PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

CHAMP1ON vs Karaganda Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 67-78
24-16 21-22 10-22 12-18
Position#9
Record12-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#7
Record9-13
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game79.5
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · CHAMP1ON v Karaganda
28 Mar 2026
CHAM67
KARA78
26 Mar 2026
CHAM83
KARA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CHAMP1ON winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karaganda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · CHAMP1ON
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 70.7
88.0▲ 17.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 70.9
77.2▲ 6.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
54%▼ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.6
18.0▼ 0.6
🔥 Form · Karaganda
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 67.8
87.8▲ 20.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 70.3
74.8▲ 4.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 52%
52%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.0
17.0▲ 0.0
CHAMP1ONKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H06/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A07/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
69-47
69
47
+22
H08/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H02/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
85-51
85
51
+34
A03/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H04/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A05/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H26/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A27/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-9
19-16
20-20
14-13
28-18
28-24
17-16
21-17
19-16
19-12
14-10
17-9
13-18
17-19
25-14
22-12
24-15
16-23
22-16
23-14
22-20
30-14
21-17
12-0
27-24
16-22
26-16
19-31
21-21
24-17
26-28
21-20
19-16
19-25
18-18
27-19
24-15
26-18
26-23
16-22
153.7Avg total
84.0Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.073.3148.4+1.755%
Season at home (11)72.577.0149.5-4.545%
Season away (11)77.669.6147.3+8.064%
Last 10 (10)84.069.7153.7+14.390%
Last 5 (5)88.077.2165.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)60.580.3140.8-19.812%
vs Similar (8)75.663.1138.8+12.575%
vs Weaker (5)81.257.2138.4+24.0100%
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KaragandaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
58-95
58
95
-37
A16/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
H17/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H10/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A11/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
101-63
101
63
+38
H12/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
97-86
97
86
+11
A13/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
84-36
84
36
+48
H14/02
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A26/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
79-106
79
106
-27
H27/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
27-17
24-11
19-34
10-19
11-32
21-22
16-22
13-18
22-14
15-15
26-29
24-14
22-17
19-12
19-15
22-16
24-20
19-15
26-29
29-7
15-23
29-17
28-16
31-17
16-22
20-21
30-26
26-2
18-12
28-6
12-16
16-19
25-19
18-18
19-27
25-30
20-27
18-28
16-21
163.2Avg total
84.6Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.179.5159.6+0.641%
Season at home (11)84.278.2162.4+6.036%
Season away (11)76.080.8156.8-4.845%
Last 10 (10)84.678.6163.2+6.050%
Last 5 (5)87.874.8162.6+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)52.774.9127.6-22.20%
vs Similar (3)55.765.7121.3-10.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.868.0156.8+20.882%
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.4-2.4
CHAMP1ONKaraganda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CHAMP1ONLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A07/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H08/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H02/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A03/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H04/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A05/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H26/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A27/03
Higher League
79.5Avg total
43.3Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.137.972.0-3.938%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.738.369.9-6.633%-
Last 30 away (14)36.637.674.2-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)43.336.279.5+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.638.484.0+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)28.440.669.1-12.212%-
vs Similar (7)40.938.779.6+2.157%-
vs Weaker (5)43.827.671.4+16.2100%-
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KaragandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
21-51
21
51
-30
A16/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H17/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A11/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H12/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A13/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
44-14
44
14
+30
H14/02
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A26/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H27/03
Higher League
78.5Avg total
41.4Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)37.939.377.2-1.446%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.537.778.2+2.854%-
Last 30 away (13)35.440.976.3-5.538%-
Last 10 (10)41.437.178.5+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)44.235.679.8+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)30.744.875.5-14.18%-
vs Similar (2)45.037.582.5+7.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.233.278.4+12.082%-
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CHAMP1ONtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CHAMP1ON: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.724.7
54.0%
49.5%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.7
28.8%
28.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.214.5
68.4%
63.9%14.5
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karagandatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karaganda: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.524.0
62.3%
49.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.55.5
19.3%
28.5%16.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.0
75.7%
63.9%14.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CHAMP1ON
WWWLWWWWWW
Karaganda
LLWWWWWLLL
#9
League position
#7
+18.8
Net rating
-19.6
110.5
Offensive rating
96.4
91.7
Defensive rating
116.0
50.4%
Effective FG%
48.1%
42.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.8%
3-point %
19.3%
59.2%
Assist %
57.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 96.4Defence91.7 · 116.0Shooting50.4% · 48.1%3-point %28.8% · 19.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ CHAMP1ON   ■ Karaganda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
CHAMP1ON wins
1
Karaganda wins
DateGameScore
26/03/26CHAMP1ON v Karaganda83-78
08/04/25Karaganda v CHAMP1ON0-20
02/03/25Karaganda v CHAMP1ON69-64
27/01/25Karaganda v CHAMP1ON68-77
13/11/24Karaganda v CHAMP1ON62-65 OT
19/10/24Karaganda v CHAMP1ON74-80
CHAMP1ONlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26APavlodar92-78
26/03/26HKaraganda83-78
05/03/26ATobol Kostanay 292-86
04/03/26HChelSU Kostanay88-93
03/03/26ATobol Kostanay 285-51
02/03/26HChelSU Kostanay85-68
09/01/26AArlans77-63
08/01/26HAiRom69-47
07/01/26AArlans94-75
06/01/26HAiRom75-58
Karagandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26HBC Almaty 279-106
26/03/26ACHAMP1ON78-83
14/02/26HPavlodar84-36
13/02/26AArlans97-86
12/02/26HAiRom101-63
11/02/26AArlans91-80
10/02/26HAiRom84-58
17/01/26HAktobe79-82 OT
16/01/26AAktobe58-95
18/12/25HAtyrau 295-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CHAMP1ON
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeWWWLW45%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%45%64%
Points / game75.072.577.6
Allowed / game73.377.069.6
Point differential+1.7-4.5+8.0
Avg total148.4149.5147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%27%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Karaganda
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL41%
HomeLWWWL36%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%36%45%
Points / game80.184.276.0
Allowed / game79.578.280.8
Point differential+0.6+6.0-4.8
Avg total159.6162.4156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%36%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan24240100%89.760.0+29.7
2 Shymkent2421388%95.268.1+27.2
3 Aktobe2420483%83.866.0+17.8
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2419579%85.960.0+25.9
5 Atyrau 22216673%77.767.9+9.9
6 BC Almaty 22214864%82.473.2+9.2
7 CHAMP1ON22121055%75.073.3+1.7
8 ChelSU Kostanay24131154%76.480.0-3.6
9 Tigers-KazATU24101442%67.575.7-8.2
10 Karaganda2291341%80.179.5+0.6
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
13 Tobol Kostanay 22442017%68.483.1-14.8
14 Pavlodar222209%54.990.0-35.0
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CHAMP1ON2421101267
Karaganda1622221878
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.