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Chemnitz vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-84
22-18 13-21 21-24 23-21
Position#3
Record20-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game77.2
Chemnitz
Germany
vs
Alba Berlin 🏆
Germany
Position#2
Record16-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game83.0
GermanyBBLRound 25· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Chemnitz v Alba Berlin
18 Apr 2027
CHE v ABE
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
CHE85
ABE89
27 Apr 2025
CHE81
ABE103
04 Jun 2024
CHE85
ABE96
02 Jun 2024
CHE84
ABE72
24 Mar 2024
CHE79
ABE84
11 Apr 2023
CHE70
ABE76
27 Mar 2022
CHE81
ABE64
09 May 2021
CHE81
ABE91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
W
99-77
99
77
+22
76avg 82
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
94-90
94
90
+4
90avg 82
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
78-57
78
57
+21
70avg 82
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 82
H10/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
72avg 82
A13/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 82
H02/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 82
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
97-82
97
82
+15
84avg 82
A09/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
102-86
102
86
+16
101avg 82
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#11
W
106-84
106
84
+22
106avg 82
A17/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
28-19
29-7
21-31
23-26
26-18
19-19
26-27
16-15
25-16
21-11
16-15
20-21
24-22
15-11
28-15
21-22
32-17
19-23
8-27
26-13
23-18
14-20
20-31
30-24
28-13
20-8
20-19
20-14
22-25
26-19
29-24
18-18
26-20
35-25
23-23
25-16
23-20
32-20
26-28
170.4Avg total
92.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.177.2165.3+10.983%
Season at home (11)87.073.5160.5+13.591%
Season away (13)89.180.4169.5+8.777%
Last 10 (10)92.478.0170.4+14.490%
Last 5 (5)97.279.6176.8+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.487.6169.0-6.240%
vs Weaker (25)92.774.9167.6+17.892%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
108-85
108
85
+23
113avg 79
H13/02
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
79-87
79
87
-8
72avg 79
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
71-106
71
106
-35
59avg 79
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
87avg 79
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
71-88
71
88
-17
66avg 79
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
63avg 79
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
79avg 79
H14/03
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
112-69
112
69
+43
112avg 79
H16/03
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
67avg 79
H19/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
84-85
84
85
-1
81avg 79
A21/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
26-23
18-23
35-18
18-19
22-23
21-17
18-28
15-27
23-30
18-30
15-19
28-21
17-15
20-12
20-19
10-23
24-19
13-21
24-25
27-19
15-17
10-25
24-14
27-13
12-32
23-24
20-21
21-24
35-10
32-16
24-19
26-16
14-20
17-22
22-28
23-23
17-30
27-12
17-20
168.5Avg total
84.7Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)92.883.0175.8+9.876%
Season at home (10)96.980.8177.7+16.190%
Season away (11)89.085.0174.0+4.064%
Last 10 (10)84.783.8168.5+0.940%
Last 5 (5)86.681.0167.6+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.385.4161.7-9.118%
vs Similar ◀ (5)92.485.0177.4+7.480%
vs Weaker (8)90.281.5171.8+8.875%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
ChemnitzAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A27/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H10/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A13/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H02/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A17/03
BBL
85.4Avg total
47.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.936.982.7+9.083%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.136.382.4+9.993%-
Last 30 away (15)45.637.583.1+8.173%-
Last 10 (10)47.737.785.4+10.0100%-
Last 5 (5)48.236.284.4+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)46.041.687.6+4.460%-
vs Weaker (25)45.835.981.8+9.988%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H13/02
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/03
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H16/03
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H19/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A21/03
Euroleague
85.4Avg total
42.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.584.4-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.942.585.5+0.453%-
Last 30 away (13)40.542.482.9-1.846%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.585.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.884.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.944.283.1-5.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)46.641.287.8+5.4100%-
vs Weaker (8)45.439.584.9+5.962%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.4
57.7%
54.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.7
36.1%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.116.3
73.8%
76.0%16.3
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.2
54.4%
54.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.4
36.4%
35.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.215.7
77.7%
76.0%15.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWWWWLWWWW
Alba Berlin
LLWLWLWLLW
#3
League position
#2
+18.4
Net rating
+2.5
119.8
Offensive rating
110.0
101.4
Defensive rating
107.5
56.1%
Effective FG%
54.5%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
17.7%
Turnover %
20.8%
37.4%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.1%
3-point %
36.4%
66.7%
Assist %
67.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 110.0Defence101.4 · 107.5Shooting56.1% · 54.5%3-point %36.1% · 36.4%Ball care17.7% · 20.8%Off. rebounds37.4% · 31.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chemnitz wins
7
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
31/12/23Alba Berlin v Chemnitz101-90
11/04/23Chemnitz v Alba Berlin70-76
11/03/23Alba Berlin v Chemnitz101-91
27/03/22Chemnitz v Alba Berlin81-64
19/02/22Alba Berlin v Chemnitz91-81
05/12/21Alba Berlin v Chemnitz83-62
09/05/21Chemnitz v Alba Berlin81-91
07/02/21Alba Berlin v Chemnitz83-65
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24ABamberg106-84
13/03/24HBasket Zaragoza102-86
09/03/24ACrailsheim Merlins97-82
06/03/24ABasket Zaragoza98-64
02/03/24HUlm83-82
13/02/24ABayern80-89
10/02/24HOldenburg87-69
07/02/24HLeiden78-57
03/02/24ARostock94-90
27/01/24AHeidelberg99-77
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24AAnadolu Efes84-85
19/03/24HReal Madrid79-86
16/03/24HTubingen112-69
14/03/24HMonaco82-90
10/03/24ARostock76-75
08/03/24ABaskonia71-88
03/03/24HOldenburg85-67
29/02/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-106
17/02/24HUlm79-87
13/02/24HGottingen108-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWLWW91%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %83%91%77%
Points / game88.187.089.1
Allowed / game77.273.580.4
Point differential+10.9+13.5+8.7
Avg total165.3160.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%90%64%
Points / game92.896.989.0
Allowed / game83.080.885.0
Point differential+9.8+16.1+4.0
Avg total175.8177.7174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%80%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2420483%89.177.5+11.6
2 Chemnitz2420483%88.177.2+10.9
3 Alba Berlin2116576%92.883.0+9.8
4 Wurzburg2518772%86.278.7+7.5
5 Vechta2416867%89.581.9+7.6
6 Ludwigsburg2516964%89.580.8+8.6
7 Ulm2516964%90.987.4+3.5
8 Bonn24141058%90.286.1+4.1
9 Hamburg23121152%86.087.4-1.4
10 Oldenburg24111346%83.884.7-1.0
11 Basketball Braunschweig24111346%83.985.8-1.9
12 Bamberg25111444%88.490.1-1.7
13 Syntainics MBC2481633%86.091.5-5.5
14 Gottingen2571828%87.295.4-8.2
15 Rostock2461825%90.094.1-4.1
16 Tubingen2561924%84.996.6-11.7
17 Heidelberg2552020%82.795.4-12.7
18 Crailsheim Merlins2552020%79.492.6-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2213212379
Alba Berlin1821242184
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