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Crailsheim Merlins vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 74-75
26-17 17-11 19-22 12-25
Position#8
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#10
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyGerman Cup· Arena Hohenlohe
Other2024-25
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Alba Berlin
13 Oct 2024
CME74
ABE75
12 May 2024
CME83
ABE103
14 Feb 2023
CME85
ABE91
20 Apr 2022
CME70
ABE78
20 Feb 2022
CME76
ABE86
09 Feb 2021
CME77
ABE101
08 Mar 2020
CME91
ABE82
06 Apr 2019
CME69
ABE105
10 Oct 2015
CME75
ABE80
19 Oct 2014
CME65
ABE93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
W
98-89
98
89
+9
98avg 69
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
66-86
66
86
-20
67avg 69
H27/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
88-94
88
94
-6
78avg 69
A30/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
82-109
82
109
-27
72avg 69
H04/05
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
85-70
85
70
+15
80avg 69
A08/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
83-103
83
103
-20
64avg 69
H12/05
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
79-77
79
77
+2
56avg 69
H14/09
German Cup
Bayreuth
#13
W
106-103
106
103
+3
no box
A21/09
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
W
84-67
84
67
+17
no box
H28/09
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A05/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
24-19
23-20
26-30
12-18
20-28
13-21
21-19
24-16
12-30
31-21
21-27
16-30
24-24
22-31
20-24
18-24
18-5
27-25
22-16
18-26
25-23
27-26
13-28
25-18
21-21
15-19
18-19
20-25
29-28
32-29
25-21
18-20
25-18
22-17
19-12
23-18
18-22
30-19
23-26
174.8Avg total
86.5Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.077.0156.0+2.0100%
Season at home (1)79.077.0156.0+2.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.588.3174.8-1.860%
Last 5 (5)89.287.0176.2+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)81.592.3173.8-10.819%
vs Similar (6)90.586.3176.8+4.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)95.085.0180.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
W
97-84
97
84
+13
98avg 78
H06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
67-79
67
79
-12
64avg 78
A08/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 78
A10/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 78
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 78
H14/06
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
80-97
80
97
-17
75avg 78
A22/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
105-70
105
70
+35
107avg 78
H28/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
77-87
77
87
-10
75avg 78
H03/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
L
87-91
87
91
-4
82avg 78
A06/10
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 78
A11/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
18-25
26-20
23-11
19-26
24-20
19-23
5-10
19-26
20-6
17-18
23-20
14-17
14-14
17-17
18-19
21-22
25-22
6-21
30-23
15-21
29-27
25-22
11-27
28-11
20-28
28-20
29-11
17-26
19-19
21-17
20-25
23-22
21-24
22-24
21-21
16-19
21-24
17-20
19-25
163.1Avg total
81.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.082.1163.1-1.130%
Last 5 (5)84.486.6171.0-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.088.2165.2-11.20%
vs Similar (11)76.076.9152.9-0.945%
vs Weaker (15)90.780.9171.6+9.980%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
Crailsheim MerlinsAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H27/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H04/05
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A08/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H12/05
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H14/09
German Cup
Bayreuth
#13
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A21/09
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H28/09
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A05/10
Pro A
84.8Avg total
41.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.546.086.5-5.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.743.785.4-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)39.248.487.6-9.220%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.384.8-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.888.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)39.946.486.2-6.519%-
vs Similar (6)39.846.286.0-6.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)46.045.591.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A08/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H14/06
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A22/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H28/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H03/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/10
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/10
Euroleague
84.0Avg total
41.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.581.1+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.140.382.4+1.869%-
Last 30 away (14)38.940.879.6-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.784.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.286.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.043.279.2-7.20%-
vs Similar (11)37.840.478.2-2.545%-
vs Weaker (15)43.939.983.8+3.973%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.9
56.9%
55.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.2
34.6%
33.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.614.5
78.0%
77.8%14.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.7
57.3%
55.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.4
32.6%
33.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.013.4
74.4%
77.8%13.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
WWWWLWLLLW
Alba Berlin
LLLWLLLWLW
#8
League position
#10
-6.3
Net rating
-2.1
107.3
Offensive rating
110.2
113.6
Defensive rating
112.2
54.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
19.7%
Turnover %
20.0%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.6%
3-point %
32.6%
58.5%
Assist %
65.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 110.2Defence113.6 · 112.2Shooting54.6% · 53.8%3-point %34.6% · 32.6%Ball care19.7% · 20.0%Off. rebounds26.4% · 33.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24ABremerhaven94-85
28/09/24HNurnberger84-67
21/09/24ABayreuth106-103
14/09/24HRostock79-77
12/05/24HAlba Berlin83-103
08/05/24ARostock85-70
04/05/24HBamberg82-109
30/04/24AHamburg88-94
27/04/24HUlm66-86
20/04/24HBonn98-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/24ABarcelona73-88
06/10/24ABonn87-91
03/10/24HPanathinaikos77-87
28/09/24HOldenburg105-70
22/09/24AHamburg80-97
14/06/24HBayern82-88
12/06/24HBayern63-67
10/06/24ABayern79-70
08/06/24ABayern67-79
06/06/24HChemnitz97-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
German Cup 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential+2.0+2.0-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Alba Berlin
German Cup 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Syntainics MBC110100%103.077.0+26.0
2 Vechta110100%89.068.0+21.0
3 Bamberg220100%90.578.5+12.0
4 Heidelberg220100%87.081.0+6.0
5 Gottingen220100%84.579.0+5.5
6 Frankfurt220100%78.073.5+4.5
7 Crailsheim Merlins110100%79.077.0+2.0
8 Oldenburg21150%85.074.0+11.0
9 Basketball Braunschweig21150%74.079.5-5.5
10 Rostock1010%77.079.0-2.0
11 Phoenix Hagen1010%80.083.0-3.0
12 Trier1010%68.071.0-3.0
13 Ulm1010%100.0103.0-3.0
14 Chemnitz1010%73.078.0-5.0
15 Hamburg1010%89.096.0-7.0
16 Wurzburg1010%78.086.0-8.0
17 Jena1010%70.080.0-10.0
18 PS Karlsruhe1010%57.078.0-21.0
19 Giessen1010%77.0103.0-26.0
20 Tubingen1010%63.091.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins2617191274
Alba Berlin1711222575
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