PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cerrado vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 83-84 (OT)
18-16 15-19 13-16 28-23 9-10
Position#17
Record8-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#8
Record19-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio da ASCEB
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cerrado v Cearense
13 Apr 2024
CERR83
CEAR84
11 Jan 2023
CERR88
CEAR68
09 Jan 2022
CERR122
CEAR126
04 Dec 2020
CERR73
CEAR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
95-73
95
73
+22
96avg 66
A01/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 66
H08/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 66
H10/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-71
69
71
-2
52avg 66
A20/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
65-70
65
70
-5
58avg 66
A22/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
69-86
69
86
-17
59avg 66
H26/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
71-82
71
82
-11
63avg 66
A02/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
70-79
70
79
-9
61avg 66
A04/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
70-95
70
95
-25
50avg 66
H08/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
67avg 66
H10/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
28-19
25-21
20-18
23-19
11-20
20-23
25-20
28-24
23-12
12-24
18-24
21-18
20-18
11-20
17-15
16-16
19-20
21-16
9-18
10-30
15-18
22-17
22-21
14-20
24-21
16-20
17-21
18-24
18-20
14-15
20-20
19-19
13-23
21-28
17-25
19-23
24-12
14-22
27-33
156.5Avg total
75.3Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)74.777.9152.6-3.123%
Season at home (17)75.177.1152.2-1.924%
Season away (18)74.378.6152.9-4.322%
Last 10 (10)75.381.2156.5-5.910%
Last 5 (5)72.886.4159.2-13.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.382.9156.2-9.66%
vs Similar (8)70.875.0145.8-4.225%
vs Weaker (6)86.771.5158.2+15.267%
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
W
84-75
84
75
+9
83avg 72
H14/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 72
H02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
82-102
82
102
-20
83avg 72
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
61-72
61
72
-11
56avg 72
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
79-69
79
69
+10
73avg 72
H20/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
93avg 72
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 72
A27/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
69avg 72
H02/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
70-69 OT
70
69
+1
56avg 72
H06/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
68-69
68
69
-1
60avg 72
A11/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
20-16
30-23
18-21
15-18
28-13
20-22
27-16
17-25
17-24
26-29
22-24
13-22
13-18
10-14
25-18
24-21
20-12
16-17
19-19
25-12
28-24
18-18
20-15
21-25
27-17
28-16
17-27
11-29
15-22
21-21
26-21
12-14
16-17
24-17
8-12
27-14
23-16
11-14
7-25
156.3Avg total
79.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)78.877.1155.9+1.754%
Season at home (18)78.674.9153.4+3.767%
Season away (17)79.079.5158.5-0.541%
Last 10 (10)79.177.2156.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)79.077.0156.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.881.7158.5-4.817%
vs Similar (11)78.578.8157.4-0.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.875.8156.5+5.058%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
CerradoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A01/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H10/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A20/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
25-48
25
48
-23
H26/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A02/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A04/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H08/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/04
NBB
77.6Avg total
38.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.476.2-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.237.975.1-0.854%-
Last 30 away (17)38.438.777.1-0.435%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.177.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.842.076.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.140.677.7-3.625%-
vs Similar (8)35.537.272.8-1.850%-
vs Weaker (6)43.033.876.8+9.283%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A27/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H06/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A11/04
NBB
76.2Avg total
38.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.676.8-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.137.174.2-0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.440.479.8-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.476.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.079.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.742.579.2-5.850%-
vs Similar (11)35.937.673.5-1.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.237.078.2+4.267%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.5
47.3%
51.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.8
30.1%
33.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.611.9
71.7%
72.6%11.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.9
56.4%
51.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.0
36.9%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.111.3
74.8%
72.6%11.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cerrado
LLLLLLLLLW
Cearense
LWLWWWLLWW
#17
League position
#8
-8.1
Net rating
+2.3
101.8
Offensive rating
107.0
109.9
Defensive rating
104.6
46.5%
Effective FG%
55.9%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
17.5%
Turnover %
19.3%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.1%
3-point %
36.9%
54.9%
Assist %
59.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 107.0Defence109.9 · 104.6Shooting46.5% · 55.9%3-point %30.1% · 36.9%Ball care17.5% · 19.3%Off. rebounds34.8% · 23.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Cerrado   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cerrado wins
4
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
27/12/23Cearense v Cerrado87-76
11/01/23Cerrado v Cearense88-68
17/10/22Cearense v Cerrado80-86
13/04/22Cearense v Cerrado75-77
09/01/22Cerrado v Cearense122-126 OT
07/02/21Cearense v Cerrado86-77 OT
04/12/20Cerrado v Cearense73-75
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24HUnifacisa84-90
08/04/24HFranca70-95
04/04/24ASao Paulo70-79
02/04/24APaulistano71-82
26/03/24HBauru69-86
22/03/24AMogi65-70
20/03/24ASao Jose69-71
10/03/24HVasco81-84
08/03/24HBotafogo79-82
01/03/24ABrasilia95-73
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/24ABrasilia68-69
06/04/24HVasco70-69 OT
02/04/24HFlamengo73-93
27/03/24AUniao Corinthians93-85
25/03/24ACaxias do Sul91-69
20/03/24HMinas79-69
09/03/24APinheiros61-72
07/03/24ACorinthians Paulista82-102
02/03/24HPato90-69
14/02/24HBotafogo84-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLLLLL24%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %23%24%22%
Points / game74.775.174.3
Allowed / game77.977.178.6
Point differential-3.1-1.9-4.3
Avg total152.6152.2152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%12%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won9% (11)0% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL54%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLWWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %54%67%41%
Points / game78.878.679.0
Allowed / game77.174.979.5
Point differential+1.7+3.7-0.5
Avg total155.9153.4158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%39%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)57% (7)38% (8)
Overtime %11%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo3631586%85.073.1+12.0
2 Franca3631586%88.476.7+11.7
3 Minas3628878%86.173.8+12.2
4 Vasco35241169%76.173.1+2.9
5 Bauru35231266%82.079.2+2.8
6 Unifacisa36231364%84.479.5+4.9
7 Paulistano36221461%75.770.4+5.3
8 Cearense35191654%78.877.1+1.7
9 Corinthians Paulista36191753%81.780.0+1.7
10 Sao Jose36191753%79.378.1+1.2
11 Sao Paulo36181850%78.479.1-0.7
12 Pato36171947%78.279.4-1.1
13 Pinheiros35142140%74.478.0-3.7
14 Mogi35102529%73.779.3-5.6
15 Botafogo36102628%79.388.2-8.8
16 Uniao Corinthians36102628%74.883.9-9.2
17 Cerrado3582723%74.777.9-3.1
18 Caxias do Sul3682822%72.581.5-9.0
19 Brasilia3653114%73.588.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Cerrado18151328983
Cearense161916231084
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.