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Cedevita Olimpija vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-87
31-21 31-21 20-25 7-20
Position#5
Record-
FormLLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Cedevita Olimpija 🏆
vs
Mega Basket
Position#4
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeABA LeagueRound 1· Arena Sto
Domestic2023
Meetings · Cedevita Olimpija v Mega Basket
05 Oct 2025
COL117
MEG81
16 Nov 2024
COL93
MEG82
21 Apr 2024
COL71
MEG85
30 Sep 2023
COL89
MEG87
15 Apr 2023
COL85
MEG70
13 Mar 2022
COL92
MEG81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
W
72-64
72
64
+8
no box
A19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
W
91-70
91
70
+21
no box
H21/05
Liga Nova KBM
Partizan
#1
L
70-85
70
85
-15
62avg 79
A28/05
ABA League
Partizan
#1
W
95-83
95
83
+12
96avg 79
H30/05
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#2
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A01/06
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H03/06
Liga Nova KBM
Partizan
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
66avg 79
A06/06
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#2
W
82-78
82
78
+4
no box
A08/06
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
W
99-71
99
71
+28
no box
H10/06
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
W
76-59
76
59
+17
76avg 79
H25/09
Supercup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
26-17
19-17
11-14
27-25
22-19
18-11
24-15
8-18
18-24
16-18
28-25
29-26
22-15
22-19
22-23
28-24
19-20
17-21
24-19
19-18
23-20
23-20
16-24
16-24
14-17
23-24
18-25
20-13
21-24
16-20
25-21
27-22
24-18
27-10
21-21
22-24
19-10
18-15
17-10
159.1Avg total
82.5Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.576.6159.1+5.970%
Last 5 (5)81.876.0157.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.786.8165.4-8.111%
vs Similar ◀ (8)90.182.1172.2+8.075%
vs Weaker (12)81.973.5155.4+8.483%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
76avg 77
A28/04
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 77
A03/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 77
H07/05
ABA League
KK Metalac
#8
W
88-77
88
77
+11
80avg 77
H10/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
92-78
92
78
+14
88avg 77
H17/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
77avg 77
A21/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
96-64
96
64
+32
88avg 77
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 77
A27/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
62avg 77
H04/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
62avg 77
A07/06
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
15-35
18-28
22-17
20-15
23-19
22-16
18-24
19-15
27-14
14-26
20-27
19-16
26-19
32-20
11-22
25-26
21-18
28-20
18-14
21-23
26-17
16-24
19-23
19-8
31-20
22-23
24-13
25-28
29-14
24-9
12-27
21-19
19-14
14-17
18-25
16-25
18-18
17-29
19-24
163.5Avg total
83.0Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.080.5163.5+2.550%
Last 5 (5)82.080.0162.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.688.3162.9-13.69%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.584.9171.4+1.660%
vs Weaker (8)91.474.5165.9+16.9100%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.5-3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.5-3.5
Cedevita OlimpijaMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H21/05
Liga Nova KBM
Partizan
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A28/05
ABA League
Partizan
#1
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H30/05
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A01/06
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/06
Liga Nova KBM
Partizan
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A06/06
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A08/06
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H10/06
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H25/09
Supercup
81.4Avg total
42.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.582.5+1.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.138.883.9+6.288%-
Last 30 away (14)38.542.480.9-3.950%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.481.4+2.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.079.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.843.782.4-4.944%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)46.841.187.9+5.688%-
vs Weaker (12)41.338.279.5+3.275%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A28/04
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A03/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H07/05
ABA League
KK Metalac
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H10/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H17/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A27/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/06
Super League
81.9Avg total
44.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.784.2-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.141.683.7+0.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.043.784.7-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)44.237.781.9+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)45.037.282.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.846.684.5-8.89%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.743.284.9-1.560%-
vs Weaker (8)46.137.183.2+9.088%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.018.3
59.0%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.8
31.7%
34.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.015.4
73.3%
73.8%15.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.6
54.6%
54.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.4
32.8%
34.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.215.6
73.6%
73.8%15.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita Olimpija
WWWLLWWLWW
Mega Basket
LLWWLWWLWL
#5
League position
#4
+2.5
Net rating
+3.1
107.8
Offensive rating
108.8
105.3
Defensive rating
105.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.4%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.4%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.7%
3-point %
32.8%
67.3%
Assist %
70.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 108.8Defence105.3 · 105.7Shooting53.3% · 52.4%3-point %31.7% · 32.8%Ball care18.1% · 18.4%Off. rebounds29.5% · 31.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Cedevita Olimpija   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cedevita Olimpija wins
1
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
15/04/23Cedevita Olimpija v Mega Basket85-70
02/01/23Mega Basket v Cedevita Olimpija82-96
13/03/22Cedevita Olimpija v Mega Basket92-81
21/11/21Mega Basket v Cedevita Olimpija104-75
Cedevita Olimpijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/23HHelios Domzale76-59
10/06/23HHelios Domzale99-71
08/06/23AHelios Domzale82-78
06/06/23APartizan71-90
03/06/23HHelios Domzale81-82
01/06/23AHelios Domzale88-84
30/05/23HPartizan95-83
28/05/23APartizan70-85
21/05/23HSencur91-70
19/05/23ASencur72-64
Mega Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/06/23AFMP Beograd70-96
04/06/23HFMP Beograd72-75
27/05/23AKK Metalac90-78
25/05/23HVojvodina Novi Sad96-64
21/05/23ABorac Mozzart82-87
17/05/23HBorac Mozzart92-78
10/05/23HKK Metalac88-77
07/05/23HBuducnost80-82
03/05/23AVojvodina Novi Sad83-74
28/04/23ABuducnost77-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita Olimpija
ABA League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Studentski Centar110100%76.072.0+4.0
2 Split1010%72.076.0-4.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita Olimpija313120789
Mega Basket2121252087
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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