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Corinthians Paulista vs Minas Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game79.0
Corinthians Paulista
Brazil
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Minas
Brazil
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game65.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Wlamir Marques
Other2026-27
Meetings · Corinthians Paulista v Minas
23 Dec 2026
CORI v MINA
upcoming
09 May 2026
CORI103
MINA97
07 May 2026
CORI91
MINA97
08 Jan 2026
CORI74
MINA92
31 Oct 2024
CORI60
MINA86
14 Dec 2023
CORI105
MINA96
19 Dec 2022
CORI65
MINA94
11 Nov 2021
CORI65
MINA82
16 Mar 2021
CORI78
MINA65
14 Mar 2020
CORI70
MINA77
08 Jan 2019
CORI97
MINA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Corinthians Paulista win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
98-84
98
84
+14
96avg 83
H20/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
68avg 83
H23/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
68avg 83
A26/05
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
73-84
73
84
-11
64avg 83
A17/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
92-104
92
104
-12
87avg 83
A22/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
78-48
78
48
+30
85avg 83
H26/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
A06/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
A09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
H12/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
36-30
15-22
20-17
19-12
8-30
18-20
28-11
18-21
20-35
13-23
25-9
17-18
21-26
24-18
11-22
28-29
17-17
27-31
20-27
29-14
13-9
19-10
17-15
20-20
18-19
16-24
25-21
19-16
15-17
23-17
18-18
22-16
17-21
24-37
16-17
21-16
26-25
17-12
20-21
162.2Avg total
81.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.079.0159.0+1.043%
Season at home (3)80.371.0151.3+9.367%
Season away (4)79.885.0164.8-5.225%
Last 10 (10)81.580.7162.2+0.840%
Last 5 (5)79.073.0152.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.781.9161.6-2.233%
vs Similar (14)88.085.9173.9+2.157%
vs Weaker (7)89.179.3168.4+9.9100%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
95avg 86
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
76avg 86
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-66
78
66
+12
69avg 86
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 86
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
86-65
86
65
+21
85avg 86
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
100-61
100
61
+39
100avg 86
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
77-63
77
63
+14
no box
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
20-21
27-27
19-24
22-20
22-25
12-24
25-23
25-20
18-13
18-10
17-23
15-15
20-21
36-13
17-22
24-14
24-18
23-16
15-17
26-12
17-21
24-19
33-9
19-25
25-15
24-21
19-15
18-16
21-20
17-12
21-16
24-17
20-11
23-11
21-18
17-18
23-11
14-16
23-18
157.7Avg total
85.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.165.4150.5+19.8100%
Season at home (4)87.861.5149.2+26.2100%
Season away (4)82.569.2151.8+13.2100%
Last 10 (10)85.971.8157.7+14.180%
Last 5 (5)85.864.2150.0+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.0100.7197.7-3.733%
vs Similar (7)89.495.3184.7-5.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.874.3164.1+15.590%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
Corinthians PaulistaMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H20/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H23/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A26/05
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A17/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A22/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H26/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A06/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/11
NBB
81.7Avg total
41.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.784.3+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.440.584.9+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)41.042.883.8-1.856%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.681.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.674.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.645.385.9-4.833%-
vs Similar (14)43.841.385.1+2.557%-
vs Weaker (7)42.938.080.9+4.9100%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/11
NBB
79.5Avg total
43.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.642.087.6+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.439.985.3+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)45.843.889.6+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.479.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.275.2+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.751.394.0-8.70%-
vs Similar (7)45.349.795.0-4.40%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.237.984.1+8.480%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.3
53.3%
49.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.3
37.6%
31.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.414.5
78.8%
71.3%14.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.9
59.2%
49.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
31.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
71.3%17.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Corinthians Paulista
WLWLWLLLLW
Minas
WWWWWWWWLL
#10
League position
#1
-1.1
Net rating
+13.2
98.4
Offensive rating
100.9
99.4
Defensive rating
87.7
54.6%
Effective FG%
55.9%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
14.0%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.6%
3-point %
34.6%
69.9%
Assist %
71.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 100.9Defence99.4 · 87.7Shooting54.6% · 55.9%3-point %37.6% · 34.6%Ball care14.0% · 16.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Corinthians Paulista   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Corinthians Paulista wins
5
Minas wins
DateGameScore
12/05/26Minas v Corinthians Paulista81-92
09/05/26Corinthians Paulista v Minas103-97
07/05/26Corinthians Paulista v Minas91-97
04/05/26Minas v Corinthians Paulista90-100
08/01/26Corinthians Paulista v Minas74-92
18/10/25Minas v Corinthians Paulista83-81
13/02/25Minas v Corinthians Paulista63-72
31/10/24Corinthians Paulista v Minas60-86
30/03/24Minas v Corinthians Paulista91-73
14/12/23Corinthians Paulista v Minas105-96
Corinthians Paulistalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOsasco84-74
12/11/26HPinheiros79-91
09/11/26ACearense75-68
06/11/26AUnifacisa79-84
26/10/26HFranca78-48
22/10/26ABrasilia92-104
17/10/26AMogi73-84
26/05/26APinheiros76-88
23/05/26HPinheiros81-82 OT
20/05/26HPinheiros98-84
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCearense77-63
11/11/26HUnifacisa88-57
05/11/26ABauru77-64
03/11/26AFranca87-76
29/10/26HBrasilia100-61
27/10/26HPato86-65
22/10/26AUniao Corinthians88-71
20/10/26ACaxias do Sul78-66
12/05/26HCorinthians Paulista81-92
09/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game80.080.379.8
Allowed / game79.071.085.0
Point differential+1.0+9.3-5.2
Avg total159.0151.3164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minas
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.187.882.5
Allowed / game65.461.569.2
Point differential+19.8+26.2+13.2
Avg total150.5149.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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