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Crailsheim Merlins vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2024
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 83-103
18-26 25-23 27-26 13-28
Position#17
Record8-25
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game92.2
vs
Position#2
Record26-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game80.8
GermanyBBLRound 34· Arena Hohenlohe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Alba Berlin
13 Oct 2024
CME74
ABE75
12 May 2024
CME83
ABE103
14 Feb 2023
CME85
ABE91
20 Apr 2022
CME70
ABE78
20 Feb 2022
CME76
ABE86
09 Feb 2021
CME77
ABE101
08 Mar 2020
CME91
ABE82
06 Apr 2019
CME69
ABE105
10 Oct 2015
CME75
ABE80
19 Oct 2014
CME65
ABE93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
93-98
93
98
-5
89avg 69
A16/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
74avg 69
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-90
86
90
-4
78avg 69
A30/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
102-93
102
93
+9
103avg 69
H06/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
82avg 69
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
98-89
98
89
+9
98avg 69
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
66-86
66
86
-20
67avg 69
H27/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
88-94
88
94
-6
78avg 69
A30/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
82-109
82
109
-27
72avg 69
H04/05
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
85-70
85
70
+15
80avg 69
A08/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
20-34
26-24
26-14
26-19
19-21
8-10
27-26
24-24
20-31
20-22
22-13
21-26
25-24
25-17
31-26
17-27
23-21
25-20
23-30
25-20
24-19
23-20
26-30
12-18
20-28
13-21
21-19
24-16
12-30
31-21
21-27
16-30
24-24
22-31
20-24
18-24
18-5
27-25
22-16
177.1Avg total
86.8Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.292.2173.4-11.124%
Season at home (16)82.490.4172.9-8.038%
Season away (17)80.093.9173.9-13.912%
Last 10 (10)86.890.3177.1-3.540%
Last 5 (5)83.889.6173.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.392.4170.7-14.017%
vs Similar (6)89.287.7176.8+1.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
72avg 77
A11/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
76-67
76
67
+9
45avg 77
A14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
83avg 77
A17/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
98-92
98
92
+6
98avg 77
H21/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
91-74
91
74
+17
90avg 77
H24/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 77
A28/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
96-89
96
89
+7
98avg 77
H30/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
53-77
53
77
-24
36avg 77
A05/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 77
H08/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
59-53
59
53
+6
53avg 77
H10/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
14-21
26-22
12-24
16-22
22-15
15-17
23-13
16-5
24-17
22-26
22-28
20-24
25-19
28-23
25-26
21-20
21-20
24-11
25-23
14-34
17-15
19-15
31-26
28-17
19-28
22-24
27-20
17-16
5-30
15-13
16-18
20-19
30-12
23-22
17-16
12-17
18-11
9-20
20-5
157.4Avg total
80.3Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)89.280.8170.0+8.579%
Season at home (17)93.478.9172.3+14.594%
Season away (16)84.882.8167.6+2.162%
Last 10 (10)80.377.1157.4+3.270%
Last 5 (5)75.875.6151.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.691.9168.5-15.30%
vs Similar (5)78.477.2155.6+1.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.178.3168.4+11.886%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
Crailsheim MerlinsAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A16/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A30/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H06/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H27/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H04/05
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A08/05
BBL
87.6Avg total
40.9Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.246.485.6-7.120%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.344.684.9-4.327%-
Last 30 away (15)38.248.186.3-9.913%-
Last 10 (10)40.946.787.6-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.881.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.046.285.1-7.217%-
vs Similar (6)40.347.287.5-6.833%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A11/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A17/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H21/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A28/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H30/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A05/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H10/05
BBL
76.1Avg total
38.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.582.4-0.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.241.084.2+2.271%-
Last 30 away (13)37.942.180.0-4.246%-
Last 10 (10)38.237.976.1+0.370%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.875.8-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.146.284.3-8.118%-
vs Similar (5)36.639.275.8-2.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.738.683.3+6.186%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.7
56.1%
54.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.0
38.5%
35.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.311.6
75.8%
76.0%11.6
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.4
51.8%
54.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.3
30.7%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.517.6
81.9%
76.0%17.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
WLLLWLWLWL
Alba Berlin
WWLWLWWWWL
#17
League position
#2
-4.4
Net rating
+4.3
108.4
Offensive rating
105.6
112.8
Defensive rating
101.3
56.8%
Effective FG%
49.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
20.6%
Turnover %
19.6%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.5%
3-point %
30.7%
59.9%
Assist %
70.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 105.6Defence112.8 · 101.3Shooting56.8% · 49.4%3-point %38.5% · 30.7%Ball care20.6% · 19.6%Off. rebounds26.7% · 32.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/24ARostock85-70
04/05/24HBamberg82-109
30/04/24AHamburg88-94
27/04/24HUlm66-86
20/04/24HBonn98-89
13/04/24ABasketball Braunschweig88-98
06/04/24HVechta102-93
30/03/24AHeidelberg86-90
23/03/24HGottingen80-76
16/03/24ASyntainics MBC93-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/24HBayern59-53
08/05/24HBonn90-69
05/05/24ABayern53-77
30/04/24HHeidelberg96-89
28/04/24ABasketball Braunschweig81-90
24/04/24HRostock91-74
21/04/24HBamberg98-92
17/04/24AHamburg84-76
14/04/24ASyntainics MBC76-67
11/04/24APanathinaikos75-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW24%
HomeWWWLL38%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %24%38%12%
Points / game81.282.480.0
Allowed / game92.290.493.9
Point differential-11.1-8.0-13.9
Avg total173.4172.9173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%6%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW79%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %79%94%62%
Points / game89.293.484.8
Allowed / game80.878.982.8
Point differential+8.5+14.5+2.1
Avg total170.0172.3167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%65%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3327682%87.576.1+11.4
2 Alba Berlin3326779%89.280.8+8.5
3 Chemnitz3325876%89.179.2+9.9
4 Wurzburg3324973%87.580.2+7.4
5 Ulm33231070%90.983.7+7.2
6 Vechta33201361%88.082.8+5.2
7 Bonn33191458%89.686.3+3.2
8 Ludwigsburg33181555%88.482.8+5.6
9 Oldenburg33171652%85.183.8+1.2
10 Hamburg33161748%85.886.8-1.1
11 Bamberg33151845%88.689.3-0.7
12 Basketball Braunschweig33151845%82.084.6-2.6
13 Syntainics MBC33112233%86.093.1-7.1
14 Gottingen33102330%85.993.0-7.1
15 Rostock3392427%87.292.8-5.7
16 Crailsheim Merlins3382524%81.292.2-11.1
17 Heidelberg3382524%82.593.8-11.3
18 Tubingen3362718%82.495.4-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1825271383
Alba Berlin26232628103
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