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Chemnitz vs Tubingen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 113-82
27-25 25-16 29-24 32-17
Position#3
Record22-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game77.7
Chemnitz 🏆
Germany
vs
Tubingen
Germany
Position#18
Record6-21
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game96.4
GermanyBBLRound 28· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Chemnitz v Tubingen
13 Apr 2024
CHE113
TUB82
18 Oct 2019
CHE85
TUB72
03 Nov 2018
CHE104
TUB68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tubingen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 83
H02/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 83
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
97-82
97
82
+15
84avg 83
A09/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
102-86
102
86
+16
101avg 83
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#11
W
106-84
106
84
+22
106avg 83
A17/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 83
H24/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
W
98-73
98
73
+25
90avg 83
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
111-95
111
95
+16
109avg 83
A30/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 83
H03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
W
80-66
80
66
+14
80avg 83
H06/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
23-18
14-20
20-31
30-24
28-13
20-8
20-19
20-14
22-25
26-19
29-24
18-18
26-20
35-25
23-23
25-16
23-20
32-20
26-28
22-18
13-21
21-24
23-21
16-29
25-17
30-12
27-15
31-17
19-28
30-25
31-25
21-18
15-21
23-18
14-25
16-15
21-18
20-18
23-15
172.5Avg total
92.7Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.377.7166.0+10.681%
Season at home (13)85.873.7159.5+12.285%
Season away (14)90.681.4172.1+9.279%
Last 10 (10)92.779.8172.5+12.980%
Last 5 (5)88.280.0168.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)81.087.0168.0-6.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)91.976.9168.8+15.088%
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TubingenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTubingen
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
W
97-76
97
76
+21
99avg 73
A27/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
85-96
85
96
-11
81avg 73
H02/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
70-101
70
101
-31
36avg 73
A11/02
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
82-92
82
92
-10
76avg 73
H14/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
76-97
76
97
-21
67avg 73
A02/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
89avg 73
H09/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
69-112
69
112
-43
60avg 73
A16/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
79-98
79
98
-19
75avg 73
H22/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
81-96
81
96
-15
76avg 73
A30/03
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
75-92
75
92
-17
69avg 73
H05/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
25-25
26-21
15-7
18-25
26-22
16-20
25-29
14-25
22-17
10-34
24-25
16-23
30-25
17-31
19-13
25-24
14-21
18-30
19-22
19-16
27-28
20-12
22-22
24-21
10-35
16-32
19-24
26-18
16-30
15-29
22-21
17-26
25-25
13-22
26-23
13-27
22-28
15-21
25-16
174.0Avg total
80.2Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.496.4180.7-12.022%
Season at home (14)84.996.2181.1-11.421%
Season away (13)83.896.5180.4-12.723%
Last 10 (10)80.293.8174.0-13.620%
Last 5 (5)78.495.2173.6-16.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)84.496.9181.2-12.525%
vs Similar (5)79.485.6165.0-6.20%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -8.6-8.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -8.6-8.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
ChemnitzTubingen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H02/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A17/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H24/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A30/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H06/04
BBL
82.3Avg total
44.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.382.8+6.373%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.437.181.5+7.380%-
Last 30 away (15)44.739.584.2+5.367%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.382.3+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.480.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)44.241.285.3+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.737.582.2+7.179%-
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TubingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A27/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H02/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/02
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A16/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H22/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A30/03
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H05/04
BBL
90.4Avg total
42.0Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.445.788.1-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.147.391.4-3.231%-
Last 30 away (14)40.643.884.4-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)42.048.490.4-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.850.890.6-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)42.846.889.6-4.129%-
vs Similar (5)43.041.684.6+1.440%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.9
54.1%
54.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.0
34.6%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.9
76.8%
76.0%17.9
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tubingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tubingen: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.1
54.5%
54.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.6
37.2%
35.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.514.1
76.2%
76.0%14.1
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WLWWLWWWWW
Tubingen
LLLLWLLLLW
#3
League position
#18
+16.6
Net rating
-17.4
117.7
Offensive rating
105.6
101.1
Defensive rating
123.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
55.1%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
60.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
21.2%
38.1%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.6%
3-point %
37.2%
66.1%
Assist %
75.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 105.6Defence101.1 · 123.0Shooting53.2% · 55.1%3-point %34.6% · 37.2%Ball care16.7% · 21.2%Off. rebounds38.1% · 25.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Tubingen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Chemnitz wins
0
Tubingen wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Tubingen v Chemnitz68-106
01/03/20Tubingen v Chemnitz80-94
18/10/19Chemnitz v Tubingen85-72
23/02/19Tubingen v Chemnitz80-98
03/11/18Chemnitz v Tubingen104-68
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HBonn80-66
03/04/24HBilbao73-82
30/03/24ASyntainics MBC111-95
27/03/24ABilbao98-73
24/03/24HAlba Berlin79-84
17/03/24ABamberg106-84
13/03/24HBasket Zaragoza102-86
09/03/24ACrailsheim Merlins97-82
06/03/24ABasket Zaragoza98-64
02/03/24HUlm83-82
Tubingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24HRostock75-92
30/03/24AWurzburg81-96
22/03/24HLudwigsburg79-98
16/03/24AAlba Berlin69-112
09/03/24HSyntainics MBC88-78
02/03/24ABamberg76-97
14/02/24HBonn82-92
11/02/24AGottingen70-101
02/02/24HCrailsheim Merlins85-96
27/01/24AUlm97-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW81%
HomeLWWLW85%
AwayWLWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %81%85%79%
Points / game88.385.890.6
Allowed / game77.773.781.4
Point differential+10.6+12.2+9.2
Avg total166.0159.5172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tubingen
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeLLWLL21%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %22%21%23%
Points / game84.484.983.8
Allowed / game96.496.296.5
Point differential-12.0-11.4-12.7
Avg total180.7181.1180.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%7%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2622485%89.577.0+12.6
2 Chemnitz2722581%88.377.7+10.6
3 Alba Berlin2419579%92.482.4+10.0
4 Wurzburg2720774%86.178.3+7.8
5 Ulm2718967%91.686.5+5.1
6 Vechta27171063%89.382.4+6.8
7 Ludwigsburg27161159%88.482.0+6.4
8 Bonn27161159%89.385.5+3.8
9 Hamburg26131350%85.786.7-1.0
10 Oldenburg27131448%84.884.6+0.1
11 Bamberg27111641%88.191.0-2.9
12 Basketball Braunschweig27111641%82.485.8-3.3
13 Syntainics MBC2781930%86.092.9-6.9
14 Gottingen2781930%86.093.9-7.8
15 Rostock2671927%89.193.5-4.5
16 Heidelberg2772026%83.094.4-11.5
17 Tubingen2762122%84.496.4-12.0
18 Crailsheim Merlins2762122%80.492.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz27252932113
Tubingen2516241782
← all games of the day
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