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Crailsheim Merlins vs Oldenburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 63-99
14-15 20-25 15-33 14-26
Position#17
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game97.6
vs
Position#8
Record4-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game82.6
GermanyBBLRound 6· Arena Hohenlohe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Oldenburg
04 Nov 2023
CME63
OLD99
02 Oct 2022
CME82
OLD95
22 Jan 2022
CME97
OLD86
12 Dec 2020
CME94
OLD80
12 Jun 2020
CME83
OLD85
02 Nov 2019
CME93
OLD98
12 May 2019
CME99
OLD87
14 Nov 2015
CME66
OLD90
05 Oct 2014
CME62
OLD85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oldenburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
L
66-77
66
77
-11
58avg 77
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
101-92
101
92
+9
99avg 77
H29/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
84-83
84
83
+1
79avg 77
H05/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
69-79
69
79
-10
64avg 77
A07/05
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 77
A23/09
German Cup
Rostock
#15
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 77
H29/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
75-110
75
110
-35
61avg 77
A02/10
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
no box
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
62-97
62
97
-35
48avg 77
H22/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
68-90
68
90
-22
59avg 77
A29/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
12-21
16-15
20-24
26-18
29-18
26-28
20-28
17-23
27-24
18-20
22-16
20-17
19-17
12-28
18-17
17-26
18-16
14-20
24-17
19-23
20-12
25-23
21-23
14-30
26-29
18-30
17-21
17-26
27-13
21-21
25-30
17-29
15-25
15-11
15-32
25-18
14-29
11-20
18-23
168.5Avg total
78.7Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.897.6176.4-18.820%
Season at home (2)73.589.0162.5-15.550%
Season away (3)82.3103.3185.7-21.00%
Last 10 (10)78.789.8168.5-11.130%
Last 5 (5)78.897.6176.4-18.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)82.091.9173.9-9.921%
vs Similar (14)82.985.4168.4-2.536%
vs Weaker (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 78
H18/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
72-86
72
86
-14
no box
A21/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 78
A29/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
77-67
77
67
+10
68avg 78
H02/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
92-83
92
83
+9
78avg 78
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
73-101
73
101
-28
60avg 78
A15/10
German Cup
Strasbourg
#11
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
73avg 78
H17/10
Champions League
Rostock
#15
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 78
H20/10
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
92-83
92
83
+9
89avg 78
A27/10
BBL
Karsiyaka
#27
L
83-85
83
85
-2
72avg 78
A01/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
17-17
24-24
17-14
23-25
14-15
18-26
17-20
27-28
24-18
16-32
19-13
21-26
24-13
13-15
19-13
26-22
20-18
23-22
23-21
20-32
15-23
17-25
21-21
16-17
20-21
17-20
22-17
28-17
20-25
23-29
23-18
24-21
29-27
25-14
14-21
22-18
17-30
27-17
17-20
166.7Avg total
82.4Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.282.6170.8+5.680%
Season at home (2)85.578.0163.5+7.5100%
Season away (3)90.085.7175.7+4.367%
Last 10 (10)82.484.3166.7-1.940%
Last 5 (5)85.088.6173.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.883.8164.6-3.040%
vs Similar (11)85.685.4171.0+0.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.882.6170.4+5.269%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
Crailsheim MerlinsOldenburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H29/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A07/05
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/09
German Cup
Rostock
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H29/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A02/10
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H22/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/10
BBL
82.8Avg total
39.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.384.2-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.241.682.8-0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)40.644.985.5-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.743.182.8-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.846.885.6-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.844.983.7-6.129%-
vs Similar (14)43.841.885.6+2.057%-
vs Weaker (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H18/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A29/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H02/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A15/10
German Cup
Strasbourg
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H17/10
Champions League
Rostock
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H20/10
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A27/10
BBL
Karsiyaka
#27
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A01/11
Champions League
85.2Avg total
42.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.485.6+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.441.284.6+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)43.043.786.7-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.185.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.288.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.643.883.4-4.240%-
vs Similar (11)42.543.285.7-0.636%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.840.386.1+5.585%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.2
49.3%
54.6%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.2
36.4%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.212.2
67.0%
76.0%12.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.0
50.8%
54.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.915.2
76.4%
76.0%15.2
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LLLLWLLWWL
Oldenburg
LWWLLWWLLL
#17
League position
#8
-15.6
Net rating
-5.1
99.7
Offensive rating
107.8
115.3
Defensive rating
112.9
51.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
20.9%
Turnover %
20.1%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.4%
3-point %
34.2%
55.3%
Assist %
56.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 107.8Defence115.3 · 112.9Shooting51.5% · 51.0%3-point %36.4% · 34.2%Ball care20.9% · 20.1%Off. rebounds26.1% · 35.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Oldenburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Crailsheim Merlins wins
6
Oldenburg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23ABonn68-90
22/10/23HBayern62-97
07/10/23AGottingen104-110 OT
02/10/23AAlba Berlin75-110
29/09/23HRostock85-81
23/09/23AGiessen73-79
07/05/23ASyntainics MBC69-79
05/05/23HFrankfurt84-83
29/04/23HBamberg101-92
25/04/23AHamburg66-77
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23AKarsiyaka83-85
27/10/23ABamberg92-83
20/10/23HRostock94-89
17/10/23HStrasbourg83-85 OT
15/10/23ABayern73-101
07/10/23AHeidelberg92-83
02/10/23HBayern77-67
29/09/23ABasketball Braunschweig86-91
21/05/23ALudwigsburg72-86
18/05/23HLudwigsburg72-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game78.873.582.3
Allowed / game97.689.0103.3
Point differential-18.8-15.5-21.0
Avg total176.4162.5185.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%0%33%
Oldenburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game88.285.590.0
Allowed / game82.678.085.7
Point differential+5.6+7.5+4.3
Avg total170.8163.5175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin54180%100.082.6+17.4
2 Bayern54180%87.473.8+13.6
3 Chemnitz54180%86.275.6+10.6
4 Oldenburg54180%88.282.6+5.6
5 Ulm54180%90.686.8+3.8
6 Vechta64267%91.083.8+7.2
7 Bonn53260%87.279.8+7.4
8 Ludwigsburg42250%85.577.0+8.5
9 Rostock42250%100.098.8+1.2
10 Wurzburg42250%74.074.8-0.8
11 Hamburg63350%79.284.2-5.0
12 Basketball Braunschweig52340%84.686.0-1.4
13 Bamberg41325%83.897.0-13.2
14 Gottingen41325%84.898.0-13.2
15 Heidelberg51420%88.895.2-6.4
16 Tubingen51420%86.296.0-9.8
17 Crailsheim Merlins51420%78.897.6-18.8
18 Syntainics MBC61517%80.889.7-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1420151463
Oldenburg1525332699
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