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CHAMP1ON vs ChelSU Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 79-81
22-13 19-20 22-26 16-22
Position#9
Record14-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#8
Record15-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game79.7
KazakhstanHigher LeagueHigher League - 7th place
Other2025-26
Meetings · CHAMP1ON v ChelSU Kostanay
02 May 2026
CHAM79
CHEL81
04 Mar 2026
CHAM88
CHEL93
02 Mar 2026
CHAM85
CHEL68
07 Apr 2025
CHAM44
CHEL85
01 Mar 2025
CHAM63
CHEL67
17 Dec 2024
CHAM71
CHEL74
12 Nov 2024
CHAM57
CHEL90
18 Oct 2024
CHAM64
CHEL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CHAMP1ON winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ChelSU Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CHAMP1ONKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H28/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A29/03
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A14/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H15/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
59-88
59
88
-29
A16/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H17/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
51-104
51
104
-53
A26/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
50-71
50
71
-21
H27/04
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
61-114
61
114
-53
A29/04
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
55-103
55
103
-48
H30/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
21-22
10-22
12-18
19-20
17-19
20-20
19-10
12-28
19-24
17-20
21-10
23-17
27-22
22-14
14-27
19-26
17-25
11-23
12-14
23-24
21-21
19-19
15-17
20-26
8-32
12-22
11-24
13-24
10-14
14-16
13-17
18-26
7-36
17-28
19-24
10-27
17-17
12-38
16-21
152.1Avg total
65.1Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)71.977.6149.5-5.744%
Season at home (16)70.878.8149.6-7.938%
Season away (16)73.176.4149.5-3.450%
Last 10 (10)65.187.0152.1-21.920%
Last 5 (5)59.094.6153.6-35.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)63.584.4147.9-20.912%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.674.6160.2+11.075%
vs Weaker (6)80.259.2139.3+21.0100%
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelSU KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
56-85
56
85
-29
A11/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H12/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
64-44
64
44
+20
A14/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H15/04
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A16/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H17/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
64-115
64
115
-51
A26/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
H27/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A29/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
69-69
69
69
+0
H30/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
18-21
8-22
17-22
19-20
17-18
20-21
20-27
12-8
21-11
12-9
19-16
20-24
27-26
7-19
16-16
24-14
7-20
17-14
26-22
17-19
9-14
19-25
16-20
18-29
15-27
15-35
16-24
22-28
9-20
22-17
22-23
19-19
21-26
17-20
23-18
16-23
15-15
12-19
26-12
149.2Avg total
68.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)74.779.7154.4-5.047%
Season at home (17)78.881.1159.8-2.347%
Season away (15)70.178.2148.3-8.147%
Last 10 (10)68.980.3149.2-11.420%
Last 5 (5)69.886.6156.4-16.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.488.9163.3-14.512%
vs Similar ◀ (5)77.678.6156.2-1.080%
vs Weaker (8)76.561.6138.1+14.9100%
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
CHAMP1ONChelSU Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CHAMP1ONLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H28/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A29/03
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A14/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H15/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A16/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
28-58
28
58
-30
A26/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H27/04
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
25-62
25
62
-37
A29/04
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H30/04
Higher League
81.1Avg total
34.5Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.040.177.1-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.038.774.7-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)37.941.579.5-3.640%-
Last 10 (10)34.546.681.1-12.120%-
Last 5 (5)29.449.478.8-20.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)30.944.275.1-13.312%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.039.984.9+5.162%-
vs Weaker (6)42.529.572.0+13.083%-
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A11/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H12/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A14/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H15/04
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A16/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H17/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A26/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H27/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A29/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H30/04
Higher League
74.1Avg total
33.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.140.677.7-3.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.142.181.2-3.050%-
Last 30 away (14)34.838.873.6-4.036%-
Last 10 (10)33.940.274.1-6.310%-
Last 5 (5)32.244.076.2-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.646.882.5-11.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.237.475.6+0.860%-
vs Weaker (8)39.529.268.8+10.288%-
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CHAMP1ONtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CHAMP1ON: 65.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.8
50.9%
49.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.5
26.6%
28.5%16.5
🏀 Free throws10.47.0
67.3%
63.9%7.0
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
ChelSU Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ChelSU Kostanay: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.4 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.918.9
46.2%
49.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.87.9
26.5%
28.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws11.17.4
66.7%
63.9%7.4
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CHAMP1ON
LLLLLLWLWL
ChelSU Kostanay
LLLLLWLWLL
#9
League position
#8
-30.0
Net rating
-14.7
89.1
Offensive rating
88.6
119.1
Defensive rating
103.2
47.2%
Effective FG%
43.5%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.16
26.6%
3-point %
26.5%
66.2%
Assist %
63.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.1 · 88.6Defence119.1 · 103.2Shooting47.2% · 43.5%3-point %26.6% · 26.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.17 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ CHAMP1ON   ■ ChelSU Kostanay
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
CHAMP1ON wins
6
ChelSU Kostanay wins
CHAMP1ONlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26HBC Almaty 255-103
29/04/26ABC Almaty 261-114
27/04/26HTuran50-71
26/04/26ATuran51-104
17/04/26HTigers-KazATU78-81
16/04/26ABars Petropavlovsk59-88
15/04/26HTigers-KazATU86-80
14/04/26ABars Petropavlovsk69-82
29/03/26APavlodar75-69
28/03/26HKaraganda67-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26HAktobe69-69
29/04/26AAktobe80-83
27/04/26HShymkent75-88
26/04/26AShymkent64-115
17/04/26HKaraganda61-78
16/04/26APavlodar74-70
15/04/26HKaraganda70-85
14/04/26APavlodar64-44
12/03/26HAktobe76-86
11/03/26AAktobe56-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CHAMP1ON
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL44%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %44%38%50%
Points / game71.970.873.1
Allowed / game77.678.876.4
Point differential-5.7-7.9-3.4
Avg total149.5149.6149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%19%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %3%6%0%
ChelSU Kostanay
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL47%
HomeLLLLL47%
AwayLWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %47%47%47%
Points / game74.778.870.1
Allowed / game79.781.178.2
Point differential-5.0-2.3-8.1
Avg total154.4159.8148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%24%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)60% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan32320100%86.959.5+27.4
2 Shymkent3229391%94.969.6+25.3
3 Bars Petropavlovsk3225778%85.063.2+21.8
4 Aktobe3224875%81.368.1+13.2
5 BC Almaty 232201262%83.773.8+9.8
6 Atyrau 232191359%76.471.3+5.1
7 ChelSU Kostanay32151747%74.779.7-5.0
8 Karaganda28131546%80.278.5+1.7
9 CHAMP1ON32141844%71.977.6-5.7
10 Tigers-KazATU28111739%68.576.4-7.9
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 Tobol Kostanay 22872125%69.781.6-11.9
13 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
14 Pavlodar282267%56.587.2-30.8
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2281274%55.783.1-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CHAMP1ON2219221679
ChelSU Kostanay1320262281
← all games of the day
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