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Mega Basket vs Cedevita Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 97-86
14-23 24-18 27-21 32-24
Position#4
Record6-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#5
Record10-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 14· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2023
Meetings · Mega Basket v Cedevita Olimpija
21 Dec 2025
MEG72
COL90
23 Mar 2025
MEG72
COL81
15 Apr 2024
MEG119
COL98
31 Dec 2023
MEG97
COL86
02 Jan 2023
MEG82
COL96
21 Nov 2021
MEG104
COL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
81avg 79
H23/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
71-73
71
73
-2
65avg 79
A28/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
97avg 79
H05/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
99-65
99
65
+34
92avg 79
A12/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
72-77
72
77
-5
60avg 79
H19/11
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
83-69
83
69
+14
71avg 79
A24/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
65avg 79
A04/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
88-98
88
98
-10
81avg 79
H11/12
ABA League
Split
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 79
A18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
98avg 79
H25/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-11
19-18
29-32
19-25
13-18
18-23
22-17
18-15
26-17
25-18
15-26
25-20
23-16
23-24
23-6
30-19
21-13
21-19
19-27
11-18
15-18
20-11
23-20
25-20
17-17
19-29
24-13
22-30
27-22
13-26
30-20
18-30
20-24
27-21
10-17
16-26
19-24
22-13
30-16
21-23
164.1Avg total
83.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.581.1165.5+3.446%
Season at home (6)86.784.7171.3+2.050%
Season away (7)82.678.0160.6+4.643%
Last 10 (10)83.980.2164.1+3.750%
Last 5 (5)83.684.0167.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.586.2164.8-7.812%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.883.9167.6-0.150%
vs Weaker (14)86.677.4164.0+9.171%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
73avg 77
A25/11
ABA League
Paris
#1
L
77-93
77
93
-16
64avg 77
H29/11
Eurocup
Zadar
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
62avg 77
H03/12
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
80-95
80
95
-15
72avg 77
H06/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#13
W
86-74
86
74
+12
80avg 77
A09/12
ABA League
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
81-83
81
83
-2
81avg 77
A13/12
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
91-79
91
79
+12
84avg 77
H16/12
ABA League
Besiktas
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
77avg 77
H19/12
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
93-91
93
91
+2
93avg 77
H22/12
ABA League
Prometey
#7
L
100-105
100
105
-5
97avg 77
A27/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
17-25
21-15
20-18
26-25
18-23
17-19
16-26
17-18
14-18
22-19
20-24
17-18
24-27
18-24
21-26
18-16
22-20
22-23
24-15
26-22
19-27
18-17
18-17
28-19
20-19
19-19
24-22
22-29
20-14
19-24
22-21
19-14
23-22
27-21
24-34
30-24
25-36
22-18
23-27
171.4Avg total
84.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.383.2168.5+2.177%
Season at home (8)90.283.2173.5+7.088%
Season away (5)77.483.2160.6-5.860%
Last 10 (10)84.686.8171.4-2.240%
Last 5 (5)89.689.2178.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.791.1171.9-10.413%
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.282.3169.5+4.867%
vs Weaker (8)87.580.4167.9+7.175%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
Mega BasketCedevita Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A28/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H05/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A12/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/11
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A24/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H11/12
ABA League
Split
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H25/12
ABA League
79.1Avg total
40.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.782.7+1.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.039.383.3+4.781%-
Last 30 away (14)39.842.382.1-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.279.1+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.080.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.843.080.8-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.242.885.0-0.562%-
vs Weaker (14)44.438.282.6+6.193%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A25/11
ABA League
Paris
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H29/11
Eurocup
Zadar
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H03/12
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H06/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#13
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A09/12
ABA League
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A13/12
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H16/12
ABA League
Besiktas
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H19/12
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/12
ABA League
Prometey
#7
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A27/12
Eurocup
86.8Avg total
42.9Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.786.1+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.940.785.6+4.259%-
Last 30 away (13)41.545.286.7-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.986.8-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)46.445.291.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.746.488.1-4.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.240.385.5+4.867%-
vs Weaker (8)45.538.584.0+7.075%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.6
54.2%
54.3%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.4
32.5%
34.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.115.5
73.5%
73.8%15.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.2
54.6%
54.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.0
34.2%
34.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.417.6
75.2%
73.8%17.6
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WLLLWLWWLW
Cedevita Olimpija
LWLWLWLLLW
#4
League position
#5
+4.6
Net rating
-2.3
109.1
Offensive rating
107.9
104.5
Defensive rating
110.2
52.2%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.5%
3-point %
34.2%
60.7%
Assist %
61.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 107.9Defence104.5 · 110.2Shooting52.2% · 53.4%3-point %32.5% · 34.2%Ball care16.4% · 16.4%Off. rebounds29.6% · 22.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Cedevita Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mega Basket wins
4
Cedevita Olimpija wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/23HIgokea92-76
18/12/23ASplit73-88
11/12/23HCrvena zvezda88-98
04/12/23AStudentski Centar82-89
24/11/23ACibona83-69
19/11/23HKK Krka Novo mesto72-77
12/11/23AMornar Bar99-65
05/11/23HZadar91-81
28/10/23ABuducnost71-73
23/10/23HPartizan88-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23APrometey100-105
22/12/23HCibona93-91
19/12/23HBesiktas83-88
16/12/23HKK Krka Novo mesto91-79
13/12/23AJoventut Badalona81-83
09/12/23AMornar Bar86-74
06/12/23HHapoel Tel-Aviv80-95
03/12/23HZadar73-79
29/11/23HParis77-93
25/11/23ABuducnost82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW46%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game84.586.782.6
Allowed / game81.184.778.0
Point differential+3.4+2.0+4.6
Avg total165.5171.3160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cedevita Olimpija
ABA League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %77%88%60%
Points / game85.390.277.4
Allowed / game83.283.283.2
Point differential+2.1+7.0-5.8
Avg total168.5173.5160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1413193%88.672.1+16.6
2 Cedevita Olimpija1310377%85.383.2+2.1
3 Partizan1410471%93.575.1+18.4
4 Buducnost149564%82.276.6+5.6
5 Igokea149564%81.580.5+1.0
6 Zadar147750%81.578.5+3.0
7 Studentski Centar147750%86.686.4+0.2
8 Borac Mozzart147750%79.483.0-3.6
9 Mega Basket136746%84.581.1+3.4
10 Split145936%74.980.5-5.6
11 Cibona145936%79.685.6-6.0
12 FMP Beograd145936%79.987.5-7.6
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1431121%75.685.5-9.9
14 Mornar Bar141137%72.189.3-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket1424273297
Cedevita Olimpija2318212486
← all games of the day
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