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Cordon vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 90-109
21-28 29-34 20-22 20-25
Position#11
Record2-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game94.8
vs
Position#2
Record8-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game81.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Cordon
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cordon v Nacional
03 Dec 2025
CORD90
NACI109
07 Feb 2025
CORD79
NACI86
09 May 2024
CORD66
NACI78
02 May 2024
CORD66
NACI72
15 Mar 2024
CORD86
NACI67
30 Oct 2023
CORD65
NACI98
21 Sep 2012
CORD78
NACI85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cordon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
67avg 71
A11/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
84-104
84
104
-20
74avg 71
H15/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 71
A17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
83-102
83
102
-19
79avg 71
A23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
98-81
98
81
+17
96avg 71
H29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
86-107
86
107
-21
81avg 71
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
91avg 71
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
84-97
84
97
-13
77avg 71
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
69avg 71
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
77-123
77
123
-46
71avg 71
A20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
26-24
21-17
17-19
20-25
23-29
22-25
19-25
16-25
19-21
24-17
17-17
9-30
24-24
24-29
26-19
22-17
31-19
20-20
25-25
27-22
20-29
20-33
19-23
23-25
28-25
21-21
22-14
20-29
23-18
17-33
24-17
14-26
28-16
25-31
8-11
9-28
26-26
31-35
11-34
178.3Avg total
83.5Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.594.8178.3-11.320%
Season at home (4)87.888.5176.2-0.850%
Season away (6)80.799.0179.7-18.30%
Last 10 (10)83.594.8178.3-11.320%
Last 5 (5)83.299.2182.4-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)80.891.0171.8-10.224%
vs Similar (4)93.885.8179.5+8.0100%
vs Weaker (1)74.069.0143.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
L
62-87
62
87
-25
43avg 83
H14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
117-106
117
106
+11
117avg 83
A16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
82-79
82
79
+3
68avg 83
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
102-86
102
86
+16
98avg 83
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
80-61
80
61
+19
72avg 83
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
110-93
110
93
+17
101avg 83
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
104-70
104
70
+34
104avg 83
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
78avg 83
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 83
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
88-72
88
72
+16
74avg 83
H20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
17-26
15-20
17-24
32-23
23-24
34-27
28-32
28-26
22-28
20-11
12-14
21-20
29-27
35-17
17-22
14-16
30-19
20-11
16-15
34-23
27-24
26-24
23-22
25-21
27-23
26-13
26-13
22-21
15-12
30-17
22-29
10-24
21-21
20-23
24-14
17-18
34-16
14-19
23-19
172.4Avg total
90.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.981.5172.4+9.480%
Season at home (6)84.274.7158.8+9.583%
Season away (4)101.091.8192.8+9.275%
Last 10 (10)90.981.5172.4+9.480%
Last 5 (5)93.279.2172.4+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.087.0149.0-25.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)90.480.0170.5+10.476%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.8-7.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.8-7.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
CordonNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A11/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H15/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A20/11
Liga Uruguaya
90.5Avg total
42.2Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.446.288.7-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.644.786.2-3.133%-
Last 30 away (18)43.047.390.3-4.328%-
Last 10 (10)42.248.390.5-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)43.648.892.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)41.047.988.8-6.916%-
vs Similar (4)50.538.589.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)47.036.083.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
61-47
61
47
+14
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H20/11
Liga Uruguaya
89.0Avg total
46.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.341.787.0+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.439.184.5+6.368%-
Last 30 away (11)45.146.391.4-1.245%-
Last 10 (10)46.142.989.0+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.687.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.043.073.0-13.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)45.841.787.5+4.162%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.3
53.2%
53.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.7
32.8%
33.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.813.8
63.3%
70.9%13.8
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.8
52.4%
53.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.3
37.2%
33.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.514.6
67.9%
70.9%14.6
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cordon
LLLWLWLLLL
Nacional
WLWWWWWWWL
#11
League position
#2
-14.0
Net rating
+11.7
102.4
Offensive rating
112.2
116.5
Defensive rating
100.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
53.9%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
20.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.8%
3-point %
37.2%
68.7%
Assist %
54.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 112.2Defence116.5 · 100.5Shooting51.7% · 53.9%3-point %32.8% · 37.2%Ball care20.3% · 16.7%Off. rebounds30.5% · 30.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Cordon   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cordon wins
8
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
17/03/25Nacional v Cordon85-80
07/02/25Cordon v Nacional79-86
07/12/24Nacional v Cordon98-83
10/05/24Cordon v Nacional66-78 OT
06/05/24Nacional v Cordon81-68
03/05/24Cordon v Nacional66-72
30/04/24Nacional v Cordon60-73
02/04/24Nacional v Cordon69-61
16/03/24Cordon v Nacional86-67
23/01/24Nacional v Cordon86-61
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25AUrunday77-123
14/11/25HBigua75-84
11/11/25ADefensor84-97
08/11/25HGoes94-85
04/11/25AAguada86-107
29/10/25HWelcome98-81
23/10/25APenarol83-102
17/10/25AHebraica y Macabi76-80
15/10/25HUnion Atletica84-104
11/10/25AMalvin78-85
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25HUnion Atletica88-72
14/11/25AMalvin75-82
10/11/25HHebraica y Macabi89-79
07/11/25HUrunday104-70
03/11/25ABigua110-93
01/11/25HDefensor80-61
24/10/25AGoes102-86
21/10/25HAguada82-79
16/10/25AWelcome117-106
14/10/25HPenarol62-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game83.587.880.7
Allowed / game94.888.599.0
Point differential-11.3-0.8-18.3
Avg total178.3176.2179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %80%83%75%
Points / game90.984.2101.0
Allowed / game81.574.791.8
Point differential+9.4+9.5+9.2
Avg total172.4158.8192.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%67%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol108280%86.972.9+14.0
2 Nacional108280%90.981.5+9.4
3 Hebraica y Macabi107370%77.774.9+2.8
4 Malvin107370%81.780.6+1.1
5 Aguada106460%95.288.9+6.3
6 Defensor95456%85.385.9-0.6
7 Urunday105550%93.486.7+6.7
8 Bigua105550%84.986.3-1.4
9 Union Atletica103730%79.884.4-4.6
10 Goes103730%82.387.7-5.4
11 Cordon102820%83.594.8-11.3
12 Welcome9090%81.0100.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cordon2129202090
Nacional28342225109
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