041.589.5+6.562%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.8
49.7%
54.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.4
36.7%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.319.8
78.3%
75.3%19.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.5
57.7%
54.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.3
32.5%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.915.9
76.1%
75.3%15.9
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita Olimpija
WWLWLWLWWL
Mega Basket
LLLLLWWWWW
#6
League position
#8
+2.2
Net rating
-2.1
108.9
Offensive rating
106.8
106.8
Defensive rating
108.9
51.7%
Effective FG%
54.0%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.7%
3-point %
32.5%
61.3%
Assist %
66.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 106.8Defence106.8 · 108.9Shooting51.7% · 54.0%3-point %36.7% · 32.5%Ball care16.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds30.1% · 24.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Cedevita Olimpija   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cedevita Olimpija wins
4
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
23/03/25Mega Basket v Cedevita Olimpija72-81
16/11/24Cedevita Olimpija v Mega Basket93-82
21/04/24Cedevita Olimpija v Mega Basket71-85
15/04/24Mega Basket v Cedevita Olimpija119-98
31/12/23Mega Basket v Cedevita Olimpija97-86
30/09/23Cedevita Olimpija v Mega Basket89-87
15/04/23Cedevita Olimpija v Mega Basket85-70
02/01/23Mega Basket v Cedevita Olimpija82-96
13/03/22Cedevita Olimpija v Mega Basket92-81
21/11/21Mega Basket v Cedevita Olimpija104-75
Cedevita Olimpijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/25HManresa76-69
23/09/25HKK Krka Novo mesto78-76
20/05/25ADubai76-85
16/05/25HDubai94-89
11/05/25ADubai85-86
03/05/25AKK Krka Novo mesto91-87
27/04/25HPartizan71-81
17/04/25AStudentski Centar107-84
13/04/25HCibona96-81
06/04/25ASpartak Subotica90-99 OT
Mega Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/25AFMP Beograd73-77
18/05/25HFMP Beograd81-86
16/05/25HBuducnost87-92
11/05/25ABuducnost80-96
04/05/25APartizan82-89
28/04/25HStudentski Centar83-81
21/04/25ACibona88-83
15/04/25HSpartak Subotica97-90
05/04/25ABorac Mozzart80-76
30/03/25HZadar75-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita Olimpija
ABA League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Mega Basket
ABA League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Igokea110100%92.088.0+4.0
2 Borac Mozzart110100%79.076.0+3.0
3 Vienna Basket110100%85.084.0+1.0
4 Perspektiva Ilirija1010%84.085.0-1.0
5 Studentski Centar1010%76.079.0-3.0
6 FMP Beograd1010%88.092.0-4.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita Olimpija29332926117
Mega Basket1719222381
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