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Pato vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 76-85
19-22 22-18 25-23 10-22
Position#14
Record7-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#8
Record6-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game81.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pato v Corinthians Paulista
19 Nov 2026
PATO v CORI
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
PATO79
CORI89
29 Dec 2024
PATO76
CORI85
28 Mar 2024
PATO100
CORI87
18 Nov 2022
PATO68
CORI96
28 Oct 2021
PATO73
CORI80
22 Apr 2021
PATO61
CORI90
04 Jan 2021
PATO75
CORI80
29 Nov 2019
PATO68
CORI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Corinthians Paulista winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
L
76-84
76
84
-8
64avg 74
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
66-65
66
65
+1
62avg 74
H17/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
98-78
98
78
+20
100avg 74
H28/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
103-110 OT
103
110
-7
88avg 74
H03/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
63avg 74
A05/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
85avg 74
A13/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 74
A16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 74
H19/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
90-106
90
106
-16
85avg 74
H21/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 74
H27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
12-20
29-25
22-17
15-15
21-20
12-9
18-21
27-20
20-11
25-14
26-33
28-29
23-26
25-24
22-19
19-30
19-22
14-23
18-22
18-16
29-26
20-26
24-29
22-21
24-19
26-27
22-31
22-18
16-23
22-19
25-21
28-30
20-26
20-21
22-29
22-16
19-18
21-25
28-27
176.5Avg total
86.3Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.085.3168.3-2.339%
Season at home (10)86.383.5169.8+2.860%
Season away (8)78.987.6166.5-8.812%
Last 10 (10)86.390.2176.5-3.940%
Last 5 (5)90.093.6183.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.990.6170.4-10.722%
vs Similar (15)79.480.5159.9-1.147%
vs Weaker (6)88.380.2168.5+8.267%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
71avg 74
H09/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
103-87
103
87
+16
101avg 74
H12/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
76avg 74
A17/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
69-89
69
89
-20
61avg 74
H28/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
73avg 74
A02/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
92-83
92
83
+9
90avg 74
H12/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-80
77
80
-3
71avg 74
H14/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
72-70
72
70
+2
60avg 74
A17/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
64-79
64
79
-15
46avg 74
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
79-80
79
80
-1
84avg 74
A23/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
17-23
20-25
24-21
29-25
29-17
22-18
23-27
21-27
17-17
24-16
22-30
20-23
11-25
14-21
24-20
26-28
13-20
25-25
14-10
25-24
22-23
23-11
22-25
17-20
23-35
13-11
24-14
14-21
11-16
18-15
29-18
18-20
20-11
9-28
17-20
29-19
22-25
16-25
12-11
161.7Avg total
79.3Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.481.4160.7-2.035%
Season at home (9)82.387.1169.4-4.822%
Season away (8)76.074.9150.9+1.150%
Last 10 (10)79.382.4161.7-3.130%
Last 5 (5)76.878.4155.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.883.6153.4-13.820%
vs Similar (15)81.184.5165.5-3.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.677.4165.0+10.270%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
PatoCorinthians Paulista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H28/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H03/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A05/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H21/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H27/12
NBB
84.5Avg total
41.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.082.0+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.338.581.8+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)40.441.782.1-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.884.5-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.686.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.245.287.4-3.044%-
vs Similar (15)40.138.278.3+1.960%-
vs Weaker (6)46.336.783.0+9.783%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H12/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A17/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H28/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A02/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H12/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H14/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A17/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A23/12
NBB
83.1Avg total
39.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.683.0-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.243.285.4-1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)40.740.280.9+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)39.843.383.1-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.883.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.041.675.6-7.620%-
vs Similar (15)41.743.785.3-2.047%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.738.683.3+6.170%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.5
54.6%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.012.2
38.1%
33.0%36.6
🏀 Free throws16.712.3
73.7%
72.7%12.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.0
52.0%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.0
35.0%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.512.3
74.5%
72.7%12.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WLWLLLLWWL
Corinthians Paulista
LLWLWLLLWL
#14
League position
#8
-4.6
Net rating
-4.5
112.2
Offensive rating
107.7
116.8
Defensive rating
112.2
55.8%
Effective FG%
52.2%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.7%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.1%
3-point %
35.0%
57.0%
Assist %
62.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 107.7Defence116.8 · 112.2Shooting55.8% · 52.2%3-point %38.1% · 35.0%Ball care18.0% · 16.7%Off. rebounds29.6% · 28.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Pato   ■ Corinthians Paulista
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pato wins
7
Corinthians Paulista wins
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24HPinheiros90-86
21/12/24HMogi90-106
19/12/24HSao Jose85-81
16/12/24ABrasilia94-98
13/12/24ABauru91-97
05/12/24AMinas70-97
03/12/24HFlamengo103-110 OT
28/11/24HBotafogo98-78
17/11/24HPaulistano66-65
12/11/24HVasco76-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24ACaxias do Sul79-80
21/12/24AUniao Corinthians64-79
17/12/24AMogi72-70
14/12/24HUnifacisa77-80
12/12/24HCearense92-83
02/12/24ASao Jose78-83
28/11/24HPinheiros69-89
17/11/24AVasco84-90
12/11/24HBauru103-87
09/11/24HFranca75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW39%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %39%60%12%
Points / game83.086.378.9
Allowed / game85.383.587.6
Point differential-2.3+2.8-8.8
Avg total168.3169.8166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%10%0%
Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL35%
HomeLWLWL22%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%22%50%
Points / game79.482.376.0
Allowed / game81.487.174.9
Point differential-2.0-4.8+1.1
Avg total160.7169.4150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%11%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1816289%82.869.8+13.0
2 Flamengo1814478%84.172.7+11.4
3 Brasilia1812667%84.281.7+2.6
4 Franca1811761%81.577.5+4.0
5 Vasco1710759%74.672.1+2.5
6 Pinheiros1810856%76.375.3+1.0
7 Sao Paulo1810856%78.778.4+0.3
8 Uniao Corinthians1810856%78.179.0-0.9
9 Bauru1810856%78.879.9-1.2
10 Paulistano1881044%77.875.7+2.2
11 Sao Jose1881044%75.775.5+0.2
12 Unifacisa1881044%75.076.7-1.7
13 Pato1871139%83.085.3-2.3
14 Corinthians Paulista1761135%79.481.4-2.0
15 Mogi1861233%73.179.6-6.6
16 Botafogo1861233%73.180.9-7.8
17 Caxias do Sul1851328%72.679.2-6.6
18 Cearense1841422%69.177.1-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1922251076
Corinthians Paulista2218232285
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