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Cordon vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 79-86
17-20 17-27 23-17 22-22
Position#9
Record8-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#1
Record17-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game76.4
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Cordon
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cordon v Nacional
03 Dec 2025
CORD90
NACI109
07 Feb 2025
CORD79
NACI86
09 May 2024
CORD66
NACI78
02 May 2024
CORD66
NACI72
15 Mar 2024
CORD86
NACI67
30 Oct 2023
CORD65
NACI98
21 Sep 2012
CORD78
NACI85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cordon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
77-97
77
97
-20
33avg 68
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
54avg 68
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
74-78
74
78
-4
66avg 68
A03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 68
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
92-91
92
91
+1
61avg 68
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
71-87
71
87
-16
53avg 68
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
96-88
96
88
+8
91avg 68
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
87-77
87
77
+10
80avg 68
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
92-104
92
104
-12
82avg 68
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
82-80
82
80
+2
67avg 68
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
25-29
21-13
13-24
20-26
17-17
13-14
19-19
16-23
23-23
17-14
18-18
23-19
12-20
21-21
25-24
22-20
27-21
18-23
25-27
11-28
18-21
13-21
29-17
21-23
15-19
31-20
29-26
30-16
21-19
18-25
18-17
23-31
19-30
25-17
25-26
25-23
14-18
17-21
26-18
168.3Avg total
82.1Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.386.2170.6-1.944%
Season at home (9)84.784.1168.8+0.656%
Season away (9)84.088.3172.3-4.333%
Last 10 (10)82.186.2168.3-4.140%
Last 5 (5)85.687.2172.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.885.1162.9-7.325%
vs Similar (7)74.975.1150.0-0.357%
vs Weaker (3)83.379.0162.3+4.333%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
W
90-72
90
72
+18
83avg 80
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
97-82
97
82
+15
98avg 80
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
76avg 80
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
101-88
101
88
+13
90avg 80
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
88-67
88
67
+21
78avg 80
A14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 80
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
77-81
77
81
-4
69avg 80
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
96-81
96
81
+15
93avg 80
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
117-69
117
69
+48
128avg 80
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
121-65
121
65
+56
121avg 80
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
21-18
22-23
17-13
27-18
25-20
22-13
23-31
21-18
20-20
26-20
21-20
21-30
25-22
32-17
23-19
20-12
26-19
27-16
15-20
24-23
26-17
22-25
17-20
16-13
22-20
21-13
18-35
23-17
16-19
26-26
31-19
28-21
29-23
30-13
30-12
27-25
36-10
29-14
29-16
173.2Avg total
96.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)94.376.4170.7+17.994%
Season at home (9)93.077.7170.7+15.389%
Season away (9)95.775.1170.8+20.6100%
Last 10 (10)96.476.8173.2+19.690%
Last 5 (5)100.076.2176.2+23.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)87.488.7176.1-1.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)90.573.9164.4+16.691%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
CordonNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
42-61
42
61
-19
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
85.7Avg total
40.0Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.143.385.4-1.131%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.945.485.3-5.614%-
Last 30 away (15)44.341.385.5+3.047%-
Last 10 (10)40.045.785.7-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.685.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.544.686.2-3.120%-
vs Similar (6)43.339.883.2+3.567%-
vs Weaker (3)43.741.385.0+2.333%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
63-35
63
35
+28
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
86.6Avg total
48.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.839.385.1+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.940.186.0+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)45.738.584.3+7.273%-
Last 10 (10)48.338.386.6+10.090%-
Last 5 (5)49.437.687.0+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)44.344.688.9-0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.337.784.0+8.578%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.0
48.5%
51.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.4
33.5%
33.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.210.1
71.1%
71.7%10.1
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.224.2
54.8%
51.5%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.1
37.6%
33.0%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.013.7
68.5%
71.7%13.7
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cordon
WLWWLWLLLL
Nacional
WWWLWWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
-4.7
Net rating
+24.1
102.6
Offensive rating
118.7
107.2
Defensive rating
94.6
49.3%
Effective FG%
55.4%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
12.4%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.5%
3-point %
37.6%
51.6%
Assist %
68.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 118.7Defence107.2 · 94.6Shooting49.3% · 55.4%3-point %33.5% · 37.6%Ball care16.1% · 12.4%Off. rebounds27.6% · 29.1%Free throws0.20 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Cordon   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cordon wins
8
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Nacional v Cordon98-83
10/05/24Cordon v Nacional66-78 OT
06/05/24Nacional v Cordon81-68
03/05/24Cordon v Nacional66-72
30/04/24Nacional v Cordon60-73
02/04/24Nacional v Cordon69-61
16/03/24Cordon v Nacional86-67
23/01/24Nacional v Cordon86-61
31/10/23Cordon v Nacional65-98
12/11/12Nacional v Cordon70-66
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25HBigua82-80
30/01/25HPenarol92-104
27/01/25AUrunday87-77
24/01/25HAguada96-88
16/01/25HDefensor71-87
13/01/25AUrupan92-91
10/01/25AWelcome81-84
03/01/25ATrouville74-78
19/12/24HMalvin69-76
13/12/24HHebraica y Macabi77-97
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/25AUrupan121-65
30/01/25AWelcome117-69
27/01/25HDefensor96-81
23/01/25HTrouville77-81
19/01/25APenarol89-85
14/01/25AMalvin88-67
10/01/25HHebraica y Macabi101-88
08/01/25ADefensor88-78
03/01/25HBigua97-82
19/12/24AUrunday90-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW44%
HomeLLWLW56%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%56%33%
Points / game84.384.784.0
Allowed / game86.284.188.3
Point differential-1.9+0.6-4.3
Avg total170.6168.8172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW94%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %94%89%100%
Points / game94.393.095.7
Allowed / game76.477.775.1
Point differential+17.9+15.3+20.6
Avg total170.7170.7170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%78%78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1817194%94.376.4+17.9
2 Aguada1814478%90.680.4+10.1
3 Penarol1813572%84.774.4+10.2
4 Malvin1812667%80.377.1+3.2
5 Defensor189950%85.982.2+3.7
6 Bigua1881044%84.385.3-1.0
7 Cordon1881044%84.386.2-1.9
8 Hebraica y Macabi1881044%85.187.9-2.9
9 Urunday1861233%78.884.9-6.1
10 Urupan1961332%80.586.8-6.3
11 Welcome1841422%77.393.4-16.1
12 Trouville1941521%73.583.5-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cordon1717232279
Nacional2027172286
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